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Major League Soccer (USA)
·
New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls
8th · 33 pts·LDLWW
vs
—
Nashville SC
Nashville SC
1st · 57 pts·WDLDW
The story

Nashville chase title as Red Bulls seek home revival

League leaders Nashville SC travel to Sports Illustrated Stadium looking to tighten their grip on the title race against a New York Red Bulls side fighting to stay within reach of the European places.

Match news & current form

New York Red Bulls enter this fixture in eighth place, sitting seven points adrift of the European qualification spots. Their recent form has been erratic, following a 2-1 defeat to Atlanta United with a mixed run of two wins and three losses in their last five. However, confidence remains high after a recent record-equalling 7-0 demolition of LA Galaxy, proving they possess the firepower to dismantle any defense when clinical.

Nashville SC arrive as the undisputed pace-setters, sitting top of the table with 43 points and a conference-best +24 goal difference. They are in full control of the title race and come into this clash with momentum after a dominant 4-1 victory over Inter Miami. With three wins from their last five, the visitors have perfected the art of the narrow victory, securing two 1-0 results in that span.

Head-to-head history

This is the eighth regular-season meeting between the two clubs, with New York Red Bulls holding a slight historical advantage with a 3-0-4 record. While Nashville have been the more consistent side this campaign, the Red Bulls have often found ways to stifle the Tennessee outfit in past encounters.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Nashville SC have won two of their last five matches by an identical 1-0 scoreline.
  • New York Red Bulls recently tied a franchise record by scoring seven goals in a single match against LA Galaxy.
  • Emil Forsberg has created a team-high 30 chances for the Red Bulls this season.
  • Nashville's +24 goal difference is currently the best return in the Eastern Conference.
  • The Red Bulls have lost three of their last five matches, highlighting a recent struggle for consistency.
Key players & missing men

The hosts will rely on Julian Hall, who leads the club with nine goals, and the creative spark of Emil Forsberg. Newcomer Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting is also in fine form after netting his first MLS multi-goal game recently. Nashville's threat is spearheaded by Samuel Surridge (12 goals) and Hany Mukhtar, who has registered 54 shots this term. On the injury front, the Red Bulls are without A. Marcucci and R. Mosquera, while Nashville travel without P. Yazbek and W. Madrigal.

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Our model prices every market we cover on New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
New York Red Bulls1.1
–
1.5Nashville SC
Season average total: 2.59 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
New York Red Bulls winDrawNashville SC win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Nashville SC
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

New York Red BullsNew York Red BullsNashville SCNashville SC
1.31Goals scored / game2.04
1.85Goals conceded / game0.81
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — New York Red Bulls 26 games, Nashville SC 26 games.

New York Red BullsNew York Red BullsNashville SCNashville SC
15%Games with a clean sheet46%
27%Games they failed to score19%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

New York Red Bulls
0–1
Nashville SC
Nashville SC
2–1
New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls
2–0
Nashville SC
New York Red Bulls
0–0
Nashville SC
Nashville SC
0–0
New York Red Bulls
Form check

Their recent form.

New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
New York City FCvNew York Red Bulls
0–1
W
Columbus CrewvNew York Red Bulls
0–1
W
Los Angeles FCvNew York Red Bulls
2–0
L
Seattle SoundersvNew York Red Bulls
0–0
D
New York Red BullsvPhiladelphia Union
1–3
L
Nashville SC
Nashville SC
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
Nashville SCvChicago Fire
3–0
W
Inter MiamivNashville SC
2–2
D
Toronto FCvNashville SC
2–1
L
New York City FCvNashville SC
0–0
D
Nashville SCvFC Cincinnati
4–0
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Major League Soccer (USA) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Nashville SCNashville SC
26
17
6
3
+32
57
2
New England RevolutionNew England Revolution
26
14
4
8
+12
46
3
Inter MiamiInter Miami
25
12
9
4
+15
45
4
CharlotteCharlotte
26
12
7
7
+10
43
5
Chicago FireChicago Fire
25
11
6
8
+7
39
6
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
26
10
6
10
+8
36
7
Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
26
10
4
12
-14
34
8
New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
26
9
6
11
-14
33
9
FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
25
8
9
8
-7
33
10
New York City FCNew York City FC
26
8
8
10
+5
32
11
DC UnitedDC United
25
6
11
8
-8
29
12
Toronto FCToronto FC
26
6
11
9
-10
29
13
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
26
7
5
14
-5
26
14
Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
26
7
5
14
-13
26
15
CF MontrealCF Montreal
26
5
6
15
-22
21