Nice look to defend an unbeaten home record against Lorient while the visitors aim to cement their surprise hold on a European qualification spot.
Nice enter this fixture sitting 9th in the table with 34 games remaining. After a mixed pre-season and early campaign that included a 2-0 loss to Juventus and a heavy 3-0 win over Marseille, Les Aiglons are desperate to end a five-match winless run at the Allianz Riviera. Managerial pressure is mounting as the side looks to close the gap on the European places.
Lorient are the early-season surprise package, currently 5th and occupying a continental qualification place. Les Merlus have secured five wins in their last six matches, including a 2-0 victory over Angers last time out. They travel to the south of France with significant momentum, sitting eight points ahead of their hosts.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.
One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.
Lorient are the stronger side — 57 rating points clear of Nice.
xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
Whole season, home and away combined — Nice 4 games, Lorient 5 games.
No recent matches recorded.
Ligue 1 (France) standings · both teams highlighted in context.