A desperate Tottenham travel to the City Ground rooted to the bottom of the table, searching for their first points of the season against a Forest side looking to pull clear of the drop zone.
Nottingham Forest sit 15th with one point from their opening two fixtures, currently just a single point above the relegation places. Nuno Espírito Santo’s side showed significant grit in their last outing, earning a 2-2 draw away at Liverpool. However, they are still seeking their first home win of the campaign following a narrow 1-0 defeat to Leeds in their previous match at the City Ground.
The situation is increasingly precarious for Ange Postecoglou at Tottenham. Spurs are 20th in the Premier League with zero points and zero goals scored after consecutive defeats to Brentford (3-0) and Newcastle (2-0). Pressure is mounting on the manager, particularly as this poor start follows a disappointing end to the previous campaign where the club suffered 18 league defeats.
How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.
Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.
One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.
Nottingham Forest are the stronger side — 45 rating points clear of Tottenham.
xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).
Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.
Both teams across every game this season.
Whole season, home and away combined — Nottingham Forest 5 games, Tottenham 5 games.
Premier League (England) standings · both teams highlighted in context.