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Ekstraklasa (Poland)
·
Motor Lublin
Motor Lublin
16th · 6 pts·DLLLD
vs
Piast Gliwice
Piast Gliwice
8th · 13 pts·DWWWL
The story

Relegation Battle Looms as Piast Target Away Relief

A high-stakes basement clash sees 13th-place Motor Lublin attempt to distance themselves from the drop zone against a Piast Gliwice side currently mired in the relegation spots.

Match news & current form

Motor Lublin enter this fixture just one point above the relegation zone with 29 games remaining. They have found consistency hard to come by, recording a W1 D2 L2 run in their last five outings. Their most recent result was a hard-fought 1-1 draw away at Korona Kielce, following a vital 1-0 home win over GKS Katowice that proved they can grind out results against fellow strugglers.

Piast Gliwice find themselves in the bottom three, sitting 14th with only four points. Momentum is firmly against them following three losses in their last five matches, including a narrow 1-1 draw with Legia Warszawa last time out. Their form has been further dented by a high-scoring 3-4 defeat to Wieczysta Krakow, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities that have seen them concede eight goals so far this term.

Head-to-head history

Motor Lublin hold the historical edge in this matchup with two wins to Piast Gliwice's one, alongside a single draw. This fixture has recently trended toward low-scoring affairs when played in Lublin, though Piast's recent league matches have seen a significant uptick in total goals.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Piast Gliwice have failed to win any of their last six away matches in the Ekstraklasa.
  • Under 3.5 goals have been scored in seven of Motor Lublin's last eight home league games.
  • Motor Lublin have been held to under 1.5 goals in six of their last seven home fixtures.
  • Piast Gliwice have seen under 3.5 goals in each of their last five away trips.
  • Despite their poor away record, Piast Gliwice have found the net eight times in their last five matches overall.
Key players & missing men

Both squads appear to be at full strength for this critical encounter, with no injuries or suspensions reported for either side. Motor Lublin will look to maintain their defensive discipline at the Motor Lublin Arena, while Piast Gliwice need their attacking unit to replicate the form that saw them score four goals against Wisla Krakow earlier this month.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Motor Lublin1.0
1.2Piast Gliwice
Season average total: 2.22 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Motor Lublin winDrawPiast Gliwice win
Market call
Double chance : Motor Lublin or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Motor Lublin
1380
Piast Gliwice
1414

Piast Gliwice are the stronger side — 34 rating points clear of Motor Lublin.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Motor LublinMotor LublinPiast GliwicePiast Gliwice
1.00Goals scored / game1.78
1.67Goals conceded / game1.67
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Motor Lublin 9 games, Piast Gliwice 9 games.

Motor LublinMotor LublinPiast GliwicePiast Gliwice
22%Games with a clean sheet33%
22%Games they failed to score22%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Motor Lublin
0–2
Piast Gliwice
Piast Gliwice
1–2
Motor Lublin
Motor Lublin
0–0
Piast Gliwice
Motor Lublin
1–4
Piast Gliwice
Piast Gliwice
2–3
Motor Lublin
Form check

Their recent form.

Motor Lublin
Motor Lublin
Struggling for results
Last 5
0W · 2D · 3L
Motor LublinvGornik Zabrze
0–0
D
Raków CzęstochowavMotor Lublin
2–1
L
Motor LublinvLegia Warszawa
2–3
L
Motor LublinvPiast Gliwice
0–2
L
Korona KielcevMotor Lublin
1–1
D
Piast Gliwice
Piast Gliwice
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 1D · 1L
Piast GliwicevPogon Szczecin
1–2
L
Radomiak RadomvPiast Gliwice
0–2
W
Piast GliwicevGKS Katowice
3–0
W
Motor LublinvPiast Gliwice
0–2
W
Piast GliwicevLegia Warszawa
1–1
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Ekstraklasa (Poland) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze
9
7
1
1
+8
22
2
Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa
9
5
4
0
+11
19
3
Lech PoznanLech Poznan
8
6
1
1
+10
19
4
Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow
9
5
2
2
+5
17
5
Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin
8
4
3
1
+6
15
6
Korona KielceKorona Kielce
9
4
3
2
+2
15
7
Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin
9
4
3
2
+1
15
8
Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice
9
4
1
4
+1
13
9
GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice
8
4
0
4
+3
12
10
JagielloniaJagiellonia
8
4
0
4
-1
12
11
Wisla PlockWisla Plock
8
3
2
3
-3
11
12
Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź
9
1
6
2
+0
9
13
Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow
9
2
2
5
-5
8
14
Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom
9
2
2
5
-13
8
15
Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw
9
1
3
5
-4
6
16
Motor LublinMotor Lublin
9
1
3
5
-6
6
17
Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków
8
1
2
5
-6
5
18
Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa
9
1
0
8
-9
3