Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 19h
Serie A (Italy)
·
Napoli
Napoli
9th · 10 pts·LWDWL
vs
—
AS Roma
AS Roma
3rd · 17 pts·WWDDW
The story

Napoli host unbeaten Roma in early Serie A clash

With seven games played, third-placed Roma travel south aiming to preserve their unbeaten start against a Napoli side sitting ninth.

Match news & current form

Napoli sit 9th on 10 points after 7 games, still looking to build sustained momentum in the opening stretch of the campaign. They head into this fixture in improving shape, however, having followed a 1-1 draw at Fiorentina with a comprehensive 3-0 home victory against Frosinone.

Roma have made a strong start to the season, sitting 3rd on 17 points after 7 games. They remain unbeaten across their last five matches (W3, D2), though they arrive following back-to-back draws: a 2-2 thriller against Inter and a 0-0 stalemate away to Como.

Head-to-head history

Napoli have held the upper hand in this fixture in recent seasons, remaining undefeated across the last five meetings between the clubs. Their most recent clash in February 2026 ended in a 2-2 draw, following a 1-0 away win for Napoli in November 2025 and earlier scorelines of 1-1, 1-0, and 2-2.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Napoli are unbeaten in their last five encounters with Roma (two wins, three draws).
  • Roma are undefeated in their last five league outings, winning three and drawing two.
  • Napoli have kept clean sheets in two of their last three league fixtures.
Key players & missing men

Napoli are without defender A. Buongiorno for the clash, though they have relied heavily on regular starters Amir Rrahmani, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, and Rasmus Højlund. Roma make the journey south without M. Bah.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Napoli vs AS Roma and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Napoli0.8
–
1.3AS Roma
Season average total: 2.17 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Napoli winDrawAS Roma win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or AS Roma
Goals forecast
Under 3.5 goals
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Napoli
1780
AS Roma
1793

Evenly matched on rating.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

NapoliNapoli
Goals scored
1.60
Expected (xG)
1.92
Wasteful — scoring below their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
AS RomaAS Roma
Goals scored
2.30
Expected (xG)
2.65
Wasteful — scoring below their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

NapoliNapoliAS RomaAS Roma
1.43Goals scored / game2.29
1.00Goals conceded / game0.43
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Napoli 7 games, AS Roma 7 games.

NapoliNapoliAS RomaAS Roma
43%Games with a clean sheet71%
14%Games they failed to score14%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Napoli
2–2
AS Roma
AS Roma
0–1
Napoli
AS Roma
1–1
Napoli
Napoli
1–0
AS Roma
Napoli
2–2
AS Roma
Injuries & suspensions

Who’s out.

Napoli
A. Buongiorno
Out · Jumpers Knee
AS Roma
M. Bah
Out · Jumpers Knee
Form check

Their recent form.

Napoli
Napoli
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
VeneziavNapoli
1–0
L
NapolivFrosinone
3–0
W
FiorentinavNapoli
1–1
D
NapolivBologna
1–0
W
IntervNapoli
3–2
L
AS Roma
AS Roma
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 2D · 0L
AS RomavGenoa
2–0
W
ComovAS Roma
0–0
D
AS RomavInter
2–2
D
TorinovAS Roma
0–2
W
AS RomavAtalanta
2–1
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Serie A (Italy) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
InterInter
7
6
1
0
+12
19
2
LazioLazio
7
6
1
0
+10
19
3
AS RomaAS Roma
7
5
2
0
+13
17
4
AC MilanAC Milan
7
4
3
0
+7
15
5
ComoComo
7
4
2
1
+5
14
6
FrosinoneFrosinone
7
4
1
2
+4
13
7
CagliariCagliari
7
4
1
2
-1
13
8
JuventusJuventus
7
3
2
2
+1
11
9
NapoliNapoli
7
3
1
3
+3
10
10
TorinoTorino
7
3
1
3
+1
10
11
AtalantaAtalanta
7
3
0
4
-1
9
12
LecceLecce
7
3
0
4
-3
9
13
SassuoloSassuolo
7
2
2
3
-2
8
14
MonzaMonza
7
2
1
4
-2
7
15
BolognaBologna
7
1
2
4
-4
5
16
UdineseUdinese
7
1
1
5
-7
4
17
GenoaGenoa
7
1
1
5
-8
4
18
FiorentinaFiorentina
7
1
1
5
-9
4
19
ParmaParma
7
1
1
5
-9
4
20
VeneziaVenezia
7
1
0
6
-10
3