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Major League Soccer (USA)
·
New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls
8th · 33 pts·LDLWW
vs
—
Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union
6th · 36 pts·WWWWW
The story

Richter debut as Red Bulls chase European contention

New York Red Bulls look to close a 10-point gap on the European places as they host a Philadelphia Union side entering a new era under Ryan Richter.

Match news & current form

New York Red Bulls enter this fixture sitting 8th in the table, currently 10 points adrift of the European qualification spots with 25 games remaining. Michael Bradley’s side has struggled for consistency of late, recording just one win in their last five outings (W1 D1 L3). They showed resilience in their last match, however, as substitute Cameron Harper struck late to rescue a 1-1 draw against Chicago Fire.

Philadelphia Union arrive in New York unbeaten in their last six MLS contests, a run that includes high-scoring victories over NYCFC and Atlanta United. This match marks a significant milestone for the club as Ryan Richter takes charge for his managerial debut. Despite their recent momentum and a 1-1 draw with Austin FC last time out, the Union remain near the foot of the Eastern Conference standings and are desperate to climb out of the bottom three.

Head-to-head history

While New York secured a 1-0 win in the most recent meeting last August, Subaru Park has historically been a graveyard for them; however, this fixture returns to New York where the Red Bulls look to snap a broader winless trend against the Union. Philadelphia have traditionally held the upper hand in recent years, but the Red Bulls' 1-0 victory in the last encounter suggests the tide may be turning.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Philadelphia Union are currently on a six-match unbeaten streak in MLS play.
  • New York Red Bulls have seen high-scoring affairs recently, including a 3-2 win over Orlando City and a 2-1 loss to Atlanta.
  • The Red Bulls are winless in four of their last five matches, with their only victory being a five-goal thriller.
  • Philadelphia have scored at least twice in three of their last five matches.
Key players & missing men

Teenage sensation Julian Hall is the man to watch for the hosts, leading the Red Bulls with 9 goals this season. He is supported by Emil Forsberg, who has created 30 chances. For the visitors, Milan Iloski is the creative hub with 10 goals and 43 chances created. Philadelphia also welcome back defender Kai Wagner, a premier set-piece specialist. Injury-wise, Philadelphia’s Geiner Martinez is a doubt, while New York may recall Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting to the starting XI.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
New York Red Bulls1.9
–
2.1Philadelphia Union
Season average total: 3.92 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
New York Red Bulls winDrawPhiladelphia Union win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Philadelphia Union
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

New York Red BullsNew York Red BullsPhiladelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
1.31Goals scored / game1.92
1.85Goals conceded / game1.62
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — New York Red Bulls 26 games, Philadelphia Union 26 games.

New York Red BullsNew York Red BullsPhiladelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
15%Games with a clean sheet23%
27%Games they failed to score19%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

New York Red Bulls
1–3
Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union
3–1
New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls
1–0
Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union
3–2
New York Red Bulls
Philadelphia Union
2–0
New York Red Bulls
Form check

Their recent form.

New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
New York City FCvNew York Red Bulls
0–1
W
Columbus CrewvNew York Red Bulls
0–1
W
Los Angeles FCvNew York Red Bulls
2–0
L
Seattle SoundersvNew York Red Bulls
0–0
D
New York Red BullsvPhiladelphia Union
1–3
L
Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union
On a strong winning run
Last 5
5W · 0D · 0L
Sporting Kansas CityvPhiladelphia Union
3–4
W
San DiegovPhiladelphia Union
0–5
W
Philadelphia UnionvFC Cincinnati
5–0
W
Philadelphia UnionvCF Montreal
2–0
W
New York Red BullsvPhiladelphia Union
1–3
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Major League Soccer (USA) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Nashville SCNashville SC
26
17
6
3
+32
57
2
New England RevolutionNew England Revolution
26
14
4
8
+12
46
3
Inter MiamiInter Miami
25
12
9
4
+15
45
4
CharlotteCharlotte
26
12
7
7
+10
43
5
Chicago FireChicago Fire
25
11
6
8
+7
39
6
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
26
10
6
10
+8
36
7
Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
26
10
4
12
-14
34
8
New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
26
9
6
11
-14
33
9
FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
25
8
9
8
-7
33
10
New York City FCNew York City FC
26
8
8
10
+5
32
11
DC UnitedDC United
25
6
11
8
-8
29
12
Toronto FCToronto FC
26
6
11
9
-10
29
13
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
26
7
5
14
-5
26
14
Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
26
7
5
14
-13
26
15
CF MontrealCF Montreal
26
5
6
15
-22
21