Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 1d 19h
La Liga (Spain)
·
Osasuna
Osasuna
15th · 11 pts·DLWLL
vs
—
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
7th · 15 pts·DDLWW
The story

Osasuna host Athletic Club aiming to rebound at El Sadar

With just 11 games gone in the campaign, 15th-placed Osasuna look to halt a dip in form as seventh-placed Athletic Club visit Pamplona.

Match news & current form

Osasuna sit 15th with 11 points after 11 matches, having experienced a slow start with three wins, two draws, and six defeats. They enter this clash having won just once in their last five outings (W1 D1 L3), most recently letting a lead slip in a 2-1 away defeat to Deportivo La Coruna following a 2-0 reverse at Sevilla.

Athletic Club hold seventh spot on 15 points after 10 games, putting together a solid early foundation. They bounced back emphatically from a 3-1 loss at Levante by routing Getafe 4-0 on home soil, though they have drawn three of their last five matches across all competitions.

Head-to-head history

Recent meetings between these northern sides have been tightly contested affairs. Athletic Club claimed a 1-0 victory in their most recent encounter in April 2026, following a 1-1 draw in Pamplona three months earlier. Osasuna's last victory in the fixture came in a 3-2 triumph away from home in January 2025.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Athletic Club have won zero of their last three league outings against teams sitting in the bottom six, picking up just two points.
  • Osasuna have suffered three defeats in their last four matches across all competitions.
  • The last three head-to-head meetings between these sides have produced just three goals combined.
Key players & missing men

Ante Budimir spearheads the attack for Osasuna, with goalkeeper Aitor Fernandez providing the defensive foundation. Athletic Club look to the pace and threat of Inaki Williams leading the line, supported by Unai Simon between the posts. Neither side has any reported injury or suspension concerns ahead of the fixture.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Osasuna1.0
–
0.7Athletic Club
Season average total: 1.70 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Osasuna winDrawAthletic Club win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Athletic Club
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Osasuna
1650
Athletic Club
1678

Athletic Club are the stronger side — 28 rating points clear of Osasuna.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

OsasunaOsasuna
Goals scored
1.00
Expected (xG)
1.39
Wasteful — scoring below their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
Goals scored
1.40
Expected (xG)
1.57
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

OsasunaOsasunaAthletic ClubAthletic Club
1.00Goals scored / game1.40
2.00Goals conceded / game1.00
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Osasuna 11 games, Athletic Club 10 games.

OsasunaOsasunaAthletic ClubAthletic Club
27%Games with a clean sheet50%
36%Games they failed to score30%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Athletic Club
1–0
Osasuna
Osasuna
1–1
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
0–0
Osasuna
Athletic Club
2–3
Osasuna
Osasuna
1–2
Athletic Club
Form check

Their recent form.

Osasuna
Osasuna
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
Deportivo La CorunavOsasuna
2–1
L
SevillavOsasuna
2–0
L
OsasunavRacing Santander
2–0
W
Real BetisvOsasuna
5–2
L
OsasunavRayo Vallecano
1–1
D
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
Athletic ClubvReal Sociedad
2–1
W
Athletic ClubvGetafe
4–0
W
LevantevAthletic Club
3–1
L
ValenciavAthletic Club
0–0
D
Athletic ClubvAlaves
0–0
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

La Liga (Spain) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
BarcelonaBarcelona
11
10
0
1
+34
30
2
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid
11
9
1
1
+14
28
3
Real MadridReal Madrid
11
9
0
2
+18
27
4
Real BetisReal Betis
11
7
2
2
+3
23
5
Real SociedadReal Sociedad
11
6
1
4
+0
19
6
SevillaSevilla
11
5
2
4
-2
17
7
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
10
4
3
3
+4
15
8
Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna
11
3
5
3
+1
14
9
VillarrealVillarreal
11
3
3
5
+0
12
10
Celta VigoCelta Vigo
11
2
6
3
+0
12
11
AlavesAlaves
11
3
3
5
-2
12
12
Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
10
3
3
4
-5
12
13
GetafeGetafe
11
3
3
5
-8
12
14
EspanyolEspanyol
11
3
2
6
-1
11
15
OsasunaOsasuna
11
3
2
6
-11
11
16
Racing SantanderRacing Santander
11
3
2
6
-14
11
17
ElcheElche
11
2
4
5
-4
10
18
LevanteLevante
11
2
4
5
-5
10
19
ValenciaValencia
11
2
3
6
-9
9
20
MalagaMalaga
11
0
5
6
-13
5