Winlytics.AI
Full time
Canadian Premier League (Canada)
·
Pacific FC
Pacific FC
8th · 11 pts·WDDLD
vs
York United
York United
7th · 23 pts·LDDWL
The story

Relegation battle looms as Tridents and Nine Stripes collide

A high-stakes basement battle sees Pacific FC fighting for survival in their final game of the season while York United look to secure their safety with a game to spare.

Match news & current form

Pacific FC enter this fixture in a critical position, sitting 8th on 3 points and currently inside the relegation zone. With 0 games left to save themselves after this encounter, the Tridents are in a 'must-win' scenario. Their momentum is at rock bottom following five consecutive defeats, most recently a narrow 1-2 loss at home to Supra du Quebec.

York United occupy 7th place with 13 points, also within the relegation zone but holding a game in hand over their hosts. Their recent form has been equally concerning, suffering heavy defeats including a 0-5 thrashing by Cavalry FC and a 1-3 loss to Forge. However, their 5-0 Canadian Championship victory over FC Laval earlier in the campaign serves as a reminder of their scoring potential when the attack clicks.

Head-to-head history

This fixture has historically been a tight affair, with Pacific holding 9 wins to York's 8 across 24 meetings. The two sides have a significant recent history in knockout football, having met in consecutive CPL playoff openers in 2023 and 2024. York United claimed the most recent bragging rights with a 2-0 victory in October 2024.

Hot stats & streaks
  • The opening goal is statistically decisive in this matchup; in 22 previous postseason meetings involving these clubs, the team scoring first has lost only once.
  • Pacific FC are looking for their first league win since the opening week of the 2025 campaign.
  • York United have struggled for defensive stability, conceding four or more goals in three of their last five matches.
  • Pacific FC have struggled for results outside of British Columbia this year, making home advantage at Starlight Stadium vital for their survival hopes.
Key players & missing men

Pacific will look to the creative influence of Bustos and the finishing of Díaz to ignite an attack that has been restricted to single goals in four of their last five matches. York United’s threat likely comes through Brian Wright and Mo Babouli, though the team has struggled for consistency, scoring just once in a three-game league run mid-season. Both squads report no fresh injury concerns or suspensions for this clash.

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We have published a signal on Pacific FC vs York United — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Pacific FC vs York United and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Pacific FC1.6
1.3York United
Season average total: 2.96 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Pacific FC winDrawYork United win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or York United
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Pacific FCPacific FCYork UnitedYork United
1.18Goals scored / game1.43
2.00Goals conceded / game2.19
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Pacific FC 22 games, York United 21 games.

Pacific FCPacific FCYork UnitedYork United
5%Games with a clean sheet10%
27%Games they failed to score10%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

York United
3–3
Pacific FC
Pacific FC
1–1
York United
Pacific FC
0–1
York United
York United
2–2
Pacific FC
York United
5–1
Pacific FC
Form check

Their recent form.

Pacific FC
Pacific FC
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
1W · 3D · 1L
Pacific FCvVancouver FC
1–1
D
Pacific FCvCavalry FC
0–1
L
York UnitedvPacific FC
3–3
D
Atlético OttawavPacific FC
0–0
D
Pacific FCvHFX Wanderers FC
4–3
W
York United
York United
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
1W · 2D · 2L
HFX Wanderers FCvYork United
4–1
L
York UnitedvVancouver FC
3–1
W
York UnitedvPacific FC
3–3
D
ForgevYork United
1–1
D
Atlético OttawavYork United
2–1
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Canadian Premier League (Canada) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Cavalry FCCavalry FC
22
15
5
2
+29
50
2
ForgeForge
22
14
4
4
+18
46
3
Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa
23
10
4
9
-5
34
4
Vancouver FCVancouver FC
23
9
4
10
+2
31
5
HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC
23
7
5
11
-3
26
6
Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec
22
7
4
11
-7
25
7
York UnitedYork United
21
5
8
8
-16
23
8
Pacific FCPacific FC
22
1
8
13
-18
11