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1. HNL (Croatia)
·
NK Slaven Belupo
NK Slaven Belupo
8th · 7 pts·WLWLD
vs
HNK Gorica
HNK Gorica
9th · 5 pts·LDLDW
The story

Strugglers clash in Koprivnica chasing European qualification boost

Separated by just one place in the table, NK Slaven Belupo and HNK Gorica both look to snap three-match losing streaks to close the four-point gap on the European places.

Match news & current form

NK Slaven Belupo enter this fixture in 9th place, desperate to end a dismal run of form following three consecutive defeats. Their most recent outing was a 0-3 loss away to Istra 1961, which followed a heavy 1-4 home defeat against NK Varazdin. With 15 games remaining in the season, they sit four points adrift of the European spots and must urgently address a winless streak in their last three home matches.

HNK Gorica are in a similar predicament, currently 8th in the standings on zero points. Like their hosts, they have lost three on the bounce, most recently falling 1-2 to HNK Hajduk Split. Despite their struggles, Gorica have shown more life in attack than their opponents, scoring in their last two defeats against Hajduk and Lokomotiva Zagreb.

Head-to-head history

The historical record between these two sides is closely contested over 31 meetings, with Slaven Belupo holding 13 wins to Gorica’s 10. The most recent encounter in September 2025 ended in a 2-1 victory for Slaven Belupo, maintaining a trend of competitive, goal-scoring affairs in this fixture.

Hot stats & streaks
  • HNK Gorica have lost the first half in 6 of their last 10 HNL matches.
  • NK Slaven Belupo have failed to record a victory in their last three home league games.
  • The teams have shared 8 draws across their 31 historical head-to-head encounters.
  • Slaven Belupo averages a goal every 30 minutes when playing at the Gradski stadion Ivan Kušek Apaš.
Key players & missing men

Both managers benefit from exceptionally clean bills of health, with no players reported absent or suspended for either side. This allows Slaven Belupo to field their strongest XI as they look to improve on a 0% win rate across their recent away travels, while Gorica will rely on the core that has seen them win 3 away matches so far this campaign.

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We have published a signal on NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Gorica — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Gorica and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
NK Slaven Belupo1.6
1.1HNK Gorica
Season average total: 2.67 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
35%
35%
30%
NK Slaven Belupo winDrawHNK Gorica win
Market call
Double chance : NK Slaven Belupo or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

NK Slaven Belupo
1282
HNK Gorica
1301

Evenly matched on rating.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven BelupoHNK GoricaHNK Gorica
0.88Goals scored / game0.63
2.00Goals conceded / game1.50
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — NK Slaven Belupo 8 games, HNK Gorica 8 games.

NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven BelupoHNK GoricaHNK Gorica
13%Games with a clean sheet25%
50%Games they failed to score50%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

NK Slaven Belupo
2–0
HNK Gorica
NK Slaven Belupo
1–0
HNK Gorica
HNK Gorica
2–2
NK Slaven Belupo
NK Slaven Belupo
2–1
HNK Gorica
HNK Gorica
2–1
NK Slaven Belupo
Form check

Their recent form.

NK Slaven Belupo
NK Slaven Belupo
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
RudesvNK Slaven Belupo
2–2
D
HNK Hajduk SplitvNK Slaven Belupo
1–0
L
NK Slaven BelupovNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2–1
W
NK OsijekvNK Slaven Belupo
3–0
L
NK Slaven BelupovHNK Gorica
2–0
W
HNK Gorica
HNK Gorica
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
1W · 2D · 2L
Istra 1961vHNK Gorica
0–1
W
HNK GoricavNK Varazdin
2–2
D
Dinamo ZagrebvHNK Gorica
1–0
L
HNK GoricavHNK Rijeka
0–0
D
NK Slaven BelupovHNK Gorica
2–0
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

1. HNL (Croatia) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb
7
5
1
1
+8
16
2
HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split
8
5
1
2
+8
16
3
NK OsijekNK Osijek
8
5
1
2
+6
16
4
NK VarazdinNK Varazdin
8
4
3
1
+6
15
5
HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka
7
4
2
1
+6
14
6
Istra 1961Istra 1961
8
2
3
3
+1
9
7
NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
8
2
1
5
-5
7
8
NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo
8
2
1
5
-9
7
9
HNK GoricaHNK Gorica
8
1
2
5
-7
5
10
RudesRudes
8
1
1
6
-14
4