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Ekstraklasa (Poland)
·
Raków Częstochowa
Raków Częstochowa
17th · 9 pts·LLLWL
vs
—
Gornik Zabrze
Gornik Zabrze
2nd · 28 pts·DWDDD
The story

Raków fight for survival as Górnik eye top spot

Bottom-placed Raków Częstochowa host fifth-placed Górnik Zabrze in a clash of contrasting fortunes as the hosts desperately seek their first points of the campaign.

Match news & current form

Raków Częstochowa enter this fixture in a state of crisis, sitting 18th in the relegation zone with zero points after four matches. Their recent 2-5 home thrashing by Jagiellonia highlighted a disastrous defensive start, marking four consecutive defeats where they have conceded at least two goals in every outing.

Górnik Zabrze arrive in Częstochowa holding a continental qualification spot, sitting fifth with nine points. While they suffered a 2-3 setback against GKS Katowice last time out, their previous form was imperious, securing three straight victories including a 3-1 away win at Radomiak Radom.

Head-to-head history

History heavily favours the hosts; Raków have secured eight victories in the most recent meetings compared to just four for Górnik Zabrze. However, recent trends suggest tighter affairs, with 67% of their last six encounters in the Ekstraklasa producing under 2.5 goals.

Hot stats & streaks
  • Górnik Zabrze are unbeaten in their last seven league matches on the road.
  • Raków have lost four consecutive Ekstraklasa matches for the first time in recent history.
  • Górnik have scored at least two goals in each of their last five league fixtures.
  • Each of Raków's last six Ekstraklasa games has produced over 2.5 goals.
  • Raków have conceded seven goals in just two home league matches so far this season.
Key players & missing men

Both squads appear to be at full strength with no fresh injuries or suspensions reported for either side. Raków will be looking for a defensive leader to step up after conceding 11 goals in four games, while Górnik's attacking unit remains the focal point after their consistent scoring run.

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Market cross-check

Our model vs the market’s price.

How the public market prices this match, shown next to our model. For context only — it never changes a signal.

Our engine
What our AI model sees
Season averages
Raków Częstochowa1.0
–
2.3Gornik Zabrze
Season average total: 3.30 goals
The market
Public / market price
1X2 probabilities
0%
50%
50%
Raków Częstochowa winDrawGornik Zabrze win
Market call
Winner : Gornik Zabrze
Goals forecast
Over 2.5 goals
Elo rating & xG

Strength rating and xG.

Elo is overall team strength. xG is the goals an average team would score from the same chances.

Overall strength (Club Elo)

One strength number built from every result a team has had. Higher means stronger.

Raków Częstochowa
1513
Gornik Zabrze
1452

Raków Częstochowa are the stronger side — 61 rating points clear of Gornik Zabrze.

The scoring picture

Goals scored and conceded.

Per-game averages this season. Use the buttons to split the goals by venue.

Goals per game

Both teams across every game this season.

Raków CzęstochowaRaków CzęstochowaGornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze
1.33Goals scored / game1.62
2.33Goals conceded / game0.85
How reliable, all season

Whole season, home and away combined — Raków Częstochowa 12 games, Gornik Zabrze 13 games.

Raków CzęstochowaRaków CzęstochowaGornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze
0%Games with a clean sheet31%
8%Games they failed to score15%
Head-to-head

Past meetings.

Raków Częstochowa
1–2
Gornik Zabrze
Gornik Zabrze
2–0
Raków Częstochowa
Gornik Zabrze
3–1
Raków Częstochowa
Raków Częstochowa
0–1
Gornik Zabrze
Raków Częstochowa
1–0
Gornik Zabrze
Form check

Their recent form.

Raków Częstochowa
Raków Częstochowa
Losing form badly
Last 5
1W · 0D · 4L
Wisla KrakowvRaków Częstochowa
2–1
L
Wieczysta KrakówvRaków Częstochowa
1–2
W
Raków CzęstochowavGKS Katowice
1–4
L
Korona KielcevRaków Częstochowa
3–2
L
Raków CzęstochowavZaglebie Lubin
2–3
L
Gornik Zabrze
Gornik Zabrze
Inconsistent on the road
Last 5
1W · 4D · 0L
Gornik ZabrzevLegia Warszawa
0–0
D
Widzew ŁódźvGornik Zabrze
1–1
D
Gornik ZabrzevPiast Gliwice
1–1
D
JagielloniavGornik Zabrze
1–3
W
Motor LublinvGornik Zabrze
0–0
D
League standings

Where they sit in the table.

Ekstraklasa (Poland) standings · both teams highlighted in context.

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Lech PoznanLech Poznan
12
10
1
1
+21
31
2
Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze
13
8
4
1
+10
28
3
Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa
13
6
6
1
+12
24
4
Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin
12
7
3
2
+8
24
5
Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin
13
6
4
3
+1
22
6
GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice
13
7
0
6
+6
21
7
Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice
13
6
3
4
+4
21
8
Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow
13
6
3
4
+2
21
9
JagielloniaJagiellonia
12
6
0
6
-1
18
10
Korona KielceKorona Kielce
13
5
3
5
-5
18
11
Motor LublinMotor Lublin
13
4
4
5
-3
16
12
Wisla PlockWisla Plock
12
4
3
5
-6
15
13
Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow
13
3
3
7
-6
12
14
Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź
13
1
8
4
-2
11
15
Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom
13
3
2
8
-14
11
16
Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw
13
2
3
8
-8
9
17
Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa
13
3
0
10
-10
9
18
Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków
13
2
2
9
-9
8