Winlytics.AI
Full time
Eliteserien (Norway)
·
Molde
Molde
4th · 36 pts·WWWWL
vs
Tromso
Tromso
3rd · 38 pts·LDLLW
The story

Tromso eye title race as Molde face top-five pressure

A high-stakes clash at the Aker Stadion sees title-chasing Tromso looking to close the gap on the leaders while Molde fight to protect their continental qualification spot.

Match news & current form

Molde enter this fixture in 5th place on 24 points, currently holding a continental spot with 14 games remaining. However, their form has stuttered, collecting just five points from the last 15 available. They are looking to bounce back from a 2-1 defeat at Kristiansund BK and a high-scoring 3-3 draw with Sarpsborg 08 in their recent outings.

Tromso are firmly in the title race, sitting 3rd on 34 points and trailing the league leaders by seven. They arrive in exceptional form, unbeaten in five matches and coming off back-to-back away thrashings of Aalesund (6-2) and Ham-Kam (4-1). Their recent offensive output has been staggering, netting 14 goals across their last three league fixtures.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Tromso have scored 10 goals in their last two Eliteserien away matches alone.
  • Molde's last seven league matches have all produced over 2.5 goals.
  • Tromso are currently on a three-match unbeaten run on their travels.
  • Molde have scored three or more goals in two of their last three league games.
Key players & missing men

Molde's squad depth is being tested with several absences, including F. Dahl, S. Diop, V. Hoff, M. Kikkenborg, N. Odegard, and H. Stenevik. Tromso travel with a relatively settled squad, though they remain without L. Cornic and V. Ekblom for this trip.

Subscribers only

Our signal for this match is locked.

We have published a signal on Molde vs Tromso — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

Subscribers only

Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Molde vs Tromso and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

Unlock every market
Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Molde2.1
1.5Tromso
Season average total: 3.63 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
35%
35%
30%
Molde winDrawTromso win
Market call
Double chance : Molde or Draw
Goals forecast
Over 1.5 goals
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Molde
1467
Tromso
1497

Tromso are the stronger side — 30 rating points clear of Molde.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

MoldeMoldeTromsoTromso
2.10Goals scored / game1.90
1.52Goals conceded / game1.38
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Molde 21 games, Tromso 21 games.

MoldeMoldeTromsoTromso
19%Games with a clean sheet43%
10%Games they failed to score29%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Molde
3–2
Tromso
Tromso
2–0
Molde
Molde
2–0
Tromso
Tromso
1–0
Molde
Molde
5–3
Tromso
Form check

Their recent form.

Molde
Molde
On a strong winning run
Last 5
4W · 0D · 1L
MoldevAalesund
1–2
L
Ham-KamvMolde
1–5
W
MoldevKFUM Oslo
2–0
W
ValerengavMolde
3–4
W
MoldevTromso
3–2
W
Tromso
Tromso
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
TromsovHam-Kam
3–2
W
RosenborgvTromso
5–3
L
Kristiansund BKvTromso
2–0
L
TromsovSarpsborg 08 FF
0–0
D
MoldevTromso
3–2
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Eliteserien (Norway) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
VikingViking
21
16
2
3
+34
50
2
Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt
21
16
2
3
+34
50
3
TromsoTromso
21
11
5
5
+11
38
4
MoldeMolde
21
11
3
7
+12
36
5
RosenborgRosenborg
21
10
3
8
+9
33
6
LillestromLillestrom
21
10
2
9
-1
32
7
BrannBrann
21
9
2
10
+7
29
8
FredrikstadFredrikstad
21
8
4
9
-7
28
9
Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
21
6
7
8
-5
25
10
KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo
21
7
4
10
-10
25
11
SandefjordSandefjord
21
6
5
10
-6
23
12
ValerengaValerenga
21
6
5
10
-9
23
13
Ham-KamHam-Kam
21
6
5
10
-15
23
14
AalesundAalesund
21
4
9
8
-13
21
15
Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK
21
5
4
12
-19
19
16
StartStart
21
4
4
13
-22
16