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1. HNL (Croatia)
·
NK Osijek
NK Osijek
3rd · 16 pts·LWLWD
vs
—
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
7th · 7 pts·LLWDL
The story

Early Season Leaders Clash in High Stakes Zagreb Battle

This early-season showdown sees two of the league's three perfect records put to the test as NK Osijek and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb fight to maintain control of the title race.

Match news & current form

NK Osijek enter this fixture at the top of the table on 6 points, firmly in control of the title race with 16 games remaining. They have displayed ruthless efficiency in their opening two matches, following up a 2-0 win over HNK Gorica with a dominant 6-1 demolition of Rudes away from home.

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb sit 3rd on 6 points, trailing only on goal difference. They have matched Osijek’s winning start with a gritty 3-2 victory at Istra 1961 and a 3-1 home win against HNK Gorica, proving they have the offensive firepower to compete at the summit.

Head-to-head history

This is one of the most balanced rivalries in the HNL, with Osijek holding a narrow 22-20 lead in total wins over 62 historical meetings. The sides have shared the spoils 20 times, underscoring how often these encounters result in a stalemate.

Hot stats & streaks
  • NK Osijek have secured a 60% win rate over their last five home matches.
  • NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have been clinical on the road, seeing over 1.5 goals in 90% of their recent away fixtures.
  • The historical average for this fixture sits at 2.55 goals per match, suggesting a high-scoring encounter is likely.
  • Both teams enter the game on identical two-match winning streaks to start the season.
Key players & missing men

NK Osijek are expected to rely on Borna Barišić to provide width and creative service from the flank, while NK Lokomotiva Zagreb will look to Marko Rog to dictate the tempo in midfield. Both squads report no fresh absences, allowing both managers to field their strongest possible lineups for this top-of-the-table clash.

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Our signal for this match is locked.

We have published a signal on NK Osijek vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

Subscribers only

Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on NK Osijek vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
NK Osijek2.4
–
0.8NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Season average total: 3.27 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
NK Osijek winDrawNK Lokomotiva Zagreb win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Goals forecast
Over 1.5 goals
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

NK Osijek
1330
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1353

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb are the stronger side — 23 rating points clear of NK Osijek.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

NK OsijekNK OsijekNK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2.13Goals scored / game1.29
1.38Goals conceded / game1.86
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — NK Osijek 8 games, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 7 games.

NK OsijekNK OsijekNK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
50%Games with a clean sheet0%
25%Games they failed to score29%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

NK Osijek
1–0
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Osijek
0–0
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
3–1
NK Osijek
NK Osijek
1–1
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1–1
NK Osijek
Form check

Their recent form.

NK Osijek
NK Osijek
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
NK VarazdinvNK Osijek
0–0
D
NK OsijekvDinamo Zagreb
4–2
W
HNK RijekavNK Osijek
4–1
L
NK OsijekvNK Slaven Belupo
3–0
W
HNK Hajduk SplitvNK Osijek
4–0
L
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
Dinamo ZagrebvNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
3–2
L
NK Lokomotiva ZagrebvHNK Rijeka
1–1
D
Cuba U20vNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0–2
W
NK Slaven BelupovNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2–1
L
HNK Hajduk SplitvNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2–0
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

1. HNL (Croatia) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb
7
5
1
1
+8
16
2
HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split
8
5
1
2
+8
16
3
NK OsijekNK Osijek
8
5
1
2
+6
16
4
NK VarazdinNK Varazdin
8
4
3
1
+6
15
5
HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka
7
4
2
1
+6
14
6
Istra 1961Istra 1961
8
2
3
3
+1
9
7
NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
8
2
1
5
-5
7
8
NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo
8
2
1
5
-9
7
9
HNK GoricaHNK Gorica
8
1
2
5
-7
5
10
RudesRudes
8
1
1
6
-14
4