Winlytics.AI
Full time
Premier League (Ukraine)
·
Polessya
Polessya
1st · 18 pts·LWWWW
vs
Zorya Luhansk
Zorya Luhansk
8th · 8 pts·WLDDL
The story

Polessya eye summit as Zorya look to rebound

Third-place Polessya can maintain their perfect start to the title race against a Zorya Luhansk side fighting to protect their continental qualification spot.

Match news & current form

Polessya enter this third round with maximum points, following a 3-1 home victory over FC Kharkiv and a 2-1 win away at Chornomorets. Currently sitting third and just behind the leaders on goal difference, the Zhytomyr side is riding a wave of confidence and home support as they look to cement their status as genuine title contenders.

Zorya Luhansk occupy sixth place but arrive in Zhytomyr seeking consistency after a mixed start. While they opened the campaign with a 2-0 win over Kolos Kovalivka, they stumbled in their last match, suffering a 1-3 home defeat to Kryvbas. The visitors are expected to adopt a more defensive posture, focusing on containment and quick transitions to exploit any gaps left by the hosts.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Polessya are chasing a third consecutive victory to start the Premier League campaign.
  • Zorya have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last two matches against top-six opposition.
  • The hosts have scored at least two goals in each of their league fixtures so far this season.
  • Zorya's last league match saw three goals scored in the second half alone.
Key players & missing men

Both squads appear to be at full strength with no fresh injuries reported ahead of the clash at the Central City Stadium. Polessya's attacking unit remains the focal point following their five-goal haul in the opening two rounds, while Zorya will rely on the defensive organization that saw them shut out Kolos in their season opener.

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We have published a signal on Polessya vs Zorya Luhansk — the market, the selection, the price we need and the model’s confidence. Every signal is graded in public, win or lose.

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Every market on this match, priced and ranked.

Our model prices every market we cover on Polessya vs Zorya Luhansk and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Polessya1.6
1.1Zorya Luhansk
Season average total: 2.67 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
50%
50%
0%
Polessya winDrawZorya Luhansk win
Market call
Double chance : Polessya or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Polessya
1242
Zorya Luhansk
1242

Evenly matched on rating.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

PolessyaPolessyaZorya LuhanskZorya Luhansk
2.14Goals scored / game1.00
0.71Goals conceded / game1.57
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Polessya 7 games, Zorya Luhansk 7 games.

PolessyaPolessyaZorya LuhanskZorya Luhansk
43%Games with a clean sheet14%
0%Games they failed to score29%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Polessya
1–2
Zorya Luhansk
Zorya Luhansk
0–0
Polessya
Polessya
2–0
Zorya Luhansk
Zorya Luhansk
0–1
Polessya
Polessya
1–1
Zorya Luhansk
Form check

Their recent form.

Polessya
Polessya
On a strong winning run
Last 5
4W · 0D · 1L
PolessyavKryvbas KR
1–0
W
PolessyavLivyi Bereh
1–0
W
PolessyavKudrivka
5–1
W
Shakhtar DonetskvPolessya
0–2
W
PolessyavZorya Luhansk
1–2
L
Zorya Luhansk
Zorya Luhansk
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
1W · 2D · 2L
Zorya LuhanskvDynamo Kyiv
0–2
L
BukovynavZorya Luhansk
1–1
D
Veres RivnevZorya Luhansk
1–1
D
Zorya LuhanskvFC Kharkiv
0–3
L
PolessyavZorya Luhansk
1–2
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Premier League (Ukraine) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
PolessyaPolessya
7
6
0
1
+10
18
2
Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk
7
6
0
1
+11
18
3
KarpatyKarpaty
7
4
2
1
+10
14
4
Dynamo KyivDynamo Kyiv
6
4
1
1
+4
13
5
FC KharkivFC Kharkiv
6
4
0
2
+8
12
6
Epitsentr DunayivtsiEpitsentr Dunayivtsi
7
2
2
3
-1
8
7
LNZ CherkasyLNZ Cherkasy
7
2
2
3
-3
8
8
Zorya LuhanskZorya Luhansk
7
2
2
3
-4
8
9
Livyi BerehLivyi Bereh
6
1
4
1
+1
7
10
BukovynaBukovyna
7
1
4
2
-2
7
11
Veres RivneVeres Rivne
6
1
3
2
-1
6
12
ChornomoretsChornomorets
6
1
2
3
-4
5
13
Kolos KovalivkaKolos Kovalivka
6
1
2
3
-4
5
14
Kryvbas KRKryvbas KR
6
1
2
3
-3
5
15
Obolon'-BrovarObolon'-Brovar
7
0
4
3
-10
4
16
KudrivkaKudrivka
6
0
2
4
-12
2