Nacional seek safety scramble as European-chasing Estoril visit
A survival battle meets European ambition as Nacional look to pull clear of the drop zone against an Estoril side sitting just outside the continental places.
Nacional enter this clash 12th in the table and just one point above the relegation places. Following a 2-2 draw with Santa Clara, the Alvinegros are desperate to end a goal drought that has seen them net just three times in six matches since early February. With survival not yet secured, the pressure is on to maximise home advantage.
Estoril sit 7th and are currently level on points with the European qualification spots. They opened their campaign with a 1-1 draw against Famalicao but travel to Madeira with a point to prove, having failed to win in four consecutive away fixtures.
Our model vs the market’s price.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
1.5
Strength rating and xG.
Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.
One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.
Estoril are the stronger side — 43 rating points clear of Nacional.
Goals scored and conceded.
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
NacionalEstorilWhole season, home and away combined — Nacional 7 games, Estoril 7 games.
NacionalEstorilPast meetings.
Their recent form.
Where they sit in the table.
Primeira Liga (Portugal) standings · both teams highlighted in context.
