Separated by a single point after nine Primeira Liga matches, Moreirense and Estrela meet looking to arrest their recent slumps.
Moreirense sit 10th on 11 points after nine games as they navigate a tight mid-table start. Form has dipped with one win, one draw, and three defeats in their last five outings across all competitions, including a 1-0 home loss to Gil Vicente in their previous league match.
Estrela occupy 12th on 10 points after nine fixtures, having also managed one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five matches. They arrive on poor momentum, having lost three straight games without scoring, most recently falling 2-0 at home against Casa Pia.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.
One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.
Moreirense are the stronger side — 76 rating points clear of Estrela.
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
Whole season, home and away combined — Moreirense 9 games, Estrela 9 games.
Primeira Liga (Portugal) standings · both teams highlighted in context.