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Major League Soccer (USA)
·
Portland Timbers
Portland Timbers
9th · 32 pts·LWDLL
vs
Real Salt Lake
Real Salt Lake
12th · 29 pts·LDLLL
The story

Survival stakes for Timbers as RSL chase series sweep

A desperate Portland Timbers fight for top-flight survival against a Real Salt Lake side aiming to cement their European qualification spot.

Match news & current form

Portland Timbers enter this clash sitting 12th in the table, just two points above the drop zone. While survival is not yet secured, manager Cassidy has maintained an aggressive attacking philosophy at Providence Park, where the team has found more consistency than on the road. They come into this following a 2-2 draw with FC Dallas, though their recent 5-1 thrashing of Seattle Sounders remains the blueprint for their home performances.

Real Salt Lake are enjoying a much stronger campaign than last year, sitting 4th with 26 points—12 more than they held at this stage last season. However, momentum has stalled slightly following a 3-1 defeat to Los Angeles FC. While they are firmly in the hunt for a European spot, their away form remains the primary question mark as they head to Oregon.

Head-to-head history

Real Salt Lake have the opportunity to achieve a regular-season sweep over Portland for the first time since 2017, having already secured a 2-0 victory in Utah back in May. Historically, Providence Park has been a difficult venue for the visitors, but RSL's improved league standing this year has shifted the dynamic of this rivalry.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Portland have scored in all seven of their regular-season home matches in 2026.
  • The Timbers have conceded in six of their seven home fixtures this season.
  • Real Salt Lake have 12 more points after 15 matches than they did at the same stage in 2025.
  • Portland are currently on a two-match unbeaten run as they attempt to climb toward the playoff line.
Key players & missing men

The Timbers are hampered by several absences in the defensive and transition phases; Juan David Mosquera is likely to miss out with foot and ankle soreness, while Omir Fernandez and Gage Guerra are sidelined with lower-body injuries. Real Salt Lake travel without E. Eneli, J. Glad, A. Hezarkhani, and A. Piol, testing the depth of their backline which has been prone to giving away chances on the road.

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Our model prices every market we cover on Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Portland Timbers2.0
1.4Real Salt Lake
Season average total: 3.46 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Portland Timbers winDrawReal Salt Lake win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Real Salt Lake
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Portland TimbersPortland TimbersReal Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
1.81Goals scored / game1.48
1.85Goals conceded / game1.68
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Portland Timbers 26 games, Real Salt Lake 25 games.

Portland TimbersPortland TimbersReal Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
4%Games with a clean sheet8%
19%Games they failed to score20%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Portland Timbers
2–1
Real Salt Lake
Real Salt Lake
2–0
Portland Timbers
Portland Timbers
3–1
Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers
0–1
Real Salt Lake
Real Salt Lake
0–0
Portland Timbers
Form check

Their recent form.

Portland Timbers
Portland Timbers
Struggling for results
Last 5
1W · 1D · 3L
Portland TimbersvAtlanta United FC
0–1
L
FC DallasvPortland Timbers
2–1
L
Portland TimbersvSt. Louis City
2–2
D
Portland TimbersvMinnesota United FC
5–4
W
Portland TimbersvAustin
1–2
L
Real Salt Lake
Real Salt Lake
Losing form badly
Last 5
0W · 1D · 4L
Real Salt LakevVancouver Whitecaps
0–3
L
Real Salt LakevNew York City FC
0–2
L
Houston DynamovReal Salt Lake
2–1
L
Real Salt LakevLos Angeles FC
2–2
D
Colorado RapidsvReal Salt Lake
1–0
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Major League Soccer (USA) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
25
15
4
6
+33
49
2
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
26
13
5
8
+4
44
3
St. Louis CitySt. Louis City
26
12
8
6
+9
44
4
FC DallasFC Dallas
26
12
8
6
+7
44
5
San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
26
12
6
8
+8
42
6
Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC
27
11
8
8
+14
41
7
Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids
26
11
3
12
+1
36
8
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy
27
8
9
10
-8
33
9
Portland TimbersPortland Timbers
26
9
5
12
-1
32
10
San DiegoSan Diego
25
8
6
11
+0
30
11
AustinAustin
26
7
9
10
-12
30
12
Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
25
8
5
12
-5
29
13
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
24
7
8
9
-5
29
14
Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
26
7
8
11
-7
29
15
Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
25
5
3
17
-34
18