Legia Warszawa arrive at the Motor Lublin Arena looking to close the one-point gap on the league leaders, while the hosts fight to move clear of the relegation zone.
Motor Lublin sit 15th, just one point above the drop zone with 28 games remaining. Survival is the priority, but momentum is stalling after three losses in their last five outings. Their last home appearance ended in a 0-2 defeat to Piast Gliwice, though they previously secured a vital 1-0 win over GKS Katowice on this ground.
Legia Warszawa remain unbeaten in five matches but have become draw specialists, sharing the points in three of their last four games. Following a 1-1 draw with Slask Wroclaw last time out, they sit 2nd in the table. While they remain firmly in the title race, their inability to kill off games is hampering their push for the top spot.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.
One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.
Legia Warszawa are the stronger side — 61 rating points clear of Motor Lublin.
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
Whole season, home and away combined — Motor Lublin 9 games, Legia Warszawa 9 games.
Ekstraklasa (Poland) standings · both teams highlighted in context.