Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 21h
Major League Soccer (USA)
·
Orlando City SC
Orlando City SC
7th · 41 pts·LLWDW
vs
—
New York City FC
New York City FC
12th · 34 pts·LDLLD
The story

Orlando City host New York City chasing playoff spots

With four games remaining in the regular season, Orlando City SC can take a massive step towards cementing their place in the MLS Cup play-offs when they host a New York City FC side desperate to close the gap on the top nine.

Match news & current form

Orlando City SC sit seventh in the table on 41 points, holding a playoff place and enjoying a five-point buffer above the elimination cut with four matches left. However, the Lions arrive on the back of consecutive 4-2 away defeats against New England Revolution and Philadelphia Union, making a return to home soil vital after previously winning three matches on the spin.

New York City FC are in urgent need of points, currently sitting 12th on 34 points and trailing the playoff places by two points and three positions. NYCFC have hit a slump at the worst possible time, losing three of their last four matches following a 2-0 away defeat against Inter Miami and a 2-1 loss at Chicago Fire.

Head-to-head history

New York City FC have enjoyed clear superiority in this fixture recently, winning four of the last five meetings. That includes a heavy 5-0 victory earlier this season in March 2026, as well as 2-1 and 4-2 wins over Orlando in their previous encounters, leaving the hosts seeking their first head-to-head win in that stretch.

Hot stats & streaks
  • New York City FC have won four of the last five encounters between the two clubs.
  • Orlando City SC's last two matches have both produced high-scoring 4-2 away defeats.
  • New York City FC are winless in their last four league games, suffering three defeats in that run.
Key players & missing men

Orlando will rely on the dangerous attacking partnership of Martín Ezequiel Ojeda and Antoine Griezmann, who have combined for 27 goals this season, alongside Iván Darío Angulo Cortés delivering creative threat from deep with six goals and 40 chances created. NYCFC's primary outlet remains Nicolás Ezequiel Fernández Mercau, who has 15 goals and 62 chances created, supported in midfield by Axel Agustín Ojeda and Hannes Wolf. Neither club has reported fresh injury concerns.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Orlando City SC vs New York City FC and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Orlando City SC1.6
–
1.2New York City FC
Season average total: 2.83 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Orlando City SC winDrawNew York City FC win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or New York City FC
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Orlando City SCOrlando City SCNew York City FCNew York City FC
1.93Goals scored / game1.43
2.33Goals conceded / game1.37
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Orlando City SC 30 games, New York City FC 30 games.

Orlando City SCOrlando City SCNew York City FCNew York City FC
13%Games with a clean sheet17%
17%Games they failed to score20%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

New York City FC
5–0
Orlando City SC
Orlando City SC
1–2
New York City FC
New York City FC
2–1
Orlando City SC
Orlando City SC
1–1
New York City FC
New York City FC
4–2
Orlando City SC
Form check

Their recent form.

Orlando City SC
Orlando City SC
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
Orlando City SCvDC United
4–1
W
Toronto FCvOrlando City SC
3–3
D
Orlando City SCvColumbus Crew
3–2
W
Philadelphia UnionvOrlando City SC
4–2
L
New England RevolutionvOrlando City SC
4–2
L
New York City FC
New York City FC
Struggling for results
Last 5
0W · 2D · 3L
New York City FCvLos Angeles FC
1–1
D
Inter MiamivNew York City FC
2–0
L
Chicago FirevNew York City FC
2–1
L
Atlanta United FCvNew York City FC
2–2
D
New York City FCvNew York Red Bulls
0–1
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Major League Soccer (USA) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Nashville SCNashville SC
30
20
7
3
+41
67
2
Inter MiamiInter Miami
30
15
10
5
+22
55
3
New England RevolutionNew England Revolution
30
16
4
10
+8
52
4
Chicago FireChicago Fire
30
14
6
10
+8
48
5
CharlotteCharlotte
30
13
8
9
+8
47
6
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
30
13
7
10
+13
46
7
Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
30
12
5
13
-12
41
8
New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
30
10
6
14
-17
36
9
FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
29
9
9
11
-10
36
10
Toronto FCToronto FC
30
8
12
10
-9
36
11
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
30
10
5
15
-1
35
12
New York City FCNew York City FC
30
8
10
12
+2
34
13
DC UnitedDC United
29
7
12
10
-14
33
14
Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
30
8
6
16
-14
30
15
CF MontrealCF Montreal
30
6
7
17
-24
25