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Major League Soccer (USA)
·
New York City FC
New York City FC
11th · 39 pts·LDDWD
vs
—
Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union
6th · 47 pts·WWDLD
The story

NYCFC defend European spot against surging Union

New York City FC aim to solidify their fifth-place standing and European aspirations against a Philadelphia Union side rapidly climbing the table after three straight MLS victories.

Match news & current form

New York City FC sit 5th in the Eastern Conference with 26 points, fighting to hold onto a European qualification spot with 28 games left in the campaign. They have maintained steady momentum with two wins from their three matches following the World Cup break, most recently securing a 1-1 draw against Toronto FC. Head coach Nick Cushing continues to oversee a squad that has shown resilience, losing only once in their last five outings.

Philadelphia Union currently occupy 13th place with 16 points but are one of the league's form teams, having won three consecutive MLS matches against Atlanta United, Seattle Sounders, and the New York Red Bulls. Despite a disappointing Leagues Cup exit, Jim Curtin’s side has cut the gap to the playoff spots to just seven points. The Union's recent league fixtures have been high-scoring affairs, including a chaotic 4-6 loss to Inter Miami and a recent 3-2 victory over Atlanta.

Head-to-head history

This rivalry has been defined by decisive results rather than stalemates; the two clubs have not played out a draw in their last 12 meetings. Philadelphia has enjoyed significant success in the Bronx this decade, losing only once in their last six visits to New York City.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Philadelphia Union are seeking a fourth consecutive MLS victory following their post-World Cup break restart.
  • The Union have conceded 33 goals through 18 matches, the highest among the teams in the playoff hunt.
  • NYCFC have avoided defeat in four of their last five matches (W2, D2).
  • No draws have been recorded between these two sides in over a dozen consecutive head-to-head encounters.
Key players & missing men

Milan Iloski is the man in form for the visitors, leading their threat with 10 goals this season, while 16-year-old Cavan Sullivan is looking for 'revenge' after scoring his first two senior goals recently. NYCFC rely on Hannes Wolf, who has five goals and 13 chances created this term. The hosts are heavily depleted in defense and midfield with Baiera, Farnos, Martinez, Moralez, O'Neill, and Raul Gustavo all ruled out. Philadelphia will likely recall veteran keeper Andre Blake, though they remain without G. Martinez, P. Ndinga, and long-term absentees Sundstrom and Anello.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
New York City FC1.9
–
1.7Philadelphia Union
Season average total: 3.56 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
New York City FC winDrawPhiladelphia Union win
Market call
Double chance : New York City FC or Draw
Goals forecast
Over 1.5 goals
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

New York City FCNew York City FCPhiladelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
1.45Goals scored / game1.88
1.36Goals conceded / game1.55
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — New York City FC 33 games, Philadelphia Union 33 games.

New York City FCNew York City FCPhiladelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
15%Games with a clean sheet21%
18%Games they failed to score21%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

New York City FC
2–3
Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union
1–2
New York City FC
Philadelphia Union
0–1
New York City FC
Philadelphia Union
1–0
New York City FC
New York City FC
1–0
Philadelphia Union
Form check

Their recent form.

New York City FC
New York City FC
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
1W · 3D · 1L
New York City FCvCF Montreal
1–1
D
New York City FCvAtlanta United FC
2–1
W
Orlando City SCvNew York City FC
2–2
D
New York City FCvLos Angeles FC
1–1
D
Inter MiamivNew York City FC
2–0
L
Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
Nashville SCvPhiladelphia Union
0–0
D
Philadelphia UnionvNew England Revolution
1–2
L
Philadelphia UnionvCharlotte
2–2
D
Chicago FirevPhiladelphia Union
1–3
W
Philadelphia UnionvReal Salt Lake
2–1
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Major League Soccer (USA) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Nashville SCNashville SC
33
22
8
3
+44
74
2
Inter MiamiInter Miami
33
16
11
6
+21
59
3
New England RevolutionNew England Revolution
33
18
4
11
+9
58
4
Chicago FireChicago Fire
33
16
7
10
+11
55
5
CharlotteCharlotte
33
15
8
10
+15
53
6
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
33
13
8
12
+11
47
7
FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
33
12
10
11
-6
46
8
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
33
13
5
15
+6
44
9
Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
33
12
7
14
-16
43
10
New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
33
11
6
16
-17
39
11
New York City FCNew York City FC
33
9
12
12
+3
39
12
Toronto FCToronto FC
33
9
12
12
-12
39
13
Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
33
9
6
18
-14
33
14
DC UnitedDC United
33
7
12
14
-21
33
15
CF MontrealCF Montreal
33
6
8
19
-30
26