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Ekstraklasa (Poland)
·
Motor Lublin
Motor Lublin
11th · 16 pts·LDWWD
vs
—
Gornik Zabrze
Gornik Zabrze
2nd · 28 pts·DWDDD
The story

Struggling Motor Lublin host league leaders Gornik Zabrze

Top meets bottom-three as league leaders Gornik Zabrze travel to Arena Lublin looking to extend their winning streak against a side that has historically caused them problems.

Match news & current form

Motor Lublin sit 17th with 5 points after 8 games and are desperate to find consistency after a slow start. Their recent form has been difficult, suffering three losses in their last five outings, including a narrow 1-2 defeat to Raków Częstochowa in their last fixture. Despite their position, they remain a stubborn opponent at home.

Gornik Zabrze arrive as the early-season pacesetters, sitting 1st with 21 points after 8 games. They are in formidable form with four wins from their last five matches, most recently securing a 2-0 victory over Korona Kielce. Their away record is particularly impressive, having won their last five consecutive matches on the road.

Head-to-head history

Recent history surprisingly favours the hosts. Motor Lublin have won two of the last four meetings between these sides, including a 1-0 victory in late 2024 and a 1-0 away win in August 2025. The most recent encounter in March 2026 ended in a 0-0 stalemate, suggesting Motor Lublin know how to neutralise the Gornik attack.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Gornik Zabrze have won their last five consecutive away games in the Ekstraklasa.
  • Motor Lublin have scored under 1.5 goals in six of their last seven league matches.
  • Motor Lublin have held Gornik to under 1.5 goals in each of their last five meetings.
  • Gornik have recorded under 4.5 corners in eight of their last nine away fixtures.
Key players & missing men

Both squads appear to have clean bills of health with no injuries or suspensions reported for this fixture. Motor Lublin will rely on their defensive organisation, which has seen them concede late goals in recent weeks, while Gornik look to maintain the clinical efficiency that has kept them at the top of the table.

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Our model prices every market we cover on Motor Lublin vs Gornik Zabrze and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Motor Lublin0.9
–
1.6Gornik Zabrze
Season average total: 2.57 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Motor Lublin winDrawGornik Zabrze win
Market call
Winner : Gornik Zabrze
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Motor Lublin
1380
Gornik Zabrze
1452

Gornik Zabrze are the stronger side — 72 rating points clear of Motor Lublin.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Motor LublinMotor LublinGornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze
1.46Goals scored / game1.62
1.69Goals conceded / game0.85
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Motor Lublin 13 games, Gornik Zabrze 13 games.

Motor LublinMotor LublinGornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze
15%Games with a clean sheet31%
15%Games they failed to score15%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Motor Lublin
0–0
Gornik Zabrze
Motor Lublin
0–0
Gornik Zabrze
Gornik Zabrze
0–1
Motor Lublin
Gornik Zabrze
4–0
Motor Lublin
Motor Lublin
1–0
Gornik Zabrze
Form check

Their recent form.

Motor Lublin
Motor Lublin
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
Motor LublinvZaglebie Lubin
2–2
D
Motor LublinvSlask Wroclaw
3–2
W
Radomiak RadomvMotor Lublin
2–3
W
Motor LublinvGornik Zabrze
0–0
D
Raków CzęstochowavMotor Lublin
2–1
L
Gornik Zabrze
Gornik Zabrze
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
1W · 4D · 0L
Gornik ZabrzevLegia Warszawa
0–0
D
Widzew ŁódźvGornik Zabrze
1–1
D
Gornik ZabrzevPiast Gliwice
1–1
D
JagielloniavGornik Zabrze
1–3
W
Motor LublinvGornik Zabrze
0–0
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Ekstraklasa (Poland) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Lech PoznanLech Poznan
12
10
1
1
+21
31
2
Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze
13
8
4
1
+10
28
3
Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa
13
6
6
1
+12
24
4
Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin
12
7
3
2
+8
24
5
Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin
13
6
4
3
+1
22
6
GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice
13
7
0
6
+6
21
7
Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice
13
6
3
4
+4
21
8
Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow
13
6
3
4
+2
21
9
JagielloniaJagiellonia
12
6
0
6
-1
18
10
Korona KielceKorona Kielce
13
5
3
5
-5
18
11
Motor LublinMotor Lublin
13
4
4
5
-3
16
12
Wisla PlockWisla Plock
12
4
3
5
-6
15
13
Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow
13
3
3
7
-6
12
14
Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź
13
1
8
4
-2
11
15
Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom
13
3
2
8
-14
11
16
Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw
13
2
3
8
-8
9
17
Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa
13
3
0
10
-10
9
18
Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków
13
2
2
9
-9
8