Monza one step from Serie A after first-leg cushion
The Serie B promotion play-off final concludes at the Brianteo with Monza holding a significant advantage over a struggling Catanzaro side.
Monza sit 3rd on 76 points and are on the verge of a return to the top flight after a clinical 2-0 victory in the first leg. Paolo Bianco’s side have shown immense discipline, losing only once across their last 12 games. Their 2-0 win last week showcased their ability to remain patient under pressure before striking late to seize control of the tie.
Catanzaro, 5th on 59 points, have been the sensation of the play-offs but now face a monumental task. Momentum has stalled for the visitors, who have lost their last two matches by 2-0 scorelines. To keep their Serie A dream alive, they must overturn a two-goal deficit at a ground where the hosts have been almost invincible this term.
Our model vs the market’s price.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
Strength rating and xG.
Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.
One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.
Monza are the stronger side — 85 rating points clear of Catanzaro.
Goals scored and conceded.
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
MonzaCatanzaro
Whole season, home and away combined — Monza — games, Catanzaro 5 games.
MonzaCatanzaroPast meetings.
Their recent form.
Where they sit in the table.
Serie B (Italy) standings · both teams highlighted in context.
