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Liga MX (Mexico)
·
Necaxa
Necaxa
15th · 8 pts·DLDLL
vs
Leon
Leon
10th · 13 pts·WDLWD
The story

Necaxa eye European spots as Leon battle drop

Eighth-placed Necaxa look to cement their early-season push for European places against a Leon side sitting just two points above the relegation zone.

Match news & current form

Necaxa enter this fixture 8th in the table with 6 points, knowing a win could propel them into the European places with 31 games still to play. Despite a 3-1 setback at Toluca on August 2, the hosts have been formidable at Estadio Victoria, recently securing back-to-back 2-1 wins over Monterrey and Atlante FC.

Leon sit 14th with just 3 points and are still firmly in a survival battle, hovering only two points above the drop. While they secured a morale-boosting 1-0 win over Pachuca in their last outing, their away form remains a concern following a 1-0 loss at Tijuana and a 3-2 home defeat to Atlas earlier in the campaign.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Necaxa have both scored and conceded in each of their last three Liga MX matches.
  • Leon have lost two of their last three matches, failing to score in both of those defeats.
  • Necaxa's last two home victories have both ended with a 2-1 scoreline.
  • Leon have historically dominated this fixture with 15 wins to Necaxa's 4, though current momentum favors the hosts.
Key players & missing men

Necaxa's attack is led by Carranza, who has been highly efficient with 3 goals in just 225 minutes of play. Leon will look to Jordi Cortizo and Daniel Arcila to provide the creative spark; Arcila leads his team with 6 chances created in 170 minutes, while Cortizo has contributed one goal and four chances created. Both squads report a clean bill of health with no players currently sidelined through injury or suspension.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Necaxa1.4
1.3Leon
Season average total: 2.65 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Necaxa winDrawLeon win
Market call
Double chance : Necaxa or Draw
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

NecaxaNecaxaLeonLeon
1.11Goals scored / game1.38
1.78Goals conceded / game1.13
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Necaxa 9 games, Leon 8 games.

NecaxaNecaxaLeonLeon
0%Games with a clean sheet38%
11%Games they failed to score13%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Necaxa
1–2
Leon
Leon
0–0
Necaxa
Leon
2–1
Necaxa
Leon
1–2
Necaxa
Necaxa
0–1
Leon
Form check

Their recent form.

Necaxa
Necaxa
Struggling for results
Last 5
0W · 2D · 3L
Atletico San LuisvNecaxa
3–1
L
NecaxavPuebla
0–1
L
Tigres UANLvNecaxa
1–1
D
NecaxavCruz Azul
1–3
L
U.N.A.M. - PumasvNecaxa
1–1
D
Leon
Leon
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
Club QueretarovLeon
1–1
D
LeonvAtletico San Luis
2–0
W
U.N.A.M. - PumasvLeon
3–1
L
Atlante FCvLeon
1–1
D
LeonvMonterrey
2–0
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Liga MX (Mexico) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
TolucaToluca
9
6
1
2
+11
19
2
Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas
9
5
3
1
+9
18
3
Club AmericaClub America
8
5
2
1
+9
17
4
Cruz AzulCruz Azul
9
5
0
4
+1
15
5
Club TijuanaClub Tijuana
8
4
2
2
+2
14
6
PueblaPuebla
9
4
2
3
+0
14
7
AtlasAtlas
9
4
2
3
-2
14
8
MonterreyMonterrey
8
4
1
3
+4
13
9
Club QueretaroClub Queretaro
7
4
1
2
+3
13
10
LeonLeon
8
4
1
3
+2
13
11
CF PachucaCF Pachuca
9
3
3
3
+5
12
12
U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas
9
3
3
3
-1
12
13
Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
9
2
3
4
-5
9
14
Atlante FCAtlante FC
9
1
5
3
-5
8
15
NecaxaNecaxa
9
2
2
5
-6
8
16
Tigres UANLTigres UANL
9
1
4
4
-4
7
17
Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
9
2
1
6
-6
7
18
FC JuarezFC Juarez
9
1
0
8
-17
3