Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 16h
Liga MX (Mexico)
·
Necaxa
Necaxa
17th · 9 pts·DLLLD
vs
—
Atlas
Atlas
6th · 18 pts·DLDWD
The story

Struggling Necaxa host top-eight Atlas at Estadio Victoria

Atlas aim to cement their spot in the playoff places at Estadio Victoria against a Necaxa side desperate to close a six-point gap on the top eight with six games remaining.

Match news & current form

Necaxa sit 17th in the table with nine points, leaving them nine places and six points adrift of the playoff places with six games left to play. Their form has cratered in recent weeks, managing just one draw and four defeats in their last five league outings, most recently falling to a 4-2 home loss against Club America.

Atlas enter the clash in sixth place on 18 points, occupying a position in the playoff places and sitting three points clear of the cut-off. They have proven stubborn to beat, taking one win, three draws, and one defeat across their last five matches, having shared the points in a 1-1 draw with Guadalajara Chivas in their last fixture.

Head-to-head history

Recent meetings between these two have favoured the Guadalajara outfit, with Atlas unbeaten in their last four clashes with Necaxa. That run includes a 0-0 stalemate when they met in July 2026, a 1-0 win for Atlas in January 2026, and high-scoring 5-3 and 3-2 victories for Atlas in late 2025.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Necaxa are winless in their last five Liga MX fixtures (D1 L4).
  • Atlas have seen both teams score in four of their last five league matches.
  • Atlas have scored eight goals across their last five matches while shipping ten.
  • Three of the last four meetings between these clubs have seen both sides score.
Key players & missing men

Both managers enjoy fully fit squads with no fresh absences reported for either team. Julian Simon Carranza carries the chief goalscoring threat for Necaxa with seven goals this term, backed by creator Matias Roman Espindola Riquelme, while Luis Andre Leite Esteves leads the visitors' attack with four goals.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Necaxa1.6
–
2.1Atlas
Season average total: 3.67 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Necaxa winDrawAtlas win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Atlas
Goals forecast
Over 1.5 goals
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

NecaxaNecaxaAtlasAtlas
1.36Goals scored / game1.55
2.09Goals conceded / game1.64
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Necaxa 11 games, Atlas 11 games.

NecaxaNecaxaAtlasAtlas
0%Games with a clean sheet18%
9%Games they failed to score9%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Atlas
0–0
Necaxa
Necaxa
0–1
Atlas
Atlas
5–3
Necaxa
Atlas
3–2
Necaxa
Atlas
0–4
Necaxa
Form check

Their recent form.

Necaxa
Necaxa
Struggling for results
Last 5
0W · 2D · 3L
CF PachucavNecaxa
3–3
D
NecaxavClub America
2–4
L
Atletico San LuisvNecaxa
3–1
L
NecaxavPuebla
0–1
L
Tigres UANLvNecaxa
1–1
D
Atlas
Atlas
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
1W · 3D · 1L
AtlasvGuadalajara Chivas
1–1
D
Club TijuanavAtlas
2–3
W
AtlasvU.N.A.M. - Pumas
1–1
D
TolucavAtlas
5–2
L
AtlasvAtlante FC
1–1
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Liga MX (Mexico) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Club AmericaClub America
10
6
3
1
+11
21
2
TolucaToluca
11
6
2
3
+10
20
3
Club QueretaroClub Queretaro
10
6
2
2
+7
20
4
Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas
11
5
4
2
+7
19
5
LeonLeon
11
5
3
3
+3
18
6
AtlasAtlas
11
5
3
3
-1
18
7
Cruz AzulCruz Azul
11
5
2
4
+1
17
8
Club TijuanaClub Tijuana
10
4
3
3
+1
15
9
PueblaPuebla
11
4
3
4
-1
15
10
MonterreyMonterrey
10
4
2
4
+2
14
11
CF PachucaCF Pachuca
11
3
4
4
+4
13
12
U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas
11
3
4
4
-2
13
13
Tigres UANLTigres UANL
11
3
4
4
-2
13
14
Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
11
4
1
6
-4
13
15
Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
11
3
3
5
-5
12
16
Atlante FCAtlante FC
11
2
5
4
-5
11
17
NecaxaNecaxa
11
2
3
6
-8
9
18
FC JuarezFC Juarez
11
1
1
9
-18
4