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Ekstraklasa (Poland)
·
Pogon Szczecin
Pogon Szczecin
5th · 15 pts·DDDWW
vs
Legia Warszawa
Legia Warszawa
2nd · 19 pts·DDWDW
The story

Pogon seek home dominance as Legia target European push

Both sides enter this opening phase of the campaign level on points, looking to establish early momentum in the race for European qualification places.

Match news & current form

Pogon Szczecin start the matchday in 9th position with everything to play for in the early stages of the season. While their recent form has been mixed with two wins and three losses in their last five outings, their home ground remains a fortress where they historically thrive against the capital club.

Legia Warszawa arrive in 11th place but carry significant momentum from a productive run of four wins in their last five matches. Despite a recent 0-2 setback against Aris, they have secured clinical victories over the likes of Radomiak Radom and Hapoel Beer Sheva, showing a high level of offensive consistency.

Head-to-head history

The recent history at Stadion Florian Krygier heavily favours the hosts. Pogon have secured four victories compared to just one for Legia across their last six head-to-head encounters in Szczecin, establishing a clear psychological edge when playing in front of their own supporters.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Pogon have won four of the last six home H2H meetings against Legia.
  • Legia Warszawa are currently on a run of four wins from their last five matches across all competitions.
  • Kamil Grosicki remains Pogon's most dangerous creative threat with 7 assists so far this campaign.
  • Legia have managed to avoid defeat in three of their last five outings away from home.
Key players & missing men

Kamil Grosicki and Paul Mukairu lead the charge for the hosts, both sitting on six goals for the season, while Grosicki is also the team's primary creator. Legia will look to Mileta Rajovic, who has netted four times this term, supported by the creative output of Bartosz Kapustka. Both squads are currently reporting no fresh injury concerns, allowing both managers to field their strongest available lineups.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Warszawa and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Pogon Szczecin1.3
1.4Legia Warszawa
Season average total: 2.70 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
0%
50%
50%
Pogon Szczecin winDrawLegia Warszawa win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Legia Warszawa
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Pogon Szczecin
1425
Legia Warszawa
1441

Evenly matched on rating.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Pogon SzczecinPogon SzczecinLegia WarszawaLegia Warszawa
1.50Goals scored / game2.11
0.75Goals conceded / game0.89
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Pogon Szczecin 8 games, Legia Warszawa 9 games.

Pogon SzczecinPogon SzczecinLegia WarszawaLegia Warszawa
38%Games with a clean sheet22%
25%Games they failed to score0%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Pogon Szczecin
0–1
Legia Warszawa
Pogon Szczecin
0–2
Legia Warszawa
Legia Warszawa
1–2
Pogon Szczecin
Legia Warszawa
1–0
Pogon Szczecin
Pogon Szczecin
3–4
Legia Warszawa
Form check

Their recent form.

Pogon Szczecin
Pogon Szczecin
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 3D · 0L
Piast GliwicevPogon Szczecin
1–2
W
Pogon SzczecinvWieczysta Kraków
2–0
W
Pogon SzczecinvWisla Plock
1–1
D
Zaglebie LubinvPogon Szczecin
0–0
D
Pogon SzczecinvWisla Krakow
2–2
D
Legia Warszawa
Legia Warszawa
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 3D · 0L
JagielloniavLegia Warszawa
1–3
W
Legia WarszawavWidzew Łódź
1–1
D
Motor LublinvLegia Warszawa
2–3
W
Legia WarszawavSlask Wroclaw
1–1
D
Piast GliwicevLegia Warszawa
1–1
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Ekstraklasa (Poland) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze
9
7
1
1
+8
22
2
Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa
9
5
4
0
+11
19
3
Lech PoznanLech Poznan
8
6
1
1
+10
19
4
Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow
9
5
2
2
+5
17
5
Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin
8
4
3
1
+6
15
6
Korona KielceKorona Kielce
9
4
3
2
+2
15
7
Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin
9
4
3
2
+1
15
8
Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice
9
4
1
4
+1
13
9
GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice
8
4
0
4
+3
12
10
JagielloniaJagiellonia
8
4
0
4
-1
12
11
Wisla PlockWisla Plock
8
3
2
3
-3
11
12
Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź
9
1
6
2
+0
9
13
Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow
9
2
2
5
-5
8
14
Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom
9
2
2
5
-13
8
15
Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw
9
1
3
5
-4
6
16
Motor LublinMotor Lublin
9
1
3
5
-6
6
17
Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków
8
1
2
5
-6
5
18
Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa
9
1
0
8
-9
3