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Full time
Serie A (Italy)
·
Parma
Parma
15th · 4 pts·LLDLW
vs
Genoa
Genoa
19th · 1 pts·LLLDL
The story

Winless Parma and Genoa meet seeking first league victory

Two of the five remaining winless clubs in Serie A meet at the Ennio Tardini as both sides look to move away from the bottom of the table.

Match news & current form

Parma sit 18th with one point after four games. Carlos Cuesta’s side earned their only point in a 1-1 draw with Monza but come into this fixture following a 2-1 defeat to Como. Despite a difficult start, they have remained competitive, with their last two league outings decided by just a single goal.

Genoa occupy 19th place, also with one point from four matches. Daniele De Rossi’s team ended a run of three consecutive league defeats with a 1-1 draw against Frosinone and recently boosted morale with a 1-0 Coppa Italia victory over Sudtirol. However, they have struggled defensively, failing to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches across all competitions.

Head-to-head history

Recent meetings between these two have been incredibly tight, with the last two encounters ending in 0-0 draws. Parma are looking for their first win against the Ligurian side in three years, though they hold a historical advantage at home, winning 13 of the 29 matches played between the pair at the Ennio Tardini.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Genoa have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five matches.
  • Parma have conceded at least one goal in three consecutive home fixtures.
  • Daniele De Rossi is unbeaten as a manager against Parma, recording one win and one draw.
  • The last two league meetings between these clubs ended in goalless draws.
Key players & missing men

Genoa arrive with several absences, including E. Havel, J. Vasquez, and L. Venturino. Parma will be without H. Nicolussi Caviglia and O. Diallo. While goals have been scarce for both sides, Genoa enter this match having found the net in each of their last three competitive fixtures.

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We have published a signal on Parma vs Genoa — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Parma vs Genoa and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Parma1.3
0.8Genoa
Season average total: 2.00 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
35%
35%
30%
Parma winDrawGenoa win
Market call
Double chance : Parma or Draw
Goals forecast
Under 3.5 goals
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Parma
1600
Genoa
1618

Evenly matched on rating.

Goals vs xG

xG = goals an average team would score from the same chances. Scoring well above xG means clinical finishing (or a hot streak).

ParmaParma
Goals scored
0.80
Expected (xG)
0.87
Scoring in line with their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
GenoaGenoa
Goals scored
0.40
Expected (xG)
0.90
Wasteful — scoring below their xG
Per game · last 10 matches
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

ParmaParmaGenoaGenoa
0.80Goals scored / game0.60
1.40Goals conceded / game2.00
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Parma 5 games, Genoa 5 games.

ParmaParmaGenoaGenoa
0%Games with a clean sheet0%
40%Games they failed to score40%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Parma
2–1
Genoa
Parma
0–0
Genoa
Genoa
0–0
Parma
Genoa
1–0
Parma
Parma
0–1
Genoa
Form check

Their recent form.

Parma
Parma
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
ParmavGenoa
2–1
W
ComovParma
2–1
L
ParmavMonza
1–1
D
JuventusvParma
2–0
L
ParmavCagliari
0–1
L
Genoa
Genoa
Losing form badly
Last 5
0W · 1D · 4L
ParmavGenoa
2–1
L
GenoavFrosinone
1–1
D
GenoavComo
1–4
L
LaziovGenoa
1–0
L
GenoavNapoli
0–2
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Serie A (Italy) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
AS RomaAS Roma
5
4
1
0
+11
13
2
InterInter
5
4
1
0
+7
13
3
LazioLazio
5
4
1
0
+5
13
4
CagliariCagliari
5
4
0
1
+3
12
5
AC MilanAC Milan
5
3
2
0
+6
11
6
FrosinoneFrosinone
5
3
1
1
+5
10
7
JuventusJuventus
5
3
1
1
+4
10
8
ComoComo
5
3
1
1
+3
10
9
NapoliNapoli
5
2
1
2
+1
7
10
SassuoloSassuolo
5
2
1
2
+0
7
11
AtalantaAtalanta
5
2
0
3
-2
6
12
LecceLecce
5
2
0
3
-5
6
13
UdineseUdinese
5
1
1
3
-3
4
14
TorinoTorino
5
1
1
3
-3
4
15
ParmaParma
5
1
1
3
-3
4
16
MonzaMonza
5
1
1
3
-4
4
17
FiorentinaFiorentina
5
1
1
3
-6
4
18
BolognaBologna
5
0
2
3
-3
2
19
GenoaGenoa
5
0
1
4
-7
1
20
VeneziaVenezia
5
0
0
5
-9
0