Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 16h
Ligue 1 (France)
·
Nice
Nice
14th · 5 pts·DLDLW
vs
—
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
8th · 7 pts·LWWDL
The story

Nice host Strasbourg after contrasting starts in Ligue 1

Nice look to build momentum at the Allianz Riviera as an attack-minded Strasbourg come to town.

Match news & current form

Nice sit 14th with five points after five games, having made a slow start to the new campaign. They did, however, secure a morale-boosting 2-1 victory over Lille in their most recent home fixture, bouncing back from an earlier run of inconsistent outings.

Strasbourg are placed eighth with seven points after five games following a mixed opening stretch. They arrive on the back of a 2-1 away defeat to Paris FC, having previously beaten Lens 2-1 and scored six in a 6-2 rout of Estac Troyes.

Head-to-head history

Recent meetings between the two sides have regularly produced goals. Nice ran out 2-0 winners in the last clash in April 2026, which followed a 3-1 victory for Strasbourg earlier that month and a 1-1 draw in January 2026.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Four of the last five matches involving Strasbourg have produced three or more goals.
  • Both teams scored in three of the last five head-to-head encounters.
  • Strasbourg have scored in four of their five league matches this season, including six away at Troyes.
Key players & missing men

Sebastian Nanasi remains an attacking spark for Strasbourg, while veteran Axel Witsel provides experienced stability for Nice. Neither side has any reported absences heading into the contest.

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Our model prices every market we cover on Nice vs Strasbourg and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Nice1.8
–
1.5Strasbourg
Season average total: 3.33 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Nice winDrawStrasbourg win
Market call
Double chance : Nice or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Nice
1582
Strasbourg
1711

Strasbourg are the stronger side — 128 rating points clear of Nice.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

NiceNice
Goals scored
0.60
Expected (xG)
1.17
Wasteful — scoring below their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
StrasbourgStrasbourg
Goals scored
2.20
Expected (xG)
1.45
Clinical — scoring above their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

NiceNiceStrasbourgStrasbourg
0.60Goals scored / game2.00
1.20Goals conceded / game2.00
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Nice 5 games, Strasbourg 5 games.

NiceNiceStrasbourgStrasbourg
20%Games with a clean sheet0%
60%Games they failed to score20%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Strasbourg
0–2
Nice
Strasbourg
3–1
Nice
Nice
1–1
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
2–2
Nice
Nice
2–1
Strasbourg
Form check

Their recent form.

Nice
Nice
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
1W · 2D · 2L
NicevLille
2–1
W
AuxerrevNice
1–0
L
NicevLe Mans
1–1
D
Paris FCvNice
3–0
L
NicevLorient
0–0
D
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
Paris FCvStrasbourg
2–1
L
StrasbourgvMonaco
1–1
D
Estac TroyesvStrasbourg
2–6
W
StrasbourgvLens
2–1
W
MarseillevStrasbourg
4–0
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Ligue 1 (France) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
MonacoMonaco
5
4
1
0
+5
13
2
LyonLyon
5
3
2
0
+8
11
3
Paris FCParis FC
5
3
2
0
+5
11
4
LilleLille
5
3
1
1
+4
10
5
RennesRennes
5
3
1
1
-1
10
6
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
5
2
2
1
+1
8
7
AngersAngers
5
2
1
2
+1
7
8
StrasbourgStrasbourg
5
2
1
2
+0
7
9
Le MansLe Mans
5
1
3
1
+0
6
10
AuxerreAuxerre
5
2
0
3
-5
6
11
Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
5
1
2
2
-1
5
12
LorientLorient
5
1
2
2
-1
5
13
ToulouseToulouse
5
1
2
2
-2
5
14
NiceNice
5
1
2
2
-3
5
15
LensLens
5
1
1
3
+0
4
16
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes
5
1
1
3
-7
4
17
MarseilleMarseille
5
1
0
4
-1
3
18
Le HavreLe Havre
5
0
2
3
-3
2