Winlytics.AI
Full time
Major League Soccer (USA)
·
Orlando City SC
Orlando City SC
7th · 34 pts·DWWWL
vs
Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire
5th · 39 pts·DDDLL
The story

Lions seek home resurgence against high-flying Fire

Orlando City aim to close the 11-point gap to the European places as they host a Chicago Fire side currently entrenched in the continental qualification spots.

Match news & current form

Orlando City enter this fixture in 10th place, desperate for consistency after a mixed run of results that included a 4-0 thrashing of San Jose followed by a narrow 3-2 defeat to the New York Red Bulls. Despite their erratic form, the Lions have remained competitive at home, recently securing a 1-0 win over Nashville and a 1-1 draw against FC Cincinnati.

Chicago Fire sit 3rd in the standings and are enjoying a strong campaign, highlighted by a recent 2-1 victory over Portland. However, their away form has stuttered lately; despite being the league's best scoring road team with 18 goals in eight matches, they suffered consecutive defeats on their last two trips to New York and Miami.

Head-to-head history

This is the first meeting between the sides in 2026, following a cagey 0-0 draw at Soldier Field in May 2025. While Chicago previously ended a five-game unbeaten streak against Orlando in 2025, the Lions have historically proven difficult to break down at Inter&Co Stadium.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Orlando City's Martín Ojeda has been clinical, netting 11 goals from 49 shots this season.
  • Chicago Fire remain the most prolific road team in MLS, averaging over two goals per game on their travels.
  • Robert Lewandowski has made an immediate impact for the Fire, scoring twice in his first 197 minutes of action.
  • Philip Zinckernagel has created 40 chances this term, the highest of any player featuring in this fixture.
Key players & missing men

Martín Ojeda headlines the Orlando attack alongside Tyrese Spicer and Griffin Dorsey, while the midfield is missing the creative presence of B. Ojeda and E. Atuesta. Chicago's threat centers on Zinckernagel and Lewandowski, though they travel without C. Mueller and S. Oregel, who remain sidelined.

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Our signal for this match is locked.

We have published a signal on Orlando City SC vs Chicago Fire — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Orlando City SC vs Chicago Fire and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Orlando City SC1.8
1.5Chicago Fire
Season average total: 3.35 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Orlando City SC winDrawChicago Fire win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Chicago Fire
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Orlando City SCOrlando City SCChicago FireChicago Fire
1.77Goals scored / game1.80
2.31Goals conceded / game1.52
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Orlando City SC 26 games, Chicago Fire 25 games.

Orlando City SCOrlando City SCChicago FireChicago Fire
15%Games with a clean sheet24%
19%Games they failed to score8%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Orlando City SC
1–2
Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire
3–1
Orlando City SC
Orlando City SC
1–3
Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire
0–0
Orlando City SC
Orlando City SC
4–2
Chicago Fire
Form check

Their recent form.

Orlando City SC
Orlando City SC
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 1D · 1L
New England RevolutionvOrlando City SC
4–2
L
Orlando City SCvToronto FC
3–0
W
Atlanta United FCvOrlando City SC
2–3
W
Orlando City SCvSan Diego
1–0
W
Minnesota United FCvOrlando City SC
3–3
D
Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
0W · 3D · 2L
Nashville SCvChicago Fire
3–0
L
Chicago FirevNew England Revolution
1–2
L
Chicago FirevInter Miami
1–1
D
Toronto FCvChicago Fire
4–4
D
Seattle SoundersvChicago Fire
2–2
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Major League Soccer (USA) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Nashville SCNashville SC
26
17
6
3
+32
57
2
New England RevolutionNew England Revolution
26
14
4
8
+12
46
3
Inter MiamiInter Miami
25
12
9
4
+15
45
4
CharlotteCharlotte
26
12
7
7
+10
43
5
Chicago FireChicago Fire
25
11
6
8
+7
39
6
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
26
10
6
10
+8
36
7
Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
26
10
4
12
-14
34
8
New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
26
9
6
11
-14
33
9
FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
25
8
9
8
-7
33
10
New York City FCNew York City FC
26
8
8
10
+5
32
11
DC UnitedDC United
25
6
11
8
-8
29
12
Toronto FCToronto FC
26
6
11
9
-10
29
13
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
26
7
5
14
-5
26
14
Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
26
7
5
14
-13
26
15
CF MontrealCF Montreal
26
5
6
15
-22
21