Winlytics.AI
Full time
Eredivisie (Netherlands)
·
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
3rd · 23 pts·LWLDW
vs
—
Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
6th · 19 pts·WDDWD
The story

PSV Begin Title Defence Against Resurgent Fortuna Sittard

Eredivisie champions PSV Eindhoven kick off their quest for a fourth consecutive title against a Fortuna Sittard side looking to prove their early-season top-two credentials.

Match news & current form

PSV Eindhoven enter the new campaign as defending champions but arrive with a point to prove after a humbling 4-0 defeat to AZ Alkmaar in the Super Cup. Peter Bosz’s side remain committed to their aggressive, high-pressing style, having won six of their last seven league games at the Philips Stadion. Despite the recent cup setback, the Eindhoven giants are looking to maintain the momentum that saw them average over three goals per home match last term.

Fortuna Sittard currently sit 2nd in the embryonic table and are desperate to avoid the late-season collapse that saw their European ambitions vanish last year. Danny Buijs’ men have shown mixed form in pre-season, following up a 2-1 win over APOEL with 3-1 defeats to both Metz and Olympiakos. They will be eager to test their defensive reinforcements against the league's most potent attack.

Head-to-head history

The historical record is heavily weighted in favour of the hosts; PSV are unbeaten in their last 19 Eredivisie meetings with Fortuna (W16 D3). Fortuna’s last league victory in this fixture was a 6-4 win over 25 years ago in 1999. Recently, PSV have asserted total dominance, completing consecutive league doubles over the Fortunezen by winning the last four encounters.

Hot stats & streaks
  • PSV are unbeaten in 26 home encounters against Fortuna Sittard, recording 23 wins and 3 draws.
  • The champions have scored 16 goals in their last five league matches, the joint-highest total in the division.
  • Fortuna Sittard have failed to keep a clean sheet in seven consecutive matches across all competitions.
  • PSV have scored in every league game since the back end of the 2025/26 season.
Key players & missing men

Mohamed Ihattaren is the creative hub for Fortuna, leading the side in big chances created, while Kaj Sierhuis remains the primary goal threat. PSV are missing Alassane Pléa and Ruben van Bommel through long-term injuries, with Jerdy Schouten also absent. Guus Til is expected to lead the line for the hosts, supported by the creative trio of Dennis Man, Saibari, and Ivan Perišić. Fortuna travel without the injured Ramazan Bayram, Ismael Marquez, and Edouard Michut, while Justin Hubner is suspended.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
PSV Eindhoven2.5
–
1.4Fortuna Sittard
Season average total: 3.92 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
50%
50%
0%
PSV Eindhoven winDrawFortuna Sittard win
Market call
Double chance : PSV Eindhoven or Draw
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

PSV Eindhoven
1759
Fortuna Sittard
1383

PSV Eindhoven are the stronger side — 376 rating points clear of Fortuna Sittard.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

PSV EindhovenPSV EindhovenFortuna SittardFortuna Sittard
3.18Goals scored / game1.64
1.18Goals conceded / game1.64
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — PSV Eindhoven 11 games, Fortuna Sittard 11 games.

PSV EindhovenPSV EindhovenFortuna SittardFortuna Sittard
18%Games with a clean sheet18%
0%Games they failed to score9%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

PSV Eindhoven
2–2
Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
1–2
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
5–2
Fortuna Sittard
PSV Eindhoven
4–1
Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
1–3
PSV Eindhoven
Form check

Their recent form.

PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
PSV EindhovenvWillem II
7–0
W
PSV EindhovenvFeyenoord
1–1
D
ADO Den HaagvPSV Eindhoven
2–1
L
PSV EindhovenvHeerenveen
2–0
W
TwentevPSV Eindhoven
3–2
L
Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 3D · 0L
FeyenoordvFortuna Sittard
1–1
D
Fortuna SittardvExcelsior
1–0
W
NEC NijmegenvFortuna Sittard
2–2
D
Fortuna SittardvTwente
1–1
D
Willem IIvFortuna Sittard
0–1
W
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Eredivisie (Netherlands) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
FeyenoordFeyenoord
11
7
4
0
+21
25
2
AjaxAjax
11
7
3
1
+17
24
3
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
11
7
2
2
+22
23
4
TwenteTwente
11
7
2
2
+18
23
5
AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
11
6
2
3
+7
20
6
Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard
11
5
4
2
+0
19
7
HeerenveenHeerenveen
11
5
3
3
+6
18
8
GroningenGroningen
11
4
3
4
+2
15
9
CambuurCambuur
11
4
3
4
+1
15
10
GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles
11
3
5
3
-4
14
11
Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam
11
3
3
5
-6
12
12
UtrechtUtrecht
11
3
3
5
-12
12
13
NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen
11
2
5
4
-2
11
14
PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle
11
3
2
6
-11
11
15
ExcelsiorExcelsior
11
3
2
6
-12
11
16
TelstarTelstar
11
2
3
6
-7
9
17
ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag
11
1
3
7
-11
6
18
Willem IIWillem II
11
0
2
9
-29
2