Winlytics.AI
Full time
Ekstraklasa (Poland)
·
Motor Lublin
Motor Lublin
16th · 6 pts·DLLLD
vs
Legia Warszawa
Legia Warszawa
2nd · 19 pts·DDWDW
The story

Motor Lublin host title-chasing Legia in survival scrap

Legia Warszawa arrive at the Motor Lublin Arena looking to close the one-point gap on the league leaders, while the hosts fight to move clear of the relegation zone.

Match news & current form

Motor Lublin sit 15th, just one point above the drop zone with 28 games remaining. Survival is the priority, but momentum is stalling after three losses in their last five outings. Their last home appearance ended in a 0-2 defeat to Piast Gliwice, though they previously secured a vital 1-0 win over GKS Katowice on this ground.

Legia Warszawa remain unbeaten in five matches but have become draw specialists, sharing the points in three of their last four games. Following a 1-1 draw with Slask Wroclaw last time out, they sit 2nd in the table. While they remain firmly in the title race, their inability to kill off games is hampering their push for the top spot.

Head-to-head history

Legia Warszawa have historically dominated this fixture, remaining unbeaten in the last six recorded meetings with four wins and two draws. However, Motor Lublin have a reputation for resilience in home fixtures against the capital side, famously holding them to a 3-3 draw in one of their most high-scoring historical encounters.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Legia Warszawa have drawn 1-1 in three of their last four Ekstraklasa matches.
  • Motor Lublin have failed to keep a clean sheet in four of their last five league games.
  • Legia remain undefeated in their last five matches, but have only managed two wins in that period.
  • Motor Lublin have yet to record a victory against Legia Warszawa in their last six attempts.
Key players & missing men

Motor Lublin will rely on their 'dynamic engine room' in midfield to disrupt Legia's rhythm, with their pacey attacking trio expected to exploit transitions. Both squads enter the fixture with no reported absences, giving both managers full strength to implement their tactical plans.

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We have published a signal on Motor Lublin vs Legia Warszawa — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Motor Lublin vs Legia Warszawa and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Motor Lublin0.9
1.6Legia Warszawa
Season average total: 2.50 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
0%
50%
50%
Motor Lublin winDrawLegia Warszawa win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Legia Warszawa
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Motor Lublin
1380
Legia Warszawa
1441

Legia Warszawa are the stronger side — 61 rating points clear of Motor Lublin.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Motor LublinMotor LublinLegia WarszawaLegia Warszawa
1.00Goals scored / game2.11
1.67Goals conceded / game0.89
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Motor Lublin 9 games, Legia Warszawa 9 games.

Motor LublinMotor LublinLegia WarszawaLegia Warszawa
22%Games with a clean sheet22%
22%Games they failed to score0%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Motor Lublin
2–3
Legia Warszawa
Motor Lublin
3–0
Legia Warszawa
Legia Warszawa
4–0
Motor Lublin
Motor Lublin
1–1
Legia Warszawa
Motor Lublin
3–3
Legia Warszawa
Form check

Their recent form.

Motor Lublin
Motor Lublin
Struggling for results
Last 5
0W · 2D · 3L
Motor LublinvGornik Zabrze
0–0
D
Raków CzęstochowavMotor Lublin
2–1
L
Motor LublinvLegia Warszawa
2–3
L
Motor LublinvPiast Gliwice
0–2
L
Korona KielcevMotor Lublin
1–1
D
Legia Warszawa
Legia Warszawa
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 3D · 0L
JagielloniavLegia Warszawa
1–3
W
Legia WarszawavWidzew Łódź
1–1
D
Motor LublinvLegia Warszawa
2–3
W
Legia WarszawavSlask Wroclaw
1–1
D
Piast GliwicevLegia Warszawa
1–1
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Ekstraklasa (Poland) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze
9
7
1
1
+8
22
2
Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa
9
5
4
0
+11
19
3
Lech PoznanLech Poznan
8
6
1
1
+10
19
4
Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow
9
5
2
2
+5
17
5
Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin
8
4
3
1
+6
15
6
Korona KielceKorona Kielce
9
4
3
2
+2
15
7
Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin
9
4
3
2
+1
15
8
Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice
9
4
1
4
+1
13
9
GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice
8
4
0
4
+3
12
10
JagielloniaJagiellonia
8
4
0
4
-1
12
11
Wisla PlockWisla Plock
8
3
2
3
-3
11
12
Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź
9
1
6
2
+0
9
13
Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow
9
2
2
5
-5
8
14
Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom
9
2
2
5
-13
8
15
Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw
9
1
3
5
-4
6
16
Motor LublinMotor Lublin
9
1
3
5
-6
6
17
Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków
8
1
2
5
-6
5
18
Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa
9
1
0
8
-9
3