Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 19h
Primeira Liga (Portugal)
·
Moreirense
Moreirense
12th · 8 pts·WLLWD
vs
—
GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente
9th · 8 pts·WDLLD
The story

Moreirense host Gil Vicente level on eight points

With both sides locked on eight points in the opening quarter of the Primeira Liga campaign, Moreirense look to capitalise on home comfort against a misfiring Gil Vicente.

Match news & current form

Moreirense sit 12th in the table with eight points from their opening seven games. They picked up a solid 1-1 draw away at Vitória SC last time out, building on a recent 3-1 home victory over Maritimo despite earlier defeats to heavyweights Benfica and FC Porto.

Gil Vicente occupy 9th place with eight points from six matches, having made a steady start before losing momentum. They enter this fixture without a win in their last four matches, drawing 1-1 at home against Maritimo last week and managing just two goals across that four-game dry spell.

Head-to-head history

Recent meetings have been tightly contested. The sides played out a 2-2 draw in their most recent clash in July 2026, while Gil Vicente edged a 2-1 league win at Moreirense in February 2026. Moreirense have also drawn six of their last 13 home encounters against Gil Vicente.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Moreirense are undefeated in five of their last six home matches in all competitions.
  • Gil Vicente are winless in their last four matches across all competitions.
  • Gil Vicente have scored only two goals across their last four fixtures.
  • Moreirense have drawn six of their last 13 home meetings against Gil Vicente.
Key players & missing men

Neither side has reported any fresh injury or suspension concerns ahead of the clash at the Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, leaving both managers with full squads to select from.

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Our model prices every market we cover on Moreirense vs GIL Vicente and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Moreirense1.6
–
1.4GIL Vicente
Season average total: 3.00 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Moreirense winDrawGIL Vicente win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or GIL Vicente
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Moreirense
1479
GIL Vicente
1508

GIL Vicente are the stronger side — 29 rating points clear of Moreirense.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

MoreirenseMoreirenseGIL VicenteGIL Vicente
1.14Goals scored / game0.83
2.00Goals conceded / game0.83
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Moreirense 7 games, GIL Vicente 6 games.

MoreirenseMoreirenseGIL VicenteGIL Vicente
14%Games with a clean sheet50%
29%Games they failed to score33%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

GIL Vicente
2–2
Moreirense
Moreirense
1–2
GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente
2–0
Moreirense
GIL Vicente
0–1
Moreirense
GIL Vicente
1–0
Moreirense
Form check

Their recent form.

Moreirense
Moreirense
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
Vitória SCvMoreirense
1–1
D
MoreirensevMaritimo
3–1
W
MoreirensevBenfica
0–4
L
FC PortovMoreirense
2–1
L
Casa PiavMoreirense
0–1
W
GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
1W · 2D · 2L
GIL VicentevMaritimo
1–1
D
BenficavGIL Vicente
3–1
L
GIL VicentevAcademico Viseu
0–1
L
FamalicaovGIL Vicente
0–0
D
GIL VicentevCasa Pia
2–0
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Primeira Liga (Portugal) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
FC PortoFC Porto
7
7
0
0
+15
21
2
BenficaBenfica
7
5
1
1
+15
16
3
Sporting CPSporting CP
7
4
3
0
+9
15
4
Santa ClaraSanta Clara
7
4
3
0
+7
15
5
AroucaArouca
7
3
2
2
+3
11
6
SC BragaSC Braga
6
3
2
1
+2
11
7
Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu
7
3
2
2
+0
11
8
EstrelaEstrela
7
2
4
1
+0
10
9
GIL VicenteGIL Vicente
6
2
2
2
+0
8
10
AlvercaAlverca
7
2
2
3
-2
8
11
MaritimoMaritimo
7
2
2
3
-4
8
12
MoreirenseMoreirense
7
2
2
3
-6
8
13
FamalicaoFamalicao
7
1
4
2
+2
7
14
Vitória SCVitória SC
7
1
2
4
-3
5
15
NacionalNacional
7
1
1
5
-8
4
16
Rio AveRio Ave
7
1
1
5
-10
4
17
Casa PiaCasa Pia
7
1
1
5
-13
4
18
EstorilEstoril
7
0
2
5
-7
2