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Liga MX (Mexico)
·
Necaxa
Necaxa
17th · 10 pts·LDLLD
vs
—
Leon
Leon
7th · 22 pts·WDLWD
The story

Necaxa eye European spots as Leon battle drop

Eighth-placed Necaxa look to cement their early-season push for European places against a Leon side sitting just two points above the relegation zone.

Match news & current form

Necaxa enter this fixture 8th in the table with 6 points, knowing a win could propel them into the European places with 31 games still to play. Despite a 3-1 setback at Toluca on August 2, the hosts have been formidable at Estadio Victoria, recently securing back-to-back 2-1 wins over Monterrey and Atlante FC.

Leon sit 14th with just 3 points and are still firmly in a survival battle, hovering only two points above the drop. While they secured a morale-boosting 1-0 win over Pachuca in their last outing, their away form remains a concern following a 1-0 loss at Tijuana and a 3-2 home defeat to Atlas earlier in the campaign.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Necaxa have both scored and conceded in each of their last three Liga MX matches.
  • Leon have lost two of their last three matches, failing to score in both of those defeats.
  • Necaxa's last two home victories have both ended with a 2-1 scoreline.
  • Leon have historically dominated this fixture with 15 wins to Necaxa's 4, though current momentum favors the hosts.
Key players & missing men

Necaxa's attack is led by Carranza, who has been highly efficient with 3 goals in just 225 minutes of play. Leon will look to Jordi Cortizo and Daniel Arcila to provide the creative spark; Arcila leads his team with 6 chances created in 170 minutes, while Cortizo has contributed one goal and four chances created. Both squads report a clean bill of health with no players currently sidelined through injury or suspension.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Necaxa1.2
–
1.6Leon
Season average total: 2.80 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Necaxa winDrawLeon win
Market call
Double chance : Necaxa or Draw
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

NecaxaNecaxaLeonLeon
1.36Goals scored / game1.50
2.09Goals conceded / game1.29
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Necaxa 11 games, Leon 14 games.

NecaxaNecaxaLeonLeon
0%Games with a clean sheet29%
9%Games they failed to score7%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Necaxa
1–2
Leon
Leon
0–0
Necaxa
Leon
2–1
Necaxa
Leon
1–2
Necaxa
Necaxa
0–1
Leon
Form check

Their recent form.

Necaxa
Necaxa
Struggling for results
Last 5
0W · 2D · 3L
NecaxavFC Juarez
1–1
D
Guadalajara ChivasvNecaxa
1–0
L
NecaxavAtlas
0–2
L
CF PachucavNecaxa
3–3
D
NecaxavClub America
2–4
L
Leon
Leon
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
LeonvToluca
1–1
D
Tigres UANLvLeon
0–2
W
LeonvClub America
3–5
L
PueblavLeon
1–1
D
LeonvFC Juarez
2–1
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Liga MX (Mexico) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Club AmericaClub America
15
8
5
2
+15
29
2
Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas
15
8
5
2
+11
29
3
Cruz AzulCruz Azul
15
9
2
4
+10
29
4
AtlasAtlas
15
8
3
4
+0
27
5
TolucaToluca
15
6
6
3
+10
24
6
Club TijuanaClub Tijuana
15
5
7
3
+4
22
7
LeonLeon
15
6
4
5
+2
22
8
Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
15
7
1
7
+1
22
9
MonterreyMonterrey
14
6
3
5
+5
21
10
U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas
15
5
5
5
-2
20
11
Club QueretaroClub Queretaro
14
6
2
6
-3
20
12
CF PachucaCF Pachuca
15
5
4
6
+6
19
13
Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
15
5
4
6
-4
19
14
PueblaPuebla
15
4
4
7
-6
16
15
Tigres UANLTigres UANL
15
3
6
6
-7
15
16
Atlante FCAtlante FC
15
3
5
7
-8
14
17
NecaxaNecaxa
15
2
4
9
-12
10
18
FC JuarezFC Juarez
15
2
2
11
-22
8