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Ekstraklasa (Poland)
·
Motor Lublin
Motor Lublin
16th · 6 pts·DLLLD
vs
GKS Katowice
GKS Katowice
9th · 12 pts·WWLLW
The story

Motor Lublin fight for survival against high-flying Katowice

Motor Lublin enter this clash desperate to climb out of the relegation zone, while GKS Katowice look to bridge the gap to the European places.

Match news & current form

Motor Lublin sit 16th in the table with just one point, leaving them with 31 games to rescue their Ekstraklasa status. Their recent form has been difficult, coming off a 1-3 defeat away at Pogon Szczecin and a narrow 1-2 home loss to Jagiellonia. However, a 2-2 draw with Widzew Łódź suggests they are capable of competing with the mid-table pack.

GKS Katowice occupy 10th place and are currently only three points adrift of the European qualification spots. They found their scoring touch in a 3-1 win over Radomiak Radom last time out, though their momentum was previously halted by a 1-2 defeat on the road against Wisla Krakow.

Head-to-head history

The historical record between these two is tightly contested, with Katowice holding three wins to Motor Lublin's two over their last seven encounters. Motor Lublin will take confidence from the most recent meeting in October 2025, where they edged a five-goal thriller 3-2.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Motor Lublin won the last head-to-head encounter 3-2 in October 2025.
  • GKS Katowice have scored in 29 of their last 33 competitive matches.
  • Katowice have struggled for consistency on the road, recently losing 1-2 at Wisla Krakow.
  • Motor Lublin are looking for their first win in four matches to move out of the bottom three.
Key players & missing men

GKS Katowice will rely on the creative spark of Bartosz Nowak and the presence of Ilya Shkurin leading the line in their 3-4-3 system. Both squads appear to have a clean bill of health with no players reported as missing or suspended for this fixture.

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We have published a signal on Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

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Our model prices every market we cover on Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Motor Lublin1.4
1.2GKS Katowice
Season average total: 2.60 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Motor Lublin winDrawGKS Katowice win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or GKS Katowice
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Motor Lublin
1380
GKS Katowice
1426

GKS Katowice are the stronger side — 47 rating points clear of Motor Lublin.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Motor LublinMotor LublinGKS KatowiceGKS Katowice
1.00Goals scored / game2.00
1.67Goals conceded / game1.63
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Motor Lublin 9 games, GKS Katowice 8 games.

Motor LublinMotor LublinGKS KatowiceGKS Katowice
22%Games with a clean sheet13%
22%Games they failed to score25%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Motor Lublin
1–0
GKS Katowice
GKS Katowice
3–2
Motor Lublin
Motor Lublin
2–5
GKS Katowice
Motor Lublin
3–2
GKS Katowice
GKS Katowice
0–0
Motor Lublin
Form check

Their recent form.

Motor Lublin
Motor Lublin
Struggling for results
Last 5
0W · 2D · 3L
Motor LublinvGornik Zabrze
0–0
D
Raków CzęstochowavMotor Lublin
2–1
L
Motor LublinvLegia Warszawa
2–3
L
Motor LublinvPiast Gliwice
0–2
L
Korona KielcevMotor Lublin
1–1
D
GKS Katowice
GKS Katowice
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 0D · 2L
GKS KatowicevCracovia Krakow
3–2
W
Zaglebie LubinvGKS Katowice
2–1
L
Piast GliwicevGKS Katowice
3–0
L
Gornik ZabrzevGKS Katowice
2–3
W
GKS KatowicevWisla Plock
5–0
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Ekstraklasa (Poland) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze
9
7
1
1
+8
22
2
Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa
9
5
4
0
+11
19
3
Lech PoznanLech Poznan
8
6
1
1
+10
19
4
Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow
9
5
2
2
+5
17
5
Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin
8
4
3
1
+6
15
6
Korona KielceKorona Kielce
9
4
3
2
+2
15
7
Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin
9
4
3
2
+1
15
8
Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice
9
4
1
4
+1
13
9
GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice
8
4
0
4
+3
12
10
JagielloniaJagiellonia
8
4
0
4
-1
12
11
Wisla PlockWisla Plock
8
3
2
3
-3
11
12
Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź
9
1
6
2
+0
9
13
Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow
9
2
2
5
-5
8
14
Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom
9
2
2
5
-13
8
15
Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw
9
1
3
5
-4
6
16
Motor LublinMotor Lublin
9
1
3
5
-6
6
17
Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków
8
1
2
5
-6
5
18
Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa
9
1
0
8
-9
3