Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 0h
Ligue 1 (France)
·
Paris FC
Paris FC
5th · 11 pts·WWDWL
vs
—
Rennes
Rennes
3rd · 13 pts·WWWLW
The story

Paris FC host Rennes after strong Ligue 1 starts

Fifth meets third as early frontrunners Paris FC and Rennes clash at Stade Jean-Bouin with just two points separating them after six matches.

Match news & current form

Paris FC sit fifth with 11 points after six games, having made a strong start to the campaign under Liam Rosenior. Although they suffered a 1-0 defeat at Lorient last weekend, the capital club have been formidable on home turf, winning two of their three league matches at Stade Jean-Bouin while conceding just once.

Rennes occupy third spot on 13 points after six games under Franck Haise. The Brittany side quickly rebounded from a 4-0 defeat away at Lyon by beating Auxerre 4-1 last Sunday, though their form on the road remains a concern after failing to find the net in their last two competitive away trips.

Head-to-head history

Rennes have held the upper hand in this fixture since Paris FC returned to the top flight, completing a league double last season with a 1-0 win in the capital in November 2025 and a 2-1 victory at Roazhon Park in May 2026. Paris FC are seeking their first competitive victory against Rennes since a 1-0 second-division triumph back in 1980.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Paris FC are seeking their first competitive victory against Rennes since 1980.
  • Rennes have won three consecutive competitive meetings against Paris FC.
  • Paris FC have won four of their last five home Ligue 1 matches dating back to last season, dropping only two points.
  • Rennes have failed to score in their last two competitive matches away from Roazhon Park.
Key players & missing men

In-form striker Lepaul leads the line for Rennes having taken his league tally to four goals with a strike against Auxerre, supported out wide by Tamari and Soumare. Rennes arrive with no reported absences, whereas Paris FC manager Rosenior must navigate without V. Marchetti, N. Sangui, and S. Chergui.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Paris FC2.1
–
0.7Rennes
Season average total: 2.75 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
35%
35%
30%
Paris FC winDrawRennes win
Market call
Double chance : Paris FC or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Paris FC
1629
Rennes
1716

Rennes are the stronger side — 87 rating points clear of Paris FC.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

Paris FCParis FC
Goals scored
1.50
Expected (xG)
1.82
Wasteful — scoring below their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
RennesRennes
Goals scored
1.90
Expected (xG)
1.98
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Paris FCParis FCRennesRennes
1.33Goals scored / game2.00
0.67Goals conceded / game1.67
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Paris FC 6 games, Rennes 6 games.

Paris FCParis FCRennesRennes
50%Games with a clean sheet17%
50%Games they failed to score17%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Rennes
2–1
Paris FC
Paris FC
0–1
Rennes
Injuries & suspensions

Who’s out.

Paris FC
V. Marchetti
Out · Inactive
Paris FC
N. Sangui
Out · Muscle Injury
Paris FC
S. Chergui
Doubt · Injury
Form check

Their recent form.

Paris FC
Paris FC
Winning more than not lately
Last 5
3W · 1D · 1L
LorientvParis FC
1–0
L
Paris FCvStrasbourg
2–1
W
Paris FCvLyon
0–0
D
MarseillevParis FC
2–3
W
Paris FCvNice
3–0
W
Rennes
Rennes
On a strong winning run
Last 5
4W · 0D · 1L
RennesvAuxerre
4–1
W
LyonvRennes
4–0
L
RennesvMarseille
1–0
W
AngersvRennes
1–2
W
RennesvLe Mans
3–2
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Ligue 1 (France) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
MonacoMonaco
6
4
2
0
+5
14
2
LilleLille
6
4
1
1
+5
13
3
RennesRennes
6
4
1
1
+2
13
4
LyonLyon
6
3
2
1
+7
11
5
Paris FCParis FC
6
3
2
1
+4
11
6
Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
6
3
2
1
+3
11
7
Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
6
2
2
2
+3
8
8
LorientLorient
6
2
2
2
+0
8
9
NiceNice
6
2
2
2
-2
8
10
LensLens
6
2
1
3
+1
7
11
StrasbourgStrasbourg
6
2
1
3
-1
7
12
AngersAngers
6
2
1
3
-3
7
13
MarseilleMarseille
6
2
0
4
+1
6
14
Le MansLe Mans
6
1
3
2
-2
6
15
ToulouseToulouse
6
1
3
2
-2
6
16
AuxerreAuxerre
6
2
0
4
-8
6
17
Estac TroyesEstac Troyes
6
1
1
4
-9
4
18
Le HavreLe Havre
6
0
2
4
-4
2