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Major League Soccer (USA)
·
Orlando City SC
Orlando City SC
9th · 43 pts·DWDDL
vs
—
Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire
4th · 55 pts·LLWDW
The story

Lions seek home resurgence against high-flying Fire

Orlando City aim to close the 11-point gap to the European places as they host a Chicago Fire side currently entrenched in the continental qualification spots.

Match news & current form

Orlando City enter this fixture in 10th place, desperate for consistency after a mixed run of results that included a 4-0 thrashing of San Jose followed by a narrow 3-2 defeat to the New York Red Bulls. Despite their erratic form, the Lions have remained competitive at home, recently securing a 1-0 win over Nashville and a 1-1 draw against FC Cincinnati.

Chicago Fire sit 3rd in the standings and are enjoying a strong campaign, highlighted by a recent 2-1 victory over Portland. However, their away form has stuttered lately; despite being the league's best scoring road team with 18 goals in eight matches, they suffered consecutive defeats on their last two trips to New York and Miami.

Head-to-head history

This is the first meeting between the sides in 2026, following a cagey 0-0 draw at Soldier Field in May 2025. While Chicago previously ended a five-game unbeaten streak against Orlando in 2025, the Lions have historically proven difficult to break down at Inter&Co Stadium.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Orlando City's Martín Ojeda has been clinical, netting 11 goals from 49 shots this season.
  • Chicago Fire remain the most prolific road team in MLS, averaging over two goals per game on their travels.
  • Robert Lewandowski has made an immediate impact for the Fire, scoring twice in his first 197 minutes of action.
  • Philip Zinckernagel has created 40 chances this term, the highest of any player featuring in this fixture.
Key players & missing men

Martín Ojeda headlines the Orlando attack alongside Tyrese Spicer and Griffin Dorsey, while the midfield is missing the creative presence of B. Ojeda and E. Atuesta. Chicago's threat centers on Zinckernagel and Lewandowski, though they travel without C. Mueller and S. Oregel, who remain sidelined.

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Our signal for this match is locked.

We have published a signal on Orlando City SC vs Chicago Fire — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Orlando City SC vs Chicago Fire and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Orlando City SC1.9
–
1.6Chicago Fire
Season average total: 3.46 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Orlando City SC winDrawChicago Fire win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Chicago Fire
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Orlando City SCOrlando City SCChicago FireChicago Fire
1.88Goals scored / game1.85
2.36Goals conceded / game1.52
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Orlando City SC 33 games, Chicago Fire 33 games.

Orlando City SCOrlando City SCChicago FireChicago Fire
12%Games with a clean sheet21%
18%Games they failed to score9%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Chicago Fire
2–2
Orlando City SC
Orlando City SC
1–2
Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire
3–1
Orlando City SC
Orlando City SC
1–3
Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire
0–0
Orlando City SC
Form check

Their recent form.

Orlando City SC
Orlando City SC
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
1W · 3D · 1L
CharlottevOrlando City SC
4–0
L
Chicago FirevOrlando City SC
2–2
D
Orlando City SCvNew York City FC
2–2
D
Orlando City SCvDC United
4–1
W
Toronto FCvOrlando City SC
3–3
D
Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
Colorado RapidsvChicago Fire
2–4
W
Chicago FirevOrlando City SC
2–2
D
Atlanta United FCvChicago Fire
2–3
W
New England RevolutionvChicago Fire
1–0
L
Chicago FirevPhiladelphia Union
1–3
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Major League Soccer (USA) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Nashville SCNashville SC
33
22
8
3
+44
74
2
Inter MiamiInter Miami
33
16
11
6
+21
59
3
New England RevolutionNew England Revolution
33
18
4
11
+9
58
4
Chicago FireChicago Fire
33
16
7
10
+11
55
5
CharlotteCharlotte
33
15
8
10
+15
53
6
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
33
13
8
12
+11
47
7
FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
33
12
10
11
-6
46
8
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
33
13
5
15
+6
44
9
Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
33
12
7
14
-16
43
10
New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
33
11
6
16
-17
39
11
New York City FCNew York City FC
33
9
12
12
+3
39
12
Toronto FCToronto FC
33
9
12
12
-12
39
13
Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
33
9
6
18
-14
33
14
DC UnitedDC United
33
7
12
14
-21
33
15
CF MontrealCF Montreal
33
6
8
19
-30
26