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Allsvenskan (Sweden)
·
Orgryte IS
Orgryte IS
15th · 15 pts·DLDLL
vs
Hammarby FF
Hammarby FF
2nd · 43 pts·WLDWW
The story

Hammarby hunt title as Orgryte fight for survival

A high-stakes clash at both ends of the table sees second-place Hammarby looking to close the six-point gap on the leaders while Orgryte battle to escape the relegation zone.

Match news & current form

Orgryte IS enter this fixture in 15th place with just 14 points, leaving them deep in the relegation zone with only 11 games remaining to secure their top-flight status. Their recent form has been volatile; despite a morale-boosting 3-0 win away at AIK Stockholm recently, they fell 0-1 to IFK Goteborg last time out and have suffered three losses in their last five outings.

Hammarby FF are firmly in the title race, sitting 2nd on 36 points and trailing the leaders by six. They have been in formidable scoring form, recently dispatching Kalmar FF 4-0 and BK Hacken 3-0, though a narrow 2-3 loss to AIK Stockholm in their last away trip proved they are susceptible to counter-attacks when pushing for points.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Hammarby have secured three wins in their last five matches, scoring two or more goals in each of those victories.
  • Orgryte have struggled for consistency at home, recently conceding four goals in a single match against AIK Stockholm.
  • Hammarby's last away match ended in a five-goal thriller, highlighting a trend of high-scoring affairs on the road.
  • Orgryte have failed to keep a clean sheet in four of their last five league fixtures.
Key players & missing men

Both squads appear to be at full strength with no fresh injuries or suspensions reported in the lead-up to this Sunday kickoff. Hammarby will rely on the clinical finishing that saw them put four past Kalmar, while Orgryte need their frontline to rediscover the form that saw them stun AIK earlier this month.

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Our signal for this match is locked.

We have published a signal on Orgryte IS vs Hammarby FF — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

Subscribers only

Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Orgryte IS vs Hammarby FF and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Orgryte IS1.4
1.6Hammarby FF
Season average total: 3.00 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
0%
50%
50%
Orgryte IS winDrawHammarby FF win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Hammarby FF
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Orgryte IS
1257
Hammarby FF
1508

Hammarby FF are the stronger side — 250 rating points clear of Orgryte IS.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Orgryte ISOrgryte ISHammarby FFHammarby FF
1.14Goals scored / game2.23
2.23Goals conceded / game0.91
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Orgryte IS 22 games, Hammarby FF 22 games.

Orgryte ISOrgryte ISHammarby FFHammarby FF
14%Games with a clean sheet41%
32%Games they failed to score9%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

No prior meetings on record.

Form check

Their recent form.

Orgryte IS
Orgryte IS
Struggling for results
Last 5
0W · 2D · 3L
Orgryte ISvSirius
1–2
L
Malmo FFvOrgryte IS
4–1
L
Orgryte ISvHammarby FF
1–1
D
IFK GoteborgvOrgryte IS
1–0
L
Orgryte ISvHalmstad
1–1
D
Hammarby FF
Hammarby FF
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 1D · 1L
Degerfors IFvHammarby FF
0–1
W
Hammarby FFvIF Brommapojkarna
3–1
W
Orgryte ISvHammarby FF
1–1
D
AIK StockholmvHammarby FF
3–2
L
Hammarby FFvGais
2–0
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Allsvenskan (Sweden) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
SiriusSirius
22
16
3
3
+24
51
2
Hammarby FFHammarby FF
22
13
4
5
+29
43
3
Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF
22
13
2
7
+26
41
4
IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg
22
10
7
5
+9
37
5
BK HackenBK Hacken
22
9
9
4
+9
36
6
Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK
22
10
5
7
-1
35
7
Malmo FFMalmo FF
22
10
3
9
+4
33
8
AIK StockholmAIK Stockholm
22
9
6
7
-3
33
9
IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg
22
9
5
8
-10
32
10
GaisGais
22
8
6
8
+8
30
11
IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna
22
7
6
9
-6
27
12
Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF
22
5
7
10
-11
22
13
Kalmar FFKalmar FF
22
5
4
13
-15
19
14
Degerfors IFDegerfors IF
22
5
4
13
-15
19
15
Orgryte ISOrgryte IS
22
3
6
13
-24
15
16
HalmstadHalmstad
22
3
5
14
-24
14