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Full time
Premier League (England)
·
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
13th · 5 pts·LDDWL
vs
Tottenham
Tottenham
20th · 2 pts·LLDDL
The story

Spurs face early crisis as Forest eye home breakthrough

A desperate Tottenham travel to the City Ground rooted to the bottom of the table, searching for their first points of the season against a Forest side looking to pull clear of the drop zone.

Match news & current form

Nottingham Forest sit 15th with one point from their opening two fixtures, currently just a single point above the relegation places. Nuno Espírito Santo’s side showed significant grit in their last outing, earning a 2-2 draw away at Liverpool. However, they are still seeking their first home win of the campaign following a narrow 1-0 defeat to Leeds in their previous match at the City Ground.

The situation is increasingly precarious for Ange Postecoglou at Tottenham. Spurs are 20th in the Premier League with zero points and zero goals scored after consecutive defeats to Brentford (3-0) and Newcastle (2-0). Pressure is mounting on the manager, particularly as this poor start follows a disappointing end to the previous campaign where the club suffered 18 league defeats.

Head-to-head history

The historical record between these two sides is perfectly balanced with five wins apiece and zero draws in their most recent encounters. Forest will take confidence from their last meeting in April 2025, where they secured a 2-1 victory in North London—their first away league win against Spurs since 1997. Forest's attack has historically found joy in this fixture, scoring three goals in each of the two meetings prior to the 2025/26 season.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Tottenham have failed to score a single goal in their opening two Premier League matches.
  • The last five meetings between these clubs have resulted in a winner, with no draws recorded.
  • Spurs have lost their last two matches by a combined score of 5-0.
  • Forest's 2-1 win over Spurs in April 2025 was their first league victory over them in nearly 30 years.
Key players & missing men

Tottenham’s attack is currently in a state of flux, generating only 1.6 expected goals (xG) across their first two matches. Chris Wood continues to lead the line for Forest, who proved they can score against elite defenses by netting twice at Anfield last week. Both squads currently report no fresh injury absences, providing both Nuno and Postecoglou with full squads.

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We have published a signal on Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Nottingham Forest0.8
0.3Tottenham
Season average total: 1.08 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
50%
50%
0%
Nottingham Forest winDrawTottenham win
Market call
Double chance : Nottingham Forest or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Nottingham Forest
1822
Tottenham
1777

Nottingham Forest are the stronger side — 45 rating points clear of Tottenham.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
Goals scored
1.60
Expected (xG)
1.77
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
TottenhamTottenham
Goals scored
0.80
Expected (xG)
1.31
Wasteful — scoring below their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Nottingham ForestNottingham ForestTottenhamTottenham
0.80Goals scored / game0.40
1.00Goals conceded / game1.60
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Nottingham Forest 5 games, Tottenham 5 games.

Nottingham ForestNottingham ForestTottenhamTottenham
20%Games with a clean sheet40%
60%Games they failed to score80%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Nottingham Forest
0–0
Tottenham
Tottenham
0–3
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
3–0
Tottenham
Tottenham
1–2
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
1–0
Tottenham
Form check

Their recent form.

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
1W · 2D · 2L
Nottingham ForestvCoventry
0–1
L
Aston VillavNottingham Forest
1–2
W
Nottingham ForestvTottenham
0–0
D
LiverpoolvNottingham Forest
2–2
D
Nottingham ForestvLeeds
0–2
L
Tottenham
Tottenham
Struggling for results
Last 5
0W · 2D · 3L
TottenhamvAston Villa
2–3
L
TottenhamvEverton
0–0
D
Nottingham ForestvTottenham
0–0
D
TottenhamvNewcastle
0–2
L
BrentfordvTottenham
3–0
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Premier League (England) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Manchester CityManchester City
5
5
0
0
+8
15
2
ArsenalArsenal
5
4
0
1
+4
12
3
BrightonBrighton
5
3
1
1
+11
10
4
BrentfordBrentford
5
2
3
0
+6
9
5
LeedsLeeds
5
2
3
0
+4
9
6
LiverpoolLiverpool
5
2
3
0
+3
9
7
EvertonEverton
5
2
3
0
+3
9
8
Hull CityHull City
5
2
2
1
+2
8
9
NewcastleNewcastle
5
2
2
1
+0
8
10
ChelseaChelsea
5
2
1
2
-2
7
11
IpswichIpswich
5
2
0
3
-4
6
12
Manchester UnitedManchester United
5
1
2
2
+0
5
13
Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
5
1
2
2
-1
5
14
SunderlandSunderland
5
1
1
3
-4
4
15
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
5
1
1
3
-5
4
16
Aston VillaAston Villa
5
1
1
3
-5
4
17
BournemouthBournemouth
5
0
3
2
-2
3
18
CoventryCoventry
5
1
0
4
-9
3
19
FulhamFulham
5
0
2
3
-3
2
20
TottenhamTottenham
5
0
2
3
-6
2