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Full time
Serie A (Italy)
·
Monza
Monza
16th · 4 pts·LWDLW
vs
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
10th · 7 pts·WDDWL
The story

Winless Monza host Sassuolo following visitors' Juventus victory

Monza search for their first victory of the campaign against a Sassuolo side buoyed by a high-scoring win over Juventus.

Match news & current form

Monza sit 18th with one point after four games and have struggled to find their rhythm under Ivan Juric. They are winless this season and come into this fixture following a 3-2 defeat away at Lecce. Juric is under early pressure to stabilise a defence that has conceded 11 goals in the opening four matches.

Sassuolo occupy 9th place with seven points after a successful start under new boss Alberto Aquilani. They arrive in high spirits after a 3-2 'giant-killing' win against Juventus last week, though they must now contend with a poor away record that stretches back several months.

Head-to-head history

Monza have dominated this fixture since their promotion, claiming 10 points from their four Serie A meetings with Sassuolo. The Neroverdi have yet to beat Monza in the top flight, with the most recent competitive encounter ending in a 1-0 victory for Monza in January 2024.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Monza have won only one of their last 22 Serie A matches dating back to last season.
  • Sassuolo are currently on an eight-game winless streak in away Serie A fixtures.
  • Monza have conceded at least once in each of their last five outings.
  • Sassuolo’s last away trip was a nine-goal thriller that ended in a 5-4 defeat to Frosinone.
Key players & missing men

Seba Esposito is pushing to lead the line for the visitors after scoring on his first start last week, while Adžić is competing for a midfield spot after his match-winning contribution against Juventus. Monza will look to Gustavo Varela, who has begun scoring in bursts. The hosts are missing M. Pessina, I. Toure, and C. Ngonge, while Sassuolo travel without the injured J. Idzes, D. Boloca, and Y. Paz.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Monza2.0
1.7Sassuolo
Season average total: 3.67 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
35%
35%
30%
Monza winDrawSassuolo win
Market call
Double chance : Monza or Draw
Goals forecast
Over 1.5 goals
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Monza
1544
Sassuolo
1622

Sassuolo are the stronger side — 78 rating points clear of Monza.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

MonzaMonza
Goals scored
1.60
Expected (xG)
1.98
Wasteful — scoring below their xG
Per game · last 5 matches
SassuoloSassuolo
Goals scored
1.40
Expected (xG)
1.84
Wasteful — scoring below their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

MonzaMonzaSassuoloSassuolo
1.60Goals scored / game1.80
2.40Goals conceded / game1.80
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Monza 5 games, Sassuolo 5 games.

MonzaMonzaSassuoloSassuolo
0%Games with a clean sheet0%
0%Games they failed to score0%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Monza
2–1
Sassuolo
Monza
2–2
Sassuolo
Monza
1–0
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
0–1
Monza
Sassuolo
1–2
Monza
Form check

Their recent form.

Monza
Monza
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
MonzavSassuolo
2–1
W
LeccevMonza
3–2
L
ParmavMonza
1–1
D
TorinovMonza
0–1
W
MonzavUdinese
2–3
L
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
MonzavSassuolo
2–1
L
SassuolovJuventus
3–2
W
BolognavSassuolo
2–2
D
SassuolovFrosinone
1–1
D
SassuolovTorino
2–1
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Serie A (Italy) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
AS RomaAS Roma
5
4
1
0
+11
13
2
InterInter
5
4
1
0
+7
13
3
LazioLazio
5
4
1
0
+5
13
4
CagliariCagliari
5
4
0
1
+3
12
5
AC MilanAC Milan
5
3
2
0
+6
11
6
FrosinoneFrosinone
5
3
1
1
+5
10
7
JuventusJuventus
5
3
1
1
+4
10
8
ComoComo
5
3
1
1
+3
10
9
NapoliNapoli
5
2
1
2
+1
7
10
SassuoloSassuolo
5
2
1
2
+0
7
11
AtalantaAtalanta
5
2
0
3
-2
6
12
LecceLecce
5
2
0
3
-5
6
13
UdineseUdinese
5
1
1
3
-3
4
14
TorinoTorino
5
1
1
3
-3
4
15
ParmaParma
5
1
1
3
-3
4
16
MonzaMonza
5
1
1
3
-4
4
17
FiorentinaFiorentina
5
1
1
3
-6
4
18
BolognaBologna
5
0
2
3
-3
2
19
GenoaGenoa
5
0
1
4
-7
1
20
VeneziaVenezia
5
0
0
5
-9
0