Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 20h
Serie B (Italy)
·
Mantova
Mantova
2nd · 14 pts·WDWDW
vs
—
Palermo
Palermo
1st · 16 pts·WWDWW
The story

Mantova host leaders Palermo in battle of unbeaten sides

Second hosts first at the Stadio Martelli as early pace-setters Mantova and Palermo put their unbeaten Serie B records on the line.

Match news & current form

Mantova sit second on 14 points after six games, having made a brilliant start to the campaign. Francesco Modesto's side are unbeaten, picking up three wins and two draws across their last five fixtures, including a recent 2-2 home draw against Pisa and a 2-0 shutout of Sampdoria.

Palermo lead the division after collecting 16 points from their opening six matches under Filippo Inzaghi. The Sicilian side arrive with four wins from their last five, edging Padova 2-1 at home last time out following a 1-1 draw at Avellino, but this visit to Mantova presents one of their toughest road tests yet.

Head-to-head history

Recent meetings between the two have favoured the Sicilians, who won 5-2 in September 2026 and 2-1 in March 2026. However, games at Mantova have been far tighter, featuring a 1-1 draw in January 2026 and a goalless stalemate in October 2024.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Both sides remain completely unbeaten after the opening six rounds of the Serie B season.
  • Palermo have collected 16 of the first 18 points available under Filippo Inzaghi.
  • Mantova have taken seven points from their last three home fixtures, scoring seven goals in that span.
  • The last two league meetings hosted by Mantova have ended in draws (0-0 and 1-1).
Key players & missing men

Mantova's attack is spearheaded by in-form forward Ruocco, who already has four league goals to his name this term. Palermo rely on last season's top scorer Joel Pohjanpalo to lead the line, though Inzaghi is still managing the returns of Hernani, Mattia Perin, and Gabriel Strefezza as they work back towards full fitness. Neither side reports any confirmed absences.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Mantova2.0
–
1.8Palermo
Season average total: 3.83 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Mantova winDrawPalermo win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Palermo
Goals forecast
Over 1.5 goals
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Mantova
1400
Palermo
1514

Palermo are the stronger side — 114 rating points clear of Mantova.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

MantovaMantovaPalermoPalermo
2.17Goals scored / game2.33
1.00Goals conceded / game1.17
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Mantova 6 games, Palermo 6 games.

MantovaMantovaPalermoPalermo
17%Games with a clean sheet17%
0%Games they failed to score0%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Palermo
5–2
Mantova
Palermo
2–1
Mantova
Mantova
1–1
Palermo
Palermo
2–2
Mantova
Mantova
0–0
Palermo
Form check

Their recent form.

Mantova
Mantova
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 2D · 0L
CatanzarovMantova
1–3
W
MantovavPisa
2–2
D
MantovavSampdoria
2–0
W
CesenavMantova
1–1
D
MantovavEmpoli
3–1
W
Palermo
Palermo
On a strong winning run
Last 5
4W · 1D · 0L
EmpolivPalermo
2–4
W
PalermovPadova
2–1
W
AvellinovPalermo
1–1
D
PalermovSampdoria
3–1
W
ArezzovPalermo
2–3
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Serie B (Italy) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
PalermoPalermo
6
5
1
0
+7
16
2
MantovaMantova
6
4
2
0
+7
14
3
ModenaModena
6
4
1
1
+5
13
4
SudtirolSudtirol
6
3
3
0
+6
12
5
AscoliAscoli
6
3
2
1
+3
11
6
AvellinoAvellino
6
3
1
2
+4
10
7
PisaPisa
6
3
1
2
+3
10
8
BeneventoBenevento
6
3
1
2
+3
10
9
Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
6
2
1
3
+2
7
10
PadovaPadova
6
2
1
3
-3
7
11
CesenaCesena
6
1
4
1
-1
7
12
ArezzoArezzo
6
2
1
3
-7
7
13
EmpoliEmpoli
6
2
0
4
-4
6
14
Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella
6
1
3
2
+1
6
15
CremoneseCremonese
6
1
3
2
-2
6
16
Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus
6
1
2
3
-6
5
17
CarrareseCarrarese
6
1
1
4
-2
4
18
SampdoriaSampdoria
6
1
1
4
-7
4
19
CatanzaroCatanzaro
6
1
0
5
-6
3
20
Juve StabiaJuve Stabia
6
1
3
2
-3
2