Winlytics.AI
Full time
Serie B (Italy)
·
Mantova
Mantova
3rd · 11 pts·WLDWD
vs
Pisa
Pisa
11th · 7 pts
The story

League leaders Mantova host inconsistent Pisa in Serie B

Mantova look to maintain their position at the top of the table against a Pisa side searching for rhythm after an indifferent start to the campaign.

Match news & current form

Mantova sit 2nd on 10 points after four games and have enjoyed an excellent start to the season. They remain unbeaten with three wins and a draw, most recently securing a -20 victory against Sampdoria. The side has shown significant consistency in attack, scoring at least once in 11 of their last 12 home fixtures.

Pisa are currently 10th with 6 points and have had a mixed start to their campaign. After a 3-0 win over Juve Stabia, they suffered a heavy 4-1 home defeat to Virtus Entella in their last outing. Manager Paolo Bianco is looking to steady the ship before the upcoming international break, with the team struggling for goals, having failed to score more than once in 13 of their last 15 matches.

Head-to-head history

Pisa have held the upper hand in recent meetings, winning both encounters last season. They secured a 3-1 victory at home in March 2025 and edged a five-goal thriller 3-2 at Mantova in December 2024.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Mantova are unbeaten in their first four matches of the Serie B season.
  • Pisa have seen Under 3.5 goals in 13 of their last 14 matches.
  • Mantova's Ruocco has managed to score in every league game so far this season.
  • Pisa have struggled for defensive solidity, conceding four goals in their most recent home fixture.
Key players & missing men

Mantova will rely on trequartista Ruocco, who is in peak form, alongside former Pisa defender Castellini. For the visitors, manager Paolo Bianco must cope without the injured Marras and Bozhinov, while Leris is unavailable due to suspension. Canestrelli is expected to return to the heart of the Pisa defence.

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We have published a signal on Mantova vs Pisa — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Mantova vs Pisa and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Mantova1.7
1.8Pisa
Season average total: 3.42 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Mantova winDrawPisa win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Pisa
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Mantova
1400
Pisa
1456

Pisa are the stronger side — 56 rating points clear of Mantova.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

MantovaMantovaPisaPisa
2.00Goals scored / game1.60
1.00Goals conceded / game1.60
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Mantova 5 games, Pisa 5 games.

MantovaMantovaPisaPisa
20%Games with a clean sheet20%
0%Games they failed to score20%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Mantova
2–2
Pisa
Pisa
3–1
Mantova
Mantova
2–3
Pisa
Form check

Their recent form.

Mantova
Mantova
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
MantovavPisa
2–2
D
MantovavSampdoria
2–0
W
CesenavMantova
1–1
D
PalermovMantova
5–2
L
MantovavEmpoli
3–1
W
Pisa
Pisa
Pisa — recent form not recorded.
Last 5

No recent matches recorded.

League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Serie B (Italy) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
PalermoPalermo
5
4
1
0
+5
13
2
SudtirolSudtirol
5
3
2
0
+6
11
3
MantovaMantova
5
3
2
0
+5
11
4
ModenaModena
5
3
1
1
+4
10
5
AscoliAscoli
5
3
1
1
+3
10
6
PadovaPadova
5
2
1
2
-1
7
7
BeneventoBenevento
5
2
1
2
+1
7
8
Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
5
2
1
2
+3
7
9
AvellinoAvellino
5
2
1
2
+1
7
10
CesenaCesena
5
1
4
0
+1
7
11
PisaPisa
5
2
1
2
+0
7
12
ArezzoArezzo
5
2
0
3
-7
6
13
EmpoliEmpoli
5
2
0
3
-2
6
14
Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella
5
1
2
2
+1
5
15
CremoneseCremonese
5
1
2
2
-2
5
16
Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus
5
1
2
2
-3
5
17
SampdoriaSampdoria
5
1
1
3
-4
4
18
Juve StabiaJuve Stabia
5
1
2
2
-3
3
19
CatanzaroCatanzaro
5
1
0
4
-4
3
20
CarrareseCarrarese
5
0
1
4
-4
1