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Major League Soccer (USA)
·
Minnesota United FC
Minnesota United FC
14th · 29 pts·DLLLL
vs
—
FC Dallas
FC Dallas
4th · 44 pts·DWWWD
The story

Loons hunt playoff spot against high-scoring Dallas

Minnesota United sit just one point off the playoff places and must find defensive stability against a Dallas side firmly entrenched in the top nine.

Match news & current form

Minnesota United enter this fixture 11th in the Western Conference, trailing the playoff places by a single point with 11 games remaining. Cameron Knowles' side has struggled for consistency, winning just one of their last 12 MLS matches. Their most recent outing was a frantic 5-4 defeat to Portland Timbers, highlighting an attack that can find the net but a backline that has conceded eight goals in just two games.

FC Dallas occupy 4th place and hold a seven-point cushion within the playoff places. Under Eric Quill, the team has become the league's entertainers, recently following up a 3-3 draw against St. Louis City with a 4-2 victory over Sporting Kansas City, secured by a 97th-minute Petar Musa penalty. This trip to Allianz Field comes immediately after a gruelling nine-game road stretch for the Texas club.

Head-to-head history

Minnesota have historically held the upper hand at Allianz Field, winning four of the last eight meetings hosted there, with Dallas securing only one victory in that span. However, the most recent encounter at this venue ended in a 0-0 stalemate, a stark contrast to the high-scoring form both teams currently possess.

Hot stats & streaks
  • FC Dallas have seen a staggering 32 goals scored across their last six competitive matches.
  • Minnesota United have conceded eight goals in their last two league fixtures alone.
  • Marcus Caldeira arrives in form for the Loons after netting a brace in the weekend's nine-goal thriller against Portland.
  • Dallas have been prolific on the road recently, averaging 1.80 goals scored per game over their last 10 away trips.
Key players & missing men

Minnesota will look to Kelvin Yeboah, who leads their scoring charts with 11 goals, but they remain without B. Hlongwane and P. Stroud. FC Dallas face significant absences with Daniel, Kaka Scabin, and Geovane Jesus ruled out. While Petar Musa was the hero last week, the Dallas attack is expected to be rotated with Logan Farrington, Joaquin Valiente, and Santiago Moreno tasked with leading the line.

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Our model prices every market we cover on Minnesota United FC vs FC Dallas and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Minnesota United FC1.3
–
1.5FC Dallas
Season average total: 2.83 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Minnesota United FC winDrawFC Dallas win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or FC Dallas
Goals forecast
Over 1.5 goals
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FCFC DallasFC Dallas
1.50Goals scored / game1.88
1.77Goals conceded / game1.62
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Minnesota United FC 26 games, FC Dallas 26 games.

Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FCFC DallasFC Dallas
19%Games with a clean sheet19%
19%Games they failed to score27%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Minnesota United FC
1–2
FC Dallas
FC Dallas
0–1
Minnesota United FC
FC Dallas
1–2
Minnesota United FC
Minnesota United FC
0–0
FC Dallas
FC Dallas
5–3
Minnesota United FC
Form check

Their recent form.

Minnesota United FC
Minnesota United FC
Losing form badly
Last 5
0W · 1D · 4L
Minnesota United FCvLos Angeles Galaxy
2–3
L
St. Louis CityvMinnesota United FC
4–2
L
Minnesota United FCvFC Dallas
1–2
L
Portland TimbersvMinnesota United FC
5–4
L
Minnesota United FCvOrlando City SC
3–3
D
FC Dallas
FC Dallas
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 2D · 0L
FC DallasvAustin
0–0
D
FC DallasvPortland Timbers
2–1
W
Minnesota United FCvFC Dallas
1–2
W
FC DallasvSporting Kansas City
4–3
W
St. Louis CityvFC Dallas
3–3
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Major League Soccer (USA) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
25
15
4
6
+33
49
2
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
26
13
5
8
+4
44
3
St. Louis CitySt. Louis City
26
12
8
6
+9
44
4
FC DallasFC Dallas
26
12
8
6
+7
44
5
San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
26
12
6
8
+8
42
6
Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC
27
11
8
8
+14
41
7
Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids
26
11
3
12
+1
36
8
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy
27
8
9
10
-8
33
9
Portland TimbersPortland Timbers
26
9
5
12
-1
32
10
San DiegoSan Diego
25
8
6
11
+0
30
11
AustinAustin
26
7
9
10
-12
30
12
Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
25
8
5
12
-5
29
13
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
24
7
8
9
-5
29
14
Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
26
7
8
11
-7
29
15
Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
25
5
3
17
-34
18