Winlytics.AI
Full time
Eredivisie (Netherlands)
·
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
3rd · 16 pts·WWWWL
vs
Groningen
Groningen
8th · 11 pts·LLDDW
The story

Champions PSV host high-flying Groningen in early-season test

Defending champions PSV Eindhoven look to secure their first home win of the season against a perfect Groningen side currently sitting second in the table.

Match news & current form

PSV Eindhoven enter this fixture 6th in the table with 4 points, looking to build on their first competitive win of the season—a 2-1 victory over Excelsior. Peter Bosz’s side snapped a two-match winless start to the campaign and are now desperate to claim their first success at the Philips Stadion this term to maintain their continental position.

Groningen have enjoyed a perfect start to their return to the top flight, sitting 2nd with 6 points and firmly in the early title race. Dick Lukkien’s men followed up a 2-1 win over Utrecht with a dominant 4-1 thrashing of ADO Den Haag, giving them immense confidence as they travel to the province of Brabant.

Head-to-head history

The historical weight is heavily in favour of the hosts, with Groningen suffering five consecutive losses against PSV. De FC have lost nine of the last 10 meetings between these sides, with their only success in that span being a 4-2 victory back in October 2022.

Hot stats & streaks
  • PSV are seeking their first home league win of the 2026-27 season after an opening draw at the Philips Stadion.
  • Groningen have lost nine of their last 10 encounters with PSV Eindhoven.
  • The visitors have scored two or more goals in each of their first two Eredivisie matches this season.
  • PSV have failed to keep a clean sheet in their opening two league fixtures.
Key players & missing men

Groningen’s Icelandic forward Brynjólfur Willumsson is the man in form, having netted a brace in his last outing. For PSV, the creative burden falls on a front four of Ivan Perisic, Guus Til, Ruben van Bommel, and Ricardo Pepi following the recent departure of Joey Veerman. No fresh injury concerns have been reported for either side.

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Our model prices every market we cover on PSV Eindhoven vs Groningen and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
PSV Eindhoven3.0
1.7Groningen
Season average total: 4.67 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
PSV Eindhoven winDrawGroningen win
Market call
Winner : Groningen
Goals forecast
Over 1.5 goals
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

PSV Eindhoven
1759
Groningen
1439

PSV Eindhoven are the stronger side — 320 rating points clear of Groningen.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

PSV EindhovenPSV EindhovenGroningenGroningen
3.43Goals scored / game2.14
1.43Goals conceded / game1.86
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — PSV Eindhoven 7 games, Groningen 7 games.

PSV EindhovenPSV EindhovenGroningenGroningen
0%Games with a clean sheet14%
0%Games they failed to score0%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

PSV Eindhoven
5–1
Groningen
Groningen
1–2
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
4–2
Groningen
Groningen
1–3
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
5–0
Groningen
Form check

Their recent form.

PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
On a strong winning run
Last 5
4W · 0D · 1L
TwentevPSV Eindhoven
3–2
L
PSV EindhovenvSparta Rotterdam
4–1
W
AjaxvPSV Eindhoven
1–3
W
UtrechtvPSV Eindhoven
1–6
W
PSV EindhovenvGroningen
5–1
W
Groningen
Groningen
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
1W · 2D · 2L
GroningenvPEC Zwolle
3–0
W
GO Ahead EaglesvGroningen
1–1
D
GroningenvTwente
2–2
D
GroningenvFortuna Sittard
2–3
L
PSV EindhovenvGroningen
5–1
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Eredivisie (Netherlands) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
7
6
1
0
+12
19
2
FeyenoordFeyenoord
7
5
2
0
+18
17
3
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
7
5
1
1
+14
16
4
TwenteTwente
7
5
1
1
+8
16
5
AjaxAjax
7
4
2
1
+12
14
6
Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard
7
4
1
2
-1
13
7
ExcelsiorExcelsior
7
3
2
2
+6
11
8
GroningenGroningen
7
3
2
2
+2
11
9
GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles
7
2
4
1
+2
10
10
HeerenveenHeerenveen
7
2
3
2
+2
9
11
NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen
7
2
2
3
-1
8
12
Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam
7
1
2
4
-7
5
13
TelstarTelstar
7
1
2
4
-7
5
14
CambuurCambuur
7
1
2
4
-9
5
15
UtrechtUtrecht
7
1
2
4
-13
5
16
PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle
7
1
1
5
-14
4
17
ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag
7
0
2
5
-10
2
18
Willem IIWillem II
7
0
2
5
-14
2