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Liga MX (Mexico)
·
Puebla
Puebla
6th · 14 pts·WLWLD
vs
Atlante FC
Atlante FC
14th · 8 pts·LDDLD
The story

Puebla host Atlante with both sides chasing playoff spots

Puebla look to solidify their position in the final playoff place while Atlante attempt to bridge a six-point gap to the top eight.

Match news & current form

Puebla currently sit 8th in the table with 13 points, occupying the final playoff spot with nine games remaining. They enter this fixture following a narrow 1-0 home defeat to Toluca, a result that ended a positive run of three wins from four matches, including high-scoring victories over Santos Laguna and CF Pachuca.

Atlante return to the top flight for the first time since 2014 but have struggled for momentum, sitting 15th with only one win from their opening eight games. Herrera’s side are currently winless in five matches, most recently suffering a 3-0 home defeat to CF Pachuca, leaving them seven places adrift of the playoff positions.

Head-to-head history

Recent meetings between these sides have been infrequent and low-scoring, with only 11 goals produced across their last eight encounters spanning 13 years. The most recent competitive meeting took place in December 2024, where Atlante secured a 1-0 victory over Puebla.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Puebla have dominated territory recently, winning the corner count 28 to 10 over their last five matches.
  • Atlante have struggled for efficiency on the road, scoring just twice in their last five league outings.
  • Puebla have been involved in several high-scoring affairs recently, including two separate 3-2 victories in their last five games.
  • Atlante have managed only one victory in eight league matches since their return to Liga MX.
Key players & missing men

Eduardo Mustre has emerged as a clinical threat for Puebla, netting twice in just three appearances, while Ignacio Maestro Puch is expected to lead the line in a 4-1-4-1 formation. For the visitors, Martin Sarrafiore is the primary creative outlet, recording 12 shots and two goals in his last five appearances. No fresh injuries have been reported for either side, though Puebla's Daniel Gutierrez remains the confirmed starter in goal.

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Our model prices every market we cover on Puebla vs Atlante FC and ranks them by the edge against the bookmakers’ price. Subscribers see the full board.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Puebla1.8
1.4Atlante FC
Season average total: 3.15 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
45%
45%
10%
Puebla winDrawAtlante FC win
Market call
Double chance : Puebla or Draw
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

PueblaPueblaAtlante FCAtlante FC
1.43Goals scored / game0.89
1.29Goals conceded / game1.44
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Puebla 7 games, Atlante FC 9 games.

PueblaPueblaAtlante FCAtlante FC
29%Games with a clean sheet11%
14%Games they failed to score33%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Puebla
1–1
Atlante FC
Atlante FC
1–0
Puebla
Form check

Their recent form.

Puebla
Puebla
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
2W · 1D · 2L
PueblavAtlante FC
1–1
D
PueblavToluca
0–1
L
NecaxavPuebla
0–1
W
Club AmericavPuebla
2–0
L
PueblavSantos Laguna
3–2
W
Atlante FC
Atlante FC
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
0W · 3D · 2L
PueblavAtlante FC
1–1
D
Atlante FCvCF Pachuca
0–3
L
AtlasvAtlante FC
1–1
D
Atlante FCvLeon
1–1
D
Tigres UANLvAtlante FC
2–0
L
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Liga MX (Mexico) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
TolucaToluca
9
6
1
2
+11
19
2
Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas
9
5
3
1
+9
18
3
Club AmericaClub America
8
5
2
1
+9
17
4
Cruz AzulCruz Azul
9
5
0
4
+1
15
5
Club TijuanaClub Tijuana
8
4
2
2
+2
14
6
PueblaPuebla
9
4
2
3
+0
14
7
AtlasAtlas
9
4
2
3
-2
14
8
MonterreyMonterrey
8
4
1
3
+4
13
9
Club QueretaroClub Queretaro
7
4
1
2
+3
13
10
LeonLeon
8
4
1
3
+2
13
11
CF PachucaCF Pachuca
9
3
3
3
+5
12
12
U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas
9
3
3
3
-1
12
13
Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
9
2
3
4
-5
9
14
Atlante FCAtlante FC
9
1
5
3
-5
8
15
NecaxaNecaxa
9
2
2
5
-6
8
16
Tigres UANLTigres UANL
9
1
4
4
-4
7
17
Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
9
2
1
6
-6
7
18
FC JuarezFC Juarez
9
1
0
8
-17
3