Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 20h
Premier League (England)
·
Newcastle
Newcastle
8th · 11 pts·LWLLW
vs
—
Everton
Everton
11th · 10 pts·DWDLL
The story

Newcastle host Everton separated by a single league point

Separated by just one point after eight games, Newcastle United and Everton meet at St James' Park looking to inject momentum into their campaigns.

Match news & current form

Newcastle sit eighth on 11 points after eight matches, having made a steady start to the campaign despite a difficult recent run. The Magpies have won just one of their last five matches in all competitions, falling 1-0 at home to Aston Villa in their last league outing before a 3-1 midweek cup defeat against the Toffees.

Everton sit 11th on 10 points after eight games, having hit a slight stumbling block in the league following back-to-back 2-0 defeats against Chelsea and Arsenal. However, their 3-1 win over Newcastle in the Carabao Cup just days ago will give them confidence as they return to league action.

Head-to-head history

This is the second meeting between the sides in less than a week, with Everton claiming a 3-1 win on 29 October. Across the last five clashes on record, Everton have won four times, including a 3-1 win at St James' Park in August 2026 and a 3-2 victory in February 2026, while Newcastle claimed a 4-1 away win in November 2025.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Four of the last five meetings between Newcastle and Everton have produced over 3.5 goals.
  • Everton have won three consecutive competitive matches against Newcastle, scoring nine goals across those games.
  • Everton have conceded at least two goals in each of their last three consecutive Premier League fixtures.
Key players & missing men

Harvey Barnes remains a primary outlet on Newcastle's wing after delivering 11 crosses against Aston Villa, while Joe Willock offers a central attacking threat. For Everton, questions linger over the availability of Jarrad Branthwaite, Jack Grealish, and Will Osula following the midweek cup clash.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Newcastle vs Everton and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Newcastle1.4
–
1.1Everton
Season average total: 2.50 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Newcastle winDrawEverton win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Everton
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Newcastle
1838
Everton
1803

Newcastle are the stronger side — 34 rating points clear of Everton.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

NewcastleNewcastle
Goals scored
1.50
Expected (xG)
1.24
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
EvertonEverton
Goals scored
0.90
Expected (xG)
1.40
Wasteful — scoring below their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

NewcastleNewcastleEvertonEverton
1.50Goals scored / game1.00
1.75Goals conceded / game1.13
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Newcastle 8 games, Everton 8 games.

NewcastleNewcastleEvertonEverton
25%Games with a clean sheet38%
13%Games they failed to score38%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Everton
3–1
Newcastle
Newcastle
1–3
Everton
Newcastle
2–3
Everton
Everton
1–4
Newcastle
Newcastle
0–1
Everton
Form check

Their recent form.

Newcastle
Newcastle
Struggling for results
Last 5
2W · 0D · 3L
Crystal PalacevNewcastle
0–2
W
NewcastlevAston Villa
0–1
L
CoventryvNewcastle
4–1
L
NewcastlevHull City
2–1
W
LeedsvNewcastle
4–1
L
Everton
Everton
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
1W · 2D · 2L
ArsenalvEverton
2–0
L
EvertonvChelsea
0–2
L
Hull CityvEverton
2–2
D
EvertonvIpswich
1–0
W
TottenhamvEverton
0–0
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Premier League (England) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Manchester CityManchester City
8
7
0
1
+11
21
2
ArsenalArsenal
8
7
0
1
+8
21
3
BrightonBrighton
8
5
1
2
+16
16
4
LiverpoolLiverpool
8
4
3
1
+3
15
5
ChelseaChelsea
8
4
1
3
+2
13
6
BrentfordBrentford
8
2
5
1
+5
11
7
LeedsLeeds
8
2
5
1
+3
11
8
NewcastleNewcastle
8
3
2
3
-2
11
9
Aston VillaAston Villa
8
3
2
3
-3
11
10
Hull CityHull City
8
2
4
2
+1
10
11
EvertonEverton
8
2
4
2
-1
10
12
IpswichIpswich
8
3
1
4
-4
10
13
BournemouthBournemouth
8
2
3
3
-1
9
14
TottenhamTottenham
8
2
3
3
-2
9
15
FulhamFulham
8
2
2
4
-2
8
16
Manchester UnitedManchester United
8
1
4
3
-3
7
17
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
8
2
1
5
-10
7
18
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
8
1
3
4
-4
6
19
CoventryCoventry
8
2
0
6
-9
6
20
SunderlandSunderland
8
1
2
5
-8
5