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1. HNL (Croatia)
·
NK Varazdin
NK Varazdin
4th · 15 pts·LWDDD
vs
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Hajduk Split
2nd · 16 pts·WWWWL
The story

Varazdin defend continental spot as Hajduk chase leaders

NK Varazdin look to consolidate their grip on a continental qualification spot while HNK Hajduk Split remain locked in a high-stakes title race with just 18 games remaining.

Match news & current form

NK Varazdin enter this fixture sitting 5th in the table, currently holding a European qualification place. They have built significant momentum with four wins from their last five matches, though they come into this clash following a 0-2 away defeat to FK Jablonec. Prior to that loss, they demonstrated clinical home form, including a 3-2 victory over Jablonec and a 2-0 win against Beltinci.

Hajduk Split occupy 2nd place and are trailing the league leaders by just three points. Their recent form mirrors the hosts with four wins in five, most recently securing a 2-0 victory over Pafos. However, a recent 1-2 away defeat to Zilina suggests a vulnerability on the road that the title challengers must address to keep pace at the top.

Head-to-head history

Recent encounters have been competitive, with Varazdin holding Hajduk to a 1-1 draw in their last home meeting in February 2026. While Hajduk Split claimed a 3-1 victory in May 2026, that match saw all three of their goals scored in a second-half surge, highlighting Varazdin's ability to frustrate the giants for long periods.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Varazdin have seen over 1.5 goals in five of their last six competitive outings.
  • Hajduk Split have conceded at least once in four of their last five verified competitive matches.
  • The last two head-to-head meetings between these sides have seen both teams find the net.
  • Varazdin's recent home matches have been high-scoring affairs, including a nine-goal thriller (6-3) against Vukovar.
Key players & missing men

Hajduk Split face a significant selection headache with several key figures sidelined, including Ante Rebic, Filip Krovinovic, and Marino Skelin through injury, while Ron Raçi serves a suspension. Marko Livaja remains the focal point of the visitors' attack. Varazdin are also depleted, missing Ivan Mamut, Luka Skaricic, Roberto Puncec, and Stipe Juric, placing extra pressure on Iuri Tavares to lead the line.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
NK Varazdin1.4
1.0HNK Hajduk Split
Season average total: 2.33 goals
The market
Public / market price
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

NK Varazdin
1358
HNK Hajduk Split
1427

HNK Hajduk Split are the stronger side — 69 rating points clear of NK Varazdin.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

NK VarazdinNK VarazdinHNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split
1.63Goals scored / game2.00
0.88Goals conceded / game1.00
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — NK Varazdin 8 games, HNK Hajduk Split 8 games.

NK VarazdinNK VarazdinHNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split
50%Games with a clean sheet50%
25%Games they failed to score13%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

No prior meetings on record.

Form check

Their recent form.

NK Varazdin
NK Varazdin
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
1W · 3D · 1L
NK VarazdinvNK Osijek
0–0
D
HNK GoricavNK Varazdin
2–2
D
NK VarazdinvIstra 1961
0–0
D
NK VarazdinvRudes
2–0
W
Dinamo ZagrebvNK Varazdin
3–1
L
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Hajduk Split
On a strong winning run
Last 5
4W · 0D · 1L
HNK RijekavHNK Hajduk Split
3–0
L
HNK Hajduk SplitvNK Slaven Belupo
1–0
W
RudesvHNK Hajduk Split
0–4
W
HNK Hajduk SplitvNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2–0
W
HNK Hajduk SplitvNK Osijek
4–0
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

1. HNL (Croatia) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb
7
5
1
1
+8
16
2
HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split
8
5
1
2
+8
16
3
NK OsijekNK Osijek
8
5
1
2
+6
16
4
NK VarazdinNK Varazdin
8
4
3
1
+6
15
5
HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka
7
4
2
1
+6
14
6
Istra 1961Istra 1961
8
2
3
3
+1
9
7
NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
8
2
1
5
-5
7
8
NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo
8
2
1
5
-9
7
9
HNK GoricaHNK Gorica
8
1
2
5
-7
5
10
RudesRudes
8
1
1
6
-14
4