Winlytics.AI
Full time
Allsvenskan (Sweden)
·
Mjallby AIF
Mjallby AIF
12th · 22 pts·LLDDL
vs
—
Vasteras SK FK
Vasteras SK FK
6th · 35 pts·DWLWW
The story

Defending Champions Mjallby Desperate to Halt Vasteras Surge

Mjallby AIF battle to save their title defence against a surging Vasteras SK side currently sitting just one point off the European places.

Match news & current form

Mjallby AIF enter this fixture as defending Allsvenskan champions but are in the midst of a crisis, having failed to record a single league victory since early May. Sitting 10th on 16 points, they are three points adrift of the European spots and desperately need to bounce back from last week's 2-1 home defeat to AIK Stockholm.

In contrast, Vasteras SK are enjoying a stellar debut season following promotion from the Superettan. Alexander Rubin’s side sits 8th on 18 points, just one point away from the European qualification zone. Momentum is firmly with the visitors after securing back-to-back wins against Degerfors (2-0) and Halmstad (3-1).

Head-to-head history

Recent encounters between these two clubs have been high-scoring affairs, with five of the last six meetings clearing the 2.5-goal threshold. While Mjallby have traditionally been strong at home, Vasteras have proven themselves giant-killers this term, evidenced by their recent 3-2 away victory over Malmo FF.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Mjallby AIF have failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 consecutive matches across all competitions.
  • Vasteras SK have conceded in 12 of their last 13 competitive fixtures.
  • Mjallby have only managed one victory in their last six Allsvenskan matches.
  • Vasteras have won three of their last five games, including a high-scoring 3-2 win at Malmo.
Key players & missing men

Jacob Bergström remains the focal point for Mjallby’s recovery hopes, leading the club with five goals in twelve appearances this season. The hosts remain without A. Iqbal, J. Kjaer, T. Pettersson, and E. Stroud. Vasteras travel with a similarly depleted squad, missing A. Boudah, M. Ladefoged, F. Nsabiyumva, and J. Ring.

Subscribers only

Our signal for this match is locked.

We have published a signal on Mjallby AIF vs Vasteras SK FK — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

Subscribers only

Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Mjallby AIF vs Vasteras SK FK and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

Unlock every market
Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Mjallby AIF1.5
–
1.6Vasteras SK FK
Season average total: 3.09 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
35%
35%
30%
Mjallby AIF winDrawVasteras SK FK win
Market call
Double chance : Mjallby AIF or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Mjallby AIF
1516
Vasteras SK FK
1265

Mjallby AIF are the stronger side — 251 rating points clear of Vasteras SK FK.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Mjallby AIFMjallby AIFVasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK
1.23Goals scored / game1.55
1.73Goals conceded / game1.59
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Mjallby AIF 22 games, Vasteras SK FK 22 games.

Mjallby AIFMjallby AIFVasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK
18%Games with a clean sheet32%
41%Games they failed to score32%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Mjallby AIF
0–0
Vasteras SK FK
Mjallby AIF
2–1
Vasteras SK FK
Vasteras SK FK
2–1
Mjallby AIF
Mjallby AIF
2–0
Vasteras SK FK
Vasteras SK FK
2–2
Mjallby AIF
Form check

Their recent form.

Mjallby AIF
Mjallby AIF
Struggling for results
Last 5
0W · 2D · 3L
Mjallby AIFvGais
0–3
L
AIK StockholmvMjallby AIF
1–1
D
BK HackenvMjallby AIF
1–1
D
Mjallby AIFvIFK Goteborg
1–4
L
Mjallby AIFvDjurgardens IF
0–2
L
Vasteras SK FK
Vasteras SK FK
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 1D · 1L
Vasteras SK FKvMalmo FF
2–0
W
AIK StockholmvVasteras SK FK
1–4
W
Vasteras SK FKvSirius
0–1
L
BK HackenvVasteras SK FK
1–3
W
Vasteras SK FKvKalmar FF
0–0
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Allsvenskan (Sweden) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
SiriusSirius
22
16
3
3
+24
51
2
Hammarby FFHammarby FF
22
13
4
5
+29
43
3
Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF
22
13
2
7
+26
41
4
IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg
22
10
7
5
+9
37
5
BK HackenBK Hacken
22
9
9
4
+9
36
6
Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK
22
10
5
7
-1
35
7
Malmo FFMalmo FF
22
10
3
9
+4
33
8
AIK StockholmAIK Stockholm
22
9
6
7
-3
33
9
IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg
22
9
5
8
-10
32
10
GaisGais
22
8
6
8
+8
30
11
IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna
22
7
6
9
-6
27
12
Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF
22
5
7
10
-11
22
13
Kalmar FFKalmar FF
22
5
4
13
-15
19
14
Degerfors IFDegerfors IF
22
5
4
13
-15
19
15
Orgryte ISOrgryte IS
22
3
6
13
-24
15
16
HalmstadHalmstad
22
3
5
14
-24
14