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Major League Soccer (USA)
·
New York City FC
New York City FC
11th · 39 pts·LDDWD
vs
—
Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire
4th · 55 pts·LLWDW
The story

Fire eye top two as NYCFC defend European spots

A high-stakes Eastern Conference clash sees third-place Chicago Fire travel to Yankee Stadium looking to widen the four-point gap over sixth-place New York City FC.

Match news & current form

New York City FC enter this fixture fighting to hold onto a European qualification spot, currently sitting sixth on 22 points. The Pigeons have found some rhythm with three wins from their last five, most recently securing a 2-1 victory away at Columbus Crew. While they recently dominated Columbus 3-0 at home, that result snapped a worrying five-game winless run at Yankee Stadium, suggesting their home dominance is not yet fully restored.

Chicago Fire sit third on 26 points and possess a game in hand over their hosts. Gregg Berhalter’s side saw a three-match winning streak ended by Inter Miami last time out in a 3-2 thriller, but they remain one of the most dangerous travelling sides in the Eastern Conference. Before that setback in Florida, the Fire had gone six away matches unbeaten across all competitions.

Head-to-head history

Historical trends heavily favour the hosts, as NYCFC are currently unbeaten in their last nine meetings against Chicago across all competitions, a run that includes six victories. The Pigeons completed a league double over the Fire last season, winning both encounters by a 3-1 scoreline.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Chicago Fire have scored 2+ goals in each of their last five Major League Soccer away games.
  • NYCFC have scored in every one of their last five league matches.
  • The Fire are looking for their first victory over New York City FC in ten attempts.
  • Only two clubs in the Eastern Conference have collected more away points than Chicago this season.
Key players & missing men

Nicolás Fernández is the man in form for the hosts, with the market backing him to continue his scoring run at Yankee Stadium. However, NYCFC are severely depleted by absences, missing Baiera, Martinez, O'Neill, O'Toole, and the influential midfield duo of Maxi Moralez and Keaton Parks. Chicago Fire will be without A. Franco, C. Mueller, and M. Mbokazi.

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Our model prices every market we cover on New York City FC vs Chicago Fire and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
New York City FC1.7
–
1.6Chicago Fire
Season average total: 3.35 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
New York City FC winDrawChicago Fire win
Market call
Double chance : New York City FC or Draw
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

New York City FCNew York City FCChicago FireChicago Fire
1.45Goals scored / game1.85
1.36Goals conceded / game1.52
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — New York City FC 33 games, Chicago Fire 33 games.

New York City FCNew York City FCChicago FireChicago Fire
15%Games with a clean sheet21%
18%Games they failed to score9%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Chicago Fire
2–1
New York City FC
New York City FC
3–1
Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire
1–3
New York City FC
New York City FC
3–1
Chicago Fire
New York City FC
2–2
Chicago Fire
Form check

Their recent form.

New York City FC
New York City FC
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
1W · 3D · 1L
New York City FCvCF Montreal
1–1
D
New York City FCvAtlanta United FC
2–1
W
Orlando City SCvNew York City FC
2–2
D
New York City FCvLos Angeles FC
1–1
D
Inter MiamivNew York City FC
2–0
L
Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
Colorado RapidsvChicago Fire
2–4
W
Chicago FirevOrlando City SC
2–2
D
Atlanta United FCvChicago Fire
2–3
W
New England RevolutionvChicago Fire
1–0
L
Chicago FirevPhiladelphia Union
1–3
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Major League Soccer (USA) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Nashville SCNashville SC
33
22
8
3
+44
74
2
Inter MiamiInter Miami
33
16
11
6
+21
59
3
New England RevolutionNew England Revolution
33
18
4
11
+9
58
4
Chicago FireChicago Fire
33
16
7
10
+11
55
5
CharlotteCharlotte
33
15
8
10
+15
53
6
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
33
13
8
12
+11
47
7
FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
33
12
10
11
-6
46
8
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
33
13
5
15
+6
44
9
Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
33
12
7
14
-16
43
10
New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
33
11
6
16
-17
39
11
New York City FCNew York City FC
33
9
12
12
+3
39
12
Toronto FCToronto FC
33
9
12
12
-12
39
13
Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
33
9
6
18
-14
33
14
DC UnitedDC United
33
7
12
14
-21
33
15
CF MontrealCF Montreal
33
6
8
19
-30
26