Napoli require just one point to guarantee a second-place finish in their season finale against a Udinese side chasing a rare top-half spot.
Napoli sit 2nd on 73 points and head into the final day needing a draw to secure the runners-up spot behind Inter Milan. Antonio Conte’s side responded to a recent 3-2 home loss against Bologna by cruising to a 3-0 victory over Pisa last weekend, though their form at the Stadio Maradona has stuttered with two defeats in their last three home games.
Udinese occupy 10th place with 50 points, having already secured safety and fallen out of the European race. Kosta Runjaic has overseen significant progress this term, and while they lost 1-0 to Cremonese last time out, a win here could lift them to 9th. Reaching 51 points would represent their best Serie A return since the 2012-13 campaign.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.
One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.
Napoli are the stronger side — 134 rating points clear of Udinese.
xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
Whole season, home and away combined — Napoli 5 games, Udinese 5 games.
Serie A (Italy) standings · both teams highlighted in context.