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Full time
Serie A (Brazil)
·
Mirassol
Mirassol
15th · 32 pts·DLWDW
vs
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
2nd · 57 pts·WDDWD
The story

Palmeiras target title consolidation against relegation-threatened Mirassol

League leaders Palmeiras travel to the Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia looking to tighten their grip on the title race against a Mirassol side sitting just two points above the relegation zone.

Match news & current form

Mirassol enter this fixture in 17th place with 24 points, knowing survival is far from guaranteed with 17 games remaining. Their recent form has been inconsistent, securing just one win in their last five outings. They showed resilience in a 1-1 draw away at Santos last time out, but a heavy 5-1 home defeat to Flamengo recently exposed significant defensive vulnerabilities that the league leaders will look to exploit.

Palmeiras sit top of the table on 51 points and remain in full control of the title race. Abel Ferreira’s side bounced back from a narrow defeat against Atletico-MG with a dominant 4-1 victory over Vasco da Gama in their most recent fixture. Their away form remains a major asset, having already secured five victories on the road this campaign as they look to maintain their lead at the summit.

Head-to-head history

While Palmeiras are the historical heavyweights, Mirassol have proven a stubborn opponent in recent top-flight encounters, winning one of the last three meetings between the two sides. However, Palmeiras have dominated the broader recent history, losing only one of their last two Serie A clashes against the hosts.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Palmeiras have scored four or more goals in two of their last four league matches (4-0 vs Vitoria, 4-1 vs Vasco).
  • Mirassol have struggled at home recently, winning only three of their last nine matches at the Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia.
  • The hosts have conceded at least one goal in 94% of their league fixtures this season.
  • Palmeiras are averaging two goals per game over their last five league outings.
Key players & missing men

Mirassol are forced to reshuffle their pack with Edson Carioca, Jose Aldo, Negueba, and Wallisson all confirmed absentees. Palmeiras also have squad depth issues to manage, missing Allan Elias, Jefte, R. Sosa, and Paulinho for this trip. The visitors will rely on their clinical frontline, which has already produced 18 goals from 79 shots on target across the squad this season.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Mirassol1.1
1.5Palmeiras
Season average total: 2.60 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Mirassol winDrawPalmeiras win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Palmeiras
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

MirassolMirassolPalmeirasPalmeiras
1.18Goals scored / game1.68
1.50Goals conceded / game0.75
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Mirassol 28 games, Palmeiras 28 games.

MirassolMirassolPalmeirasPalmeiras
7%Games with a clean sheet43%
25%Games they failed to score14%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Mirassol
1–1
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
1–0
Mirassol
Palmeiras
1–0
Mirassol
Mirassol
2–1
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
1–1
Mirassol
Form check

Their recent form.

Mirassol
Mirassol
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
MirassolvBotafogo
2–0
W
MirassolvVitoria
2–2
D
CoritibavMirassol
1–2
W
FlamengovMirassol
2–0
L
MirassolvPalmeiras
1–1
D
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 3D · 0L
GremiovPalmeiras
0–0
D
PalmeirasvSao Paulo
2–0
W
BotafogovPalmeiras
0–0
D
MirassolvPalmeiras
1–1
D
PalmeirasvVasco DA Gama
4–1
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Serie A (Brazil) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
FlamengoFlamengo
27
17
6
4
+31
57
2
PalmeirasPalmeiras
28
16
9
3
+26
57
3
FluminenseFluminense
28
13
9
6
+8
48
4
Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
27
13
7
7
+10
46
5
BahiaBahia
27
12
10
5
+9
46
6
CruzeiroCruzeiro
28
13
6
9
+2
45
7
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
27
11
7
9
+4
40
8
SantosSantos
27
10
8
9
+1
38
9
CoritibaCoritiba
28
10
8
10
-6
38
10
RB BragantinoRB Bragantino
26
10
6
10
+3
36
11
Sao PauloSao Paulo
27
10
6
11
+2
36
12
BotafogoBotafogo
28
9
8
11
-4
35
13
VitoriaVitoria
28
9
6
13
-14
33
14
CorinthiansCorinthians
28
8
8
12
-3
32
15
MirassolMirassol
28
8
8
12
-9
32
16
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
27
8
7
12
-7
31
17
GremioGremio
28
7
8
13
-8
29
18
InternacionalInternacional
28
6
10
12
-6
28
19
RemoRemo
28
5
8
15
-15
23
20
Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc
27
3
9
15
-24
18