Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 21h
Premier League (England)
·
Manchester United
Manchester United
13th · 7 pts·DLDDD
vs
—
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
15th · 6 pts·DDLLW
The story

Manchester United seek first win against Bournemouth

Separated by a single point after seven games, Manchester United and Bournemouth meet at Old Trafford seeking momentum to push away from the lower reaches of the table.

Match news & current form

Manchester United sit 13th on seven points after seven games, having endured a slow start dominated by stalemates. A 1-1 draw at Leeds last time out marked their third consecutive league draw, extending an ongoing run of five games without a win. Manager Carrick recently confirmed he retains the full backing of chief executive Omar Berrada, but the pressure remains to convert tight performances into three points.

Bournemouth sit 15th on six points after seven games under head coach Marco Rose, who is managing domestic fixtures alongside a European campaign. The Cherries picked up a 2-0 home victory against Sunderland in their last outing to arrest back-to-back defeats against Liverpool and Chelsea.

Head-to-head history

Recent meetings between these clubs have been hard to separate, with draws dominating the matchup. Their last clash ended 2-2 in March 2026, which followed a frantic 4-4 draw at Old Trafford in December 2025. Across the last five recorded encounters, both teams have scored in four of them, with United winning 4-1 in July 2025 and Bournemouth winning 3-0 in December 2024.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Manchester United have drawn each of their last three Premier League matches 1-1.
  • The last two competitive meetings between these sides produced 12 total goals (2-2 and 4-4).
  • Both teams have scored in four of the last five meetings between the clubs.
  • Manchester United are winless in their last five matches across all competitions (D4 L1).
Key players & missing men

Manchester United boast a clean bill of health, with Bruno Fernandes (three goals) and Bryan Mbeumo leading the attack after starting every league fixture. Bournemouth must cope with significant defensive and midfield absences, as Julian Araujo, Alex Scott, Eli Kroupi, and Veljko Milosavljevic are all sidelined with injuries, leaving Marcus Tavernier, who already has four goals this season, and Evanilson to shoulder the attacking burden.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Manchester United vs Bournemouth and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Manchester United2.5
–
1.3Bournemouth
Season average total: 3.83 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Manchester United winDrawBournemouth win
Market call
Double chance : Manchester United or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Manchester United
1915
Bournemouth
1872

Manchester United are the stronger side — 43 rating points clear of Bournemouth.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

Manchester UnitedManchester United
Goals scored
1.60
Expected (xG)
1.97
Wasteful — scoring below their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
BournemouthBournemouth
Goals scored
1.20
Expected (xG)
1.82
Wasteful — scoring below their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Manchester UnitedManchester UnitedBournemouthBournemouth
1.43Goals scored / game1.29
1.43Goals conceded / game1.86
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Manchester United 7 games, Bournemouth 7 games.

Manchester UnitedManchester UnitedBournemouthBournemouth
0%Games with a clean sheet14%
29%Games they failed to score14%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Bournemouth
2–2
Manchester United
Manchester United
4–4
Bournemouth
Manchester United
4–1
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
1–1
Manchester United
Manchester United
0–3
Bournemouth
Form check

Their recent form.

Manchester United
Manchester United
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
0W · 4D · 1L
LeedsvManchester United
1–1
D
Manchester UnitedvTottenham
1–1
D
FulhamvManchester United
1–1
D
Manchester UnitedvManchester City
0–1
L
EvertonvManchester United
2–2
D
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
1W · 2D · 2L
BournemouthvSunderland
2–0
W
ChelseavBournemouth
5–1
L
BournemouthvLiverpool
0–1
L
BournemouthvBrentford
2–2
D
NewcastlevBournemouth
2–2
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Premier League (England) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Manchester CityManchester City
7
7
0
0
+12
21
2
ArsenalArsenal
7
6
0
1
+6
18
3
BrightonBrighton
7
5
1
1
+18
16
4
ChelseaChelsea
7
4
1
2
+4
13
5
LiverpoolLiverpool
7
3
3
1
+1
12
6
BrentfordBrentford
7
2
4
1
+5
10
7
LeedsLeeds
7
2
4
1
+3
10
8
EvertonEverton
7
2
4
1
+1
10
9
Hull CityHull City
7
2
3
2
+1
9
10
IpswichIpswich
7
3
0
4
-4
9
11
NewcastleNewcastle
7
2
2
3
-4
8
12
Aston VillaAston Villa
7
2
2
3
-4
8
13
Manchester UnitedManchester United
7
1
4
2
+0
7
14
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
7
2
1
4
-8
7
15
BournemouthBournemouth
7
1
3
3
-4
6
16
TottenhamTottenham
7
1
3
3
-4
6
17
CoventryCoventry
7
2
0
5
-8
6
18
FulhamFulham
7
1
2
4
-3
5
19
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
7
1
2
4
-4
5
20
SunderlandSunderland
7
1
1
5
-8
4