Winlytics.AI
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Allsvenskan (Sweden)
·
Mjallby AIF
Mjallby AIF
12th · 27 pts·DLDLL
vs
—
IF Elfsborg
IF Elfsborg
5th · 46 pts·WDDDW
The story

European dreams at stake in Strandvallen mid-table clash

Both sides arrive at Strandvallen with European qualification within reach as 11th-placed Mjallby AIF look to close a five-point gap on the top three against an Elfsborg side sitting just one point off the pace.

Match news & current form

Mjallby AIF enter this fixture following a frustrating 1-2 defeat to Kalmar FF, extending a winless run to five matches (D3, L2). Despite the recent dip, they remain highly motivated; sitting on 17 points, a victory would significantly revive their chances of securing a Conference League qualification spot with 16 games still to play.

IF Elfsborg occupy 8th place with 21 points and are coming off a morale-boosting 2-1 away victory against Malmo FF. However, that result snapped a three-match losing streak where they conceded six goals. With only 15 games remaining, they are just one point away from the European places and know that a win could propel them into the top four.

Head-to-head history

Recent encounters have been tightly contested, with IF Elfsborg holding a narrow 6-5 scoring edge over the last five meetings. Mjallby AIF recently secured a victory in the head-to-head series, though the most recent scheduled meeting ended in a 0-0 stalemate, reflecting the tactical deadlock often seen between these two.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Mjallby AIF have won 8 of their last 10 away league matches, showing a tactical potency they are desperate to replicate at home.
  • IF Elfsborg have struggled for consistency recently, losing three of their last five Allsvenskan fixtures.
  • The defensive contrast is sharp: Mjallby AIF have conceded only 4 goals in their last five outings compared to Elfsborg's 9.
  • Mjallby AIF are currently trending at 1.85 xG per game, suggesting they are creating higher quality chances than their recent points tally suggests.
Key players & missing men

Mjallby AIF will be forced to reshape their midfield and leadership core with both V. Gustafson and J. Gustavsson confirmed as absentees. IF Elfsborg travel without P. Frick, a significant blow to their attacking rotations as they look to build on the momentum of the Malmo win.

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Our signal for this match is locked.

We have published a signal on Mjallby AIF vs IF Elfsborg — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Mjallby AIF vs IF Elfsborg and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Mjallby AIF1.1
–
1.5IF Elfsborg
Season average total: 2.62 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Mjallby AIF winDrawIF Elfsborg win
Market call
Double chance : Mjallby AIF or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Mjallby AIF
1516
IF Elfsborg
1388

Mjallby AIF are the stronger side — 128 rating points clear of IF Elfsborg.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Mjallby AIFMjallby AIFIF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg
1.15Goals scored / game1.52
1.65Goals conceded / game1.00
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Mjallby AIF 26 games, IF Elfsborg 27 games.

Mjallby AIFMjallby AIFIF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg
15%Games with a clean sheet33%
42%Games they failed to score7%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Mjallby AIF
0–1
IF Elfsborg
IF Elfsborg
1–1
Mjallby AIF
Mjallby AIF
2–0
IF Elfsborg
IF Elfsborg
0–1
Mjallby AIF
IF Elfsborg
2–2
Mjallby AIF
Form check

Their recent form.

Mjallby AIF
Mjallby AIF
Struggling for results
Last 5
0W · 2D · 3L
Mjallby AIFvHammarby FF
0–2
L
Vasteras SK FKvMjallby AIF
1–0
L
Mjallby AIFvDegerfors IF
1–1
D
Mjallby AIFvGais
0–3
L
AIK StockholmvMjallby AIF
1–1
D
IF Elfsborg
IF Elfsborg
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 3D · 0L
IF ElfsborgvOrgryte IS
2–1
W
AIK StockholmvIF Elfsborg
2–2
D
IF ElfsborgvMalmo FF
0–0
D
SiriusvIF Elfsborg
2–2
D
IF ElfsborgvHalmstad
4–0
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Allsvenskan (Sweden) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
SiriusSirius
27
18
4
5
+24
58
2
Hammarby FFHammarby FF
27
17
4
6
+34
55
3
Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF
27
16
4
7
+30
52
4
BK HackenBK Hacken
27
13
10
4
+18
49
5
IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg
27
12
10
5
+14
46
6
Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK
27
13
5
9
+2
44
7
Malmo FFMalmo FF
27
12
4
11
+6
40
8
AIK StockholmAIK Stockholm
27
10
8
9
-4
38
9
IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg
27
10
8
9
-10
38
10
GaisGais
27
10
7
10
+7
37
11
IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna
27
9
7
11
-5
34
12
Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF
27
6
9
12
-13
27
13
Kalmar FFKalmar FF
27
6
5
16
-19
23
14
Degerfors IFDegerfors IF
27
5
5
17
-24
20
15
Orgryte ISOrgryte IS
27
4
7
16
-27
19
16
HalmstadHalmstad
27
4
5
18
-33
17