NK Varazdin look to consolidate their grip on a continental qualification spot while HNK Hajduk Split remain locked in a high-stakes title race with just 18 games remaining.
NK Varazdin enter this fixture sitting 5th in the table, currently holding a European qualification place. They have built significant momentum with four wins from their last five matches, though they come into this clash following a 0-2 away defeat to FK Jablonec. Prior to that loss, they demonstrated clinical home form, including a 3-2 victory over Jablonec and a 2-0 win against Beltinci.
Hajduk Split occupy 2nd place and are trailing the league leaders by just three points. Their recent form mirrors the hosts with four wins in five, most recently securing a 2-0 victory over Pafos. However, a recent 1-2 away defeat to Zilina suggests a vulnerability on the road that the title challengers must address to keep pace at the top.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.
One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.
HNK Hajduk Split are the stronger side — 69 rating points clear of NK Varazdin.
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
Whole season, home and away combined — NK Varazdin 8 games, HNK Hajduk Split 8 games.
No prior meetings on record.
1. HNL (Croatia) standings · both teams highlighted in context.