Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 20h
Ekstraklasa (Poland)
·
Motor Lublin
Motor Lublin
12th · 12 pts·LLDWW
vs
—
Zaglebie Lubin
Zaglebie Lubin
7th · 18 pts·WWLLW
The story

Motor Lublin host Zaglebie Lubin seeking home revival

With just 11 games played in the Ekstraklasa season, 12th-placed Motor Lublin aim to snap a five-match winless run against a Zagłębie Lubin side sitting seventh after back-to-back defeats.

Match news & current form

Motor Lublin sit 12th with 12 points after 11 matches and are still finding their feet this season. The hosts enter this fixture without a win in their last five league games (D2, L3), having most recently played out a 0-0 draw at home against Górnik Zabrze following consecutive defeats to Raków Częstochowa and Legia Warszawa.

Zagłębie Lubin have made a positive start to sit seventh on 18 points after 11 games, though their momentum has stalled slightly. They arrive in Lublin on the back of consecutive league defeats, having fallen 2-0 at home to Wisła Płock before losing 3-1 away to Cracovia.

Head-to-head history

Motor Lublin hold the upper hand in recent meetings between the two clubs. Motor have won four of the last five encounters, including a 1-0 home victory in March 2026, alongside a 2-2 draw at Zagłębie Lubin in September 2025.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Motor Lublin are unbeaten in their last five competitive matches against Zagłębie Lubin (W4, D1).
  • Zagłębie Lubin have conceded five goals in their last two Ekstraklasa matches.
  • Motor Lublin are winless in their last five league matches (D2, L3).
  • Zagłębie Lubin's last two away matches have produced a total of nine goals.
Key players & missing men

Karol Czubak provides the main attacking threat for the hosts, having scored four goals across his last five Ekstraklasa home outings. Neither side has reported any fresh injury concerns or suspensions heading into the contest.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Motor Lublin1.5
–
1.4Zaglebie Lubin
Season average total: 2.83 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Motor Lublin winDrawZaglebie Lubin win
Market call
Double chance : Motor Lublin or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Motor Lublin
1380
Zaglebie Lubin
1398

Evenly matched on rating.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Motor LublinMotor LublinZaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin
1.36Goals scored / game1.18
1.73Goals conceded / game1.18
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Motor Lublin 11 games, Zaglebie Lubin 11 games.

Motor LublinMotor LublinZaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin
18%Games with a clean sheet36%
18%Games they failed to score27%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Motor Lublin
1–0
Zaglebie Lubin
Zaglebie Lubin
2–2
Motor Lublin
Motor Lublin
1–0
Zaglebie Lubin
Zaglebie Lubin
1–2
Motor Lublin
Motor Lublin
1–0
Zaglebie Lubin
Form check

Their recent form.

Motor Lublin
Motor Lublin
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
Motor LublinvSlask Wroclaw
3–2
W
Radomiak RadomvMotor Lublin
2–3
W
Motor LublinvGornik Zabrze
0–0
D
Raków CzęstochowavMotor Lublin
2–1
L
Motor LublinvLegia Warszawa
2–3
L
Zaglebie Lubin
Zaglebie Lubin
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 0D · 2L
Zaglebie LubinvJagiellonia
1–0
W
Cracovia KrakowvZaglebie Lubin
3–1
L
Zaglebie LubinvWisla Plock
0–2
L
Raków CzęstochowavZaglebie Lubin
2–3
W
Zaglebie LubinvGKS Katowice
2–1
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Ekstraklasa (Poland) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze
11
8
2
1
+10
26
2
Lech PoznanLech Poznan
10
8
1
1
+18
25
3
Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa
11
6
5
0
+13
23
4
Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin
10
6
3
1
+9
21
5
GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice
11
6
0
5
+6
18
6
Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow
11
5
3
3
+3
18
7
Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin
11
5
3
3
+0
18
8
Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice
11
5
2
4
+2
17
9
Korona KielceKorona Kielce
11
4
3
4
-5
15
10
Wisla PlockWisla Plock
10
4
2
4
-5
14
11
Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow
11
3
3
5
-3
12
12
Motor LublinMotor Lublin
11
3
3
5
-4
12
13
JagielloniaJagiellonia
10
4
0
6
-4
12
14
Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź
11
1
7
3
-1
10
15
Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków
11
2
2
7
-5
8
16
Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom
11
2
2
7
-15
8
17
Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw
11
1
3
7
-8
6
18
Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa
11
2
0
9
-11
6