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Major League Soccer (USA)
·
Orlando City SC
Orlando City SC
7th · 34 pts·DWWWL
vs
Nashville SC
Nashville SC
1st · 57 pts·WDLDW
The story

Leaders Nashville Face Revitalised Orlando After Griezmann Milestone

Nashville SC arrive at Inter&Co Stadium looking to tighten their grip on the Supporters’ Shield, while 10th-placed Orlando City aim to bridge the 13-point gap to the European places.

Match news & current form

Orlando City are currently 10th on 17 points, sitting 13 points off the European places with 30 games remaining. Manager Perelman will be looking to build on a home record that has seen them take 10 points from seven games, most recently highlighted by a thrilling 4-3 win over Philadelphia Union and a 4-0 away win at San Jose.

Nashville SC are firmly in control of the title race, leading the league and boasting the best defence in the Eastern Conference with only 11 goals conceded in 16 matches. They have won five straight, including recent victories over Atlanta United, New York City FC, and Los Angeles FC, establishing themselves as the most clinical side in MLS.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Nashville SC have won five consecutive matches heading into this fixture.
  • Orlando City’s games have been the most prolific in the league, totalling 71 goals across 16 matches this season.
  • Nashville have conceded only two goals in seven away matches this term.
  • Orlando City completed 78% of their passes in their recent 4-0 victory over San Jose.
Key players & missing men

Antoine Griezmann made an immediate impact for Orlando on his debut, scoring his 300th career club goal in the midweek win. Nashville counter with Samuel Surridge, the league’s most efficient finisher, who is averaging a goal every 64 minutes. Orlando will be without J. Gerbet, N. Miller, and M. Ojeda, while Nashville travel without R. Baker-Whiting, C. Espinoza, W. Madrigal, and P. Yazbek.

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Our model prices every market we cover on Orlando City SC vs Nashville SC and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Orlando City SC1.2
1.2Nashville SC
Season average total: 2.42 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Orlando City SC winDrawNashville SC win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Nashville SC
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Orlando City SCOrlando City SCNashville SCNashville SC
1.77Goals scored / game2.04
2.31Goals conceded / game0.81
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Orlando City SC 26 games, Nashville SC 26 games.

Orlando City SCOrlando City SCNashville SCNashville SC
15%Games with a clean sheet46%
19%Games they failed to score19%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Orlando City SC
1–0
Nashville SC
Nashville SC
5–0
Orlando City SC
Orlando City SC
2–2
Nashville SC
Orlando City SC
3–2
Nashville SC
Nashville SC
5–1
Orlando City SC
Form check

Their recent form.

Orlando City SC
Orlando City SC
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 1D · 1L
New England RevolutionvOrlando City SC
4–2
L
Orlando City SCvToronto FC
3–0
W
Atlanta United FCvOrlando City SC
2–3
W
Orlando City SCvSan Diego
1–0
W
Minnesota United FCvOrlando City SC
3–3
D
Nashville SC
Nashville SC
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
Nashville SCvChicago Fire
3–0
W
Inter MiamivNashville SC
2–2
D
Toronto FCvNashville SC
2–1
L
New York City FCvNashville SC
0–0
D
Nashville SCvFC Cincinnati
4–0
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Major League Soccer (USA) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Nashville SCNashville SC
26
17
6
3
+32
57
2
New England RevolutionNew England Revolution
26
14
4
8
+12
46
3
Inter MiamiInter Miami
25
12
9
4
+15
45
4
CharlotteCharlotte
26
12
7
7
+10
43
5
Chicago FireChicago Fire
25
11
6
8
+7
39
6
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
26
10
6
10
+8
36
7
Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
26
10
4
12
-14
34
8
New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
26
9
6
11
-14
33
9
FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
25
8
9
8
-7
33
10
New York City FCNew York City FC
26
8
8
10
+5
32
11
DC UnitedDC United
25
6
11
8
-8
29
12
Toronto FCToronto FC
26
6
11
9
-10
29
13
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
26
7
5
14
-5
26
14
Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
26
7
5
14
-13
26
15
CF MontrealCF Montreal
26
5
6
15
-22
21