Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 19h
Ligue 1 (France)
·
Nice
Nice
10th · 11 pts·LWWLW
vs
—
Rennes
Rennes
2nd · 16 pts·WLWLW
The story

Nice host high-flying Rennes at Allianz Riviera

Second-placed Rennes travel to face Nice looking to sustain their fine early start, while the hosts aim to push up from tenth.

Match news & current form

Nice sit 10th with 11 points after eight Ligue 1 fixtures, having produced two wins, a draw, and two defeats across their last five outings. They suffered a 2-1 loss away at Lyon in their previous league game, but their recent home form features consecutive 2-1 victories over Strasbourg and Lille.

Rennes have made a very strong start to the campaign, occupying second spot on 16 points through eight matches. They arrive on the back of a wild 4-3 defeat at Paris FC and have suffered heavy losses away from home, including a 4-0 defeat at Lyon, losing 67% of their away fixtures in the league so far.

Head-to-head history

Recent meetings between these sides have regularly produced a decisive outcome. While Rennes ran out 4-0 winners in their last trip to the Allianz Riviera in March 2026, Nice won the reverse fixture 2-1 in October 2025. Across the last five recorded encounters, Rennes hold three wins to Nice's two, including home victories of 2-0 in both May 2025 and January 2024.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Rennes have lost 67% of their away matches in Ligue 1 so far this season.
  • Nice have won back-to-back home league matches, beating both Strasbourg and Lille 2-1.
  • Rennes have scored 14 goals across their previous five matches but conceded eight goals across their last two away league games.
  • There has not been a draw between these two clubs in their last five recorded head-to-head meetings.
Key players & missing men

Nice enter the fixture with several defensive and midfield absences to manage, as L. Abergel, M. Bombito, A. Mendy, A. Seidu, A. Abdi, and J. Clauss are all sidelined. Rennes travel south with fewer squad issues, though forward E. Lepaul remains unavailable.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Nice2.1
–
1.2Rennes
Season average total: 3.33 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Nice winDrawRennes win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Rennes
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Nice
1582
Rennes
1716

Rennes are the stronger side — 134 rating points clear of Nice.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

NiceNice
Goals scored
0.90
Expected (xG)
1.22
Wasteful — scoring below their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
RennesRennes
Goals scored
2.10
Expected (xG)
2.19
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

NiceNiceRennesRennes
1.00Goals scored / game2.25
1.25Goals conceded / game1.75
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Nice 8 games, Rennes 8 games.

NiceNiceRennesRennes
13%Games with a clean sheet25%
38%Games they failed to score13%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Nice
0–4
Rennes
Rennes
1–2
Nice
Rennes
2–0
Nice
Nice
3–2
Rennes
Rennes
2–0
Nice
Injuries & suspensions

Who’s out.

Nice
L. Abergel
Out · Knee Injury
Nice
M. Bombito
Out · Leg Injury
Nice
A. Mendy
Out · Knee Injury
Nice
A. Seidu
Out · Loan agreement
Form check

Their recent form.

Nice
Nice
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 0D · 2L
Stade Brestois 29vNice
1–2
W
LyonvNice
2–1
L
NicevStrasbourg
2–1
W
NicevLille
2–1
W
AuxerrevNice
1–0
L
Rennes
Rennes
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 0D · 2L
RennesvStrasbourg
3–0
W
Paris FCvRennes
4–3
L
RennesvAuxerre
4–1
W
LyonvRennes
4–0
L
RennesvMarseille
1–0
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Ligue 1 (France) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
8
5
2
1
+7
17
2
RennesRennes
8
5
1
2
+4
16
3
LilleLille
8
4
3
1
+5
15
4
MonacoMonaco
8
4
3
1
+4
15
5
LyonLyon
8
4
2
2
+6
14
6
Paris FCParis FC
8
4
2
2
+4
14
7
LensLens
8
4
1
3
+4
13
8
MarseilleMarseille
8
4
0
4
+5
12
9
LorientLorient
8
3
3
2
+1
12
10
NiceNice
8
3
2
3
-2
11
11
ToulouseToulouse
8
2
4
2
+1
10
12
AuxerreAuxerre
8
3
1
4
-6
10
13
Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
8
2
3
3
+2
9
14
AngersAngers
8
2
2
4
-6
8
15
Le MansLe Mans
8
1
4
3
-5
7
16
StrasbourgStrasbourg
8
2
1
5
-6
7
17
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes
8
1
2
5
-11
5
18
Le HavreLe Havre
8
0
2
6
-7
2