A high-stakes basement clash sees 13th-place Motor Lublin attempt to distance themselves from the drop zone against a Piast Gliwice side currently mired in the relegation spots.
Motor Lublin enter this fixture just one point above the relegation zone with 29 games remaining. They have found consistency hard to come by, recording a W1 D2 L2 run in their last five outings. Their most recent result was a hard-fought 1-1 draw away at Korona Kielce, following a vital 1-0 home win over GKS Katowice that proved they can grind out results against fellow strugglers.
Piast Gliwice find themselves in the bottom three, sitting 14th with only four points. Momentum is firmly against them following three losses in their last five matches, including a narrow 1-1 draw with Legia Warszawa last time out. Their form has been further dented by a high-scoring 3-4 defeat to Wieczysta Krakow, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities that have seen them concede eight goals so far this term.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.
One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.
Piast Gliwice are the stronger side — 34 rating points clear of Motor Lublin.
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
Whole season, home and away combined — Motor Lublin 9 games, Piast Gliwice 9 games.
Ekstraklasa (Poland) standings · both teams highlighted in context.