Winlytics.AI
Kicks off in 2d 15h
Liga MX (Mexico)
·
Puebla
Puebla
11th · 16 pts·LDLDD
vs
—
Monterrey
Monterrey
12th · 14 pts·DWLDW
The story

Puebla host Monterrey with both chasing the playoff places

Both sides remain locked in the chase for the top eight as 11th-placed Puebla welcome Monterrey to Estadio Cuauhtemoc.

Match news & current form

Puebla enter the fixture sitting 11th with 16 points and five matches remaining, firmly targeting a late push into the playoff places. They have found consistency hard to come by, recording one win, two draws, and two defeats across their last five outings. Their most recent fixture ended in a 1-1 home draw against Leon, having previously suffered a narrow 1-0 defeat away at Tigres UANL.

Monterrey sit 12th on 14 points with seven matches left to play, lingering two points and four places adrift of the top eight. They also mirror their hosts' recent return of one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five fixtures. An away 1-1 draw against Club America last time out followed a high-scoring 4-2 defeat at Atlante FC, highlighting ongoing defensive vulnerabilities on their travels.

Head-to-head history

Recent meetings have leaned towards the visitors, with Monterrey winning six of the last ten encounters between the clubs. Their most recent clash on 22 April 2026 ended in a 2-1 home victory for Monterrey, following a 4-2 Monterrey win at Puebla in August 2025 and a 1-1 draw at Monterrey in January 2025.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Monterrey have scored just one goal in four of their last five matches.
  • Puebla have drawn two of their last three home fixtures 1-1 (against Leon and Atlante FC).
  • Monterrey have won three of the last four meetings with Puebla, including a 2-1 victory in April 2026.
Key players & missing men

Neither side has reported any injuries or suspensions ahead of kickoff. For Puebla, attacking midfielder Kevin Velasco Bonilla provides the creative spark having registered 18 chances created, while Eduardo Mustre and Mathias Borges compete to lead the line. Monterrey will look to Lucas Ocampos, who leads their attack with five goals, supported by Diego Rossi and Hugo Cuypers, who have each scored three.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Puebla1.5
–
1.2Monterrey
Season average total: 2.70 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
10%
45%
45%
Puebla winDrawMonterrey win
Market call
Double chance : Draw or Monterrey
The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

PueblaPueblaMonterreyMonterrey
1.00Goals scored / game1.70
1.08Goals conceded / game1.50
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Puebla 12 games, Monterrey 10 games.

PueblaPueblaMonterreyMonterrey
25%Games with a clean sheet30%
33%Games they failed to score20%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Monterrey
2–1
Puebla
Puebla
2–4
Monterrey
Monterrey
1–1
Puebla
Puebla
1–2
Monterrey
Monterrey
2–0
Puebla
Form check

Their recent form.

Puebla
Puebla
Mixed bag at home
Last 5
0W · 3D · 2L
Club TijuanavPuebla
0–0
D
PueblavLeon
1–1
D
Tigres UANLvPuebla
1–0
L
PueblavAtlante FC
1–1
D
PueblavToluca
0–1
L
Monterrey
Monterrey
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
2W · 2D · 1L
MonterreyvCF Pachuca
2–1
W
Club AmericavMonterrey
1–1
D
Atlante FCvMonterrey
4–2
L
MonterreyvCruz Azul
1–0
W
MonterreyvTigres UANL
0–0
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Liga MX (Mexico) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Club AmericaClub America
11
7
3
1
+13
24
2
TolucaToluca
12
6
3
3
+10
21
3
AtlasAtlas
12
6
3
3
+1
21
4
Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas
12
5
5
2
+7
20
5
Cruz AzulCruz Azul
12
6
2
4
+6
20
6
Club QueretaroClub Queretaro
11
6
2
3
+2
20
7
LeonLeon
12
5
3
4
+1
18
8
Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
12
5
1
6
+1
16
9
Club TijuanaClub Tijuana
11
4
4
3
+1
16
10
U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas
12
4
4
4
-1
16
11
PueblaPuebla
12
4
4
4
-1
16
12
MonterreyMonterrey
10
4
2
4
+2
14
13
Tigres UANLTigres UANL
12
3
5
4
-2
14
14
CF PachucaCF Pachuca
11
3
4
4
+4
13
15
Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
12
3
4
5
-5
13
16
Atlante FCAtlante FC
12
2
5
5
-6
11
17
NecaxaNecaxa
12
2
3
7
-10
9
18
FC JuarezFC Juarez
12
1
1
10
-23
4